1:15 Chepstow Racing Tips & Lay Bets (3rd July)

CHEPSTOW 1.15 

Just in case the going is good or firmer I will say my bets and lays for this race, I will look to lay (Pastfact 3 points + Mad Endeavour 2 points + Crimson Princess 3 points + Bold Decision 1 point) I think this race will be won from the front, bothKinglami and Creek Harbour are possible frontrunners and have the exact same rating on my figures so could make the frame but my money will be on JAGANORY 12/1 (2 points each way) who is versatile with its racing tactics and that includes leading but it the make-up of this race it could lead from stall 3 but then again it could sit in just behind the leaders waiting to pounce and prove the stronger at the finish. 

Jaganory 22/1 8th (-2pts) 

Lay bets: Pastfact -12pts, Mad Endeavour +2pts, Crimson Princess +3pts, Bold Decision +1pt

Total: -8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30

In this 10 runner race I have marked 6 down as possible lays (Kyllachy Castle 2 point lay + *Valley Belle 1 point lay + Alba Del Sole 2 point lay + Chillon Castle 1 point lay + Potters Question 1 point lay + Simba Samba 1 point lay) my money will be riding on POPPY MAY 8/1 (3 points win) who is the only one known as a frontrunning type and could lead all the way here but One One Seven has a speed figure 1 spot higher but would need everything to fall right for it to pick up the leader if it repeats its best time. 

*NR

Poppy May 8/1 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Simba Samba -2pts, Kyllachy Castle +2pts, Alba Del Sole +2pts, Chillon Castle +1pt, Potter's Question +1pt

Total: +2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

Of the 8 runners here I will look to lay (Camachess 3 points lay + John Joiner 2 points lay) going back to 2018 Krystallite would have every chance but its 4 runs since then at this c/d have been poor so maybe best left alone, Precious Plum who has been known to lead is my 4th top-rated with Solar Park sitting in 3rd top position and this one will be trying to stay on at the finish, I've got joint top-rated, firstly Shepherds Purse who actually finds this trip a little too short for it to show its best but should be staying on but will need everything to go in its favour just to dead-heat this race if DARK SIDE DREAM 9/1 (2 points win) leads and runs to its best and this is one carrying my money.

Dark Side Dream 11/2 2nd (+0.375pts)

Lay bets: Camachess -9pts, John Joiner +2pts

Total: -6.625pts 

Total on the day:  -12.625pts 

4:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets

CHELMSFORD 4.00 

This 9 runner race can be split into 2 groups 4 lays, (Our Man In Havana + Lyons Lane + Murqaab + Chillon Castle) Swell Song is still a maiden after 11 races but might improve on its 1st run over this c/d, Seneca Castle won over this c/d in 2017 in a slow run affair and its win the last timeout at Wolverhampton looked impressive but the time was relatively slow so would need to improve again to win this race but could go well beings we know it's in good form, I expect it to be the favourite and will not represent value in my eyes, TERRI RULES 7/1 hasnt run over this c/d before but its best time from Lingfield would make it my 2nd top rated behind BERNIE'S BOY 6/1 who also recorded its best time at Lingfield but also has the top speed figure over this c/d for this year but that c/d time is only 1lb higher than MONARCH MAID 12/1 (EW) and this one is the only one known to be a frontrunner in the field so if allowed to dictate could prove hard to beat and has been done as an each-way punt. 

Monarch Maid 14/1 EW 3rd +3.66pts

Bernie's Boy 6/1 4th (-1pt)

Terri Rules 14/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Our Man In Havana +1pts, Lyons Lane +1pt, Murqaab +1pt, Chillon Castle +1pt)

Total: +5.66pts

CHELMSFORD 5.10

The topweight Who Told Jo Jo has won and finished 3rd on its last 2 runs but it's still a maiden on the AW after 15 attempts, enough to put me off but it could possibly make the frame, I will be laying 4 in this race, (Wiff Waff + Mansfield + Delegate The Lady + Te Amo Te Amo) ive found 2 possible pacesetters and both have some chance of winning the race, POPPY MAY 11/2 is in stall 2 and if reproducing its best time from 2018 would be 2nd top on my figure, DREAMBOAT ANNIE 16/1 also recorded its best time in 2018 and despite being known to lead it does sometimes struggle to stay the trip if theres a fast early pace but if allowed to set its own pace then it would have every chance, Tawaafoq has one got one time to its name in 2018 that would just make it my top rated but that time is looking very much a fluke, one that could win if the leaders fade is DEEDS NOT WORDS 11/2 who recorded its best time earlier this year and the apprentices 5lb claim could swing things in its favour.

Poppy May 11/2 3rd (-1pt)

Dreamboat Annie 18/1 7th (-1pt)

Deeds Not Words 12/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Delegate The Lady -20pts, Wiff Waff +1pt, Mansfield +1pt, Te Amo Te Amo +1pt

Total: -20pts 

Total on the day: -14.44pts

1:35 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (11th February)

CHELMSFORD 1.35

I am not a fan of betting in stakes races they are all carrying the same weight apart from any apprentices allowances and there are only 5lbs between top and bottom on their official handicap rating. I have got 3 that I will look to lay (Watheer + Ask The Guru + Caso Do Lago) Krazy Paving won last time out but it was a slow run affair and this may be much harder for it but it is in good form, Wild Flower has the plum stall 1 draw and that's helpful for a front-running sort and it is my joint 3rd top-rated along with Ask The Guru but this one might be pushed to stay the distance with what looks likely to be a fast early pace, Alba Del Sole has poor jockey stats which is off-putting, I will split my stake between INDIAN AFFAIR 4/1 and POPPY MAY 9/2 who have both been known to lead and if getting to the front either could win the race and my stakes will be kept to a lowish level in this lowish level race. 

Indian Affair 4/1 3rd 
Poppy May 8/1 9th 

Lay bets: Watheer (+1pt) Ask the Guru (+1pt) Caso Do Lago (+1pt)

Total +1pt

CHELMSFORD 3.45

Only 6 runners and just (Lorna Cole) who I could lay, the next three, Green Door, Look Surprised and It Must Be Faith, are all closely rated, Green Door a frontrunner has the plum draw but one of my selections MOVEONUP 9/2 is the other likely pacesetter and is in stall 2 and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but Tone The Barone 1/1 won nicely last time out and could be an improving sort and there is very little between them on times so normally I would back them both but after seeing the betting I will go with just one tip as it is my top rated and much better value than the favourite. 

Moveonup 6/1 2nd 

Lay bets: Lorna Cole (+1pt)

Total 0pts

NEWCASTLE 5.50

This is a nice looking class 4 race but there isn't a natural known frontrunning type amongst them, I will be laying (Barrington + Lady Of Aran) then there's Mia Mento and Jungle Speed who hasn't raced on the AW before and the latter may not take to this surface but not sure I can actually lay it, the bottom weight Epeius is well weighted on its best time but they are usually in a lower class race than this one, Lucky Lodge is another capable of going well but again usually in class 5 races, my money will be riding on ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 6/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so if the early pace is slow it could take it up earlier than planned and then prove the stronger and the apprentice jockey does have a 16% win ratio on this stables older horses on the AW.

Athollblair Boy 6/1 1st 

Lay bets: Barrington (+1pt) Lady Of Aran (+1pt) 

Total 8pts 

Total on Day 9pts (Exceptional)