2:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (15th April)

LINGFIELD 2.20 

With both If You Dare and Mighty Gurkha being front running types it should be a true run race but I doubt if either can stay in front to the line, Mulzim and Whittle Le Woods 7/1 both might prefer the Tapeta surface but I doubt this pair will be single figure prices, as for the winner I cannot narrow it down to anything less than three with decent chances of winning if they hit top form, JACK'S POINT 6/1 (EW) is my top rated on just 2022 speed figures and third top rated using both 2022 and 2021 ratings, MUSCIKA 16/1 (EW) comes out second top rated using its best 2021 figure and third top using just 2022 ratings but this years speed figure is quite a few spots below its best figure but could be worth an each way punt, COUNT OTTO 12/1 (EW) comes out second top rated on just 2022 ratings and top using both years figures and if its possible I would hope to have each way wagers on all three of them. 

Jack's Point 7/1 5th -2pts 

Count Otto 12/1 7th -2pt 

Muscika 25/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -6pts 

NEWCASTLE 2.35 

A cracking class 2 Conditions race where they all carry the same weight, I will hopefully be laying Harry's Bar 9/1 who seems to prefer the Polytrack surface and has poorish trainer stats, I'm not sure if there's anything worthwhile that I could lay, while Ejtilaab 9/2 is the official top rated horse in the race but seems slightly better on the Polytrack surface, Spycatcher 11/2 is second best on my figures which again is on the Polytrack surface and hasn't run over this distance on this Tapeta surface so I'm not sure what it can achieve on this surface, GOOD EFFORT 12/1 (EW)  is my top rated on course and distance speed figures and also comes out top rated overall using its best rating from Lingfield, it also has good trainer 35%, and jockey 33%, stats which hopefully means they are going all out for the win in this race and has to be given as an each way wager. 

Good Effort 12/1 6th -2pt 

Total -2pts 

CHELMSFORD 4.30 

Just 8 runners so I hope they all take part, half of the field have led before so it should have a fast early pace but I think they might set the race up for something coming from off the pace, I will be looking to lay Blackcurrent 7/2 whose trainer is 0-4 at this course and 0-5 in the last 2 weeks and its been nearly a month since their last winner plus it needs to improve time wise to win this race, I also feel that Porfin 7/1 might get outpaced here and may stay on too late for the win and might be a better prospect over further, my money will be relying on I'M MABLE 3/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and this race might be run to suit it but as this is its first run for quite awhile i will be keeping my stakes on the low side. 

I'm Mable 3/1 1st +3pts 

Lay bet Blackcurrent +1pt 

Total +4pts

Total on the day -4pts

3:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (13th November)

LINGFIELD 3.05 

A 12 runner Listed class race but there looks to be 5 runners that I don't think can win this race and I would lay all of them if value to do so but as usual it will be the betting which decides what I will or will not be laying, Misty Grey is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that rating is only good enough for 5th top spot on my overall figures, rated just 2lbs higher is Exalted Angel who is my top rated for this year and 4th best overall, Soldiers Minute comes out 3rd best on my own unique speed ratings but this one is held by the horse that will be carrying my money but could still make the frame, the top weight Judicial comes out 2nd top rated on my overall figures but this hold up type will need a degree of luck from stall 10 but with a clear run it ought to make the frame but I will be backing GOOD EFFORT who hasn't any form on this course and distance this year but its best rating from last year would see it winning a shade cosily and last year it was running in higher class races and the trainer does have a decent strike rate at this course especially with their older horses. 

Good Effort 11/8 1st +1.375pts 

Total +1.375pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30

A poor looking race even for a class 6 dash, I would look to lay Shanghai Rock and Cometh The Man who both may be better when racing over a longer distance but both of them are 3yo’s so I wont be betting too heavily, I will also look to lay Cool Spirit who hasn't produced a speed figure of note from 3 runs over this course and distance and also at Newcastle and Southwell over today's distance, my top rated for just this year over this course and distance is BLUE VENTURE 9/1 who is a front running type and in the make-up of this race it should be able to either get to the front or at least be prominent from the off so could be worth an each way wager at the price but I do have QAATAAR 12/1 rated higher but this time I am using a time from 2020 but that time would see it winning this race a shade cosily but I have to admit this one hasn't been in the best of form lately but it might be worth a bet as its an double figure price.

Qaataar 12/1 3rd -1pt

Blue Venture 9/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Cometh The Man +1pt, Shanghai Rock +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +1.375pts  

1:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (26th June)

NEWCASTLE 1.45 

A nice looking class 2 race with 14 runners, there is 3 known front runners, Mountain Brave, Magical Spirit and Major Jumbo and the latter may do best of the trio but I doubt it can hold on for the win, Staxton and Mondammej could both run a big race and could make the frame but I will be backing FLEETING PRINCE 11/1 who is dropped in class to run in this race and is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and has good trainer/jockey stats so connections I think are expecting a big run but I do have the 3yo VICTORY HEIGHTS 18/1 rated 4lbs higher using its best time from 2020 and will admittedly have to bounce back to form to win compared to its 2 runs this year on turf and I'm hoping the switch back to the AW will see it find its best form again and its a race where I will be having two small each way bets. 

Fleeting Prince 11/1 Unp  -2pts

Victory Heights 18/1 Unp -2pts

Total -4pts

NEWCASTLE 2.20 

A Group 3 sprint with 3, or possibly 4 front runners in the race and two of my top 3 are possible pacesetters but my top 3 ratings all get their ratings on different surfaces to today's, Khaadem who has good trainer stats but isn't a front running type is my 2nd top rated it gets its best time from the turf and is making its debut on the AW, Highland Dress is my 3rd top rated and has good trainer and jockey stats but top rated is GOOD EFFORT 9/1 who has very good trainer/jockeys stats and its best time comes from Lingfield, if I stick to just those that have times over this c/d my top rated is BRANDO so I'm hoping this race might be one where a couple of each ways bets might be worthwhile and pays dividends. 

Good Effort 9/1 2nd +1.25pts

Brando 20/1 7th -2pts 

Total -0.75pts

CHESTER 2.45 

There is 4 known front running types in this field of 8, I would look to lay Charlie Fellows 9/1 even though being a 3yo it is always a bit of a gamble as I'm not sure its really up to this class of racing, Caroline Dale is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated and housed in stall 4, Cuban Breeze is in stall 2 and could gain control of the rails being another front running type while my top rated is GLAMOROUS ANNA 9/2 drawn in stall 6 and IF, yes it is a big if, this one does get to the front it could prove hard to catch but my stakes will be on the low side because of all the uncertainties in the race. 

Glamorous Anna 7/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Charlie Fellowes +1pt

Total 0pt

CHESTER 5.40 

I am not a fan of betting at this course as the draw can be so cruel at times, I will look to lay Sir Maximillian who I think was flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run race, Equally Fast, Spoof and Thegreatestshowman are all capable of running big races and could make the frame if others falter, I think that DARK SHOT 13/2 will be the one to set the pace and is my top rated using its best time from Leicester last year and with an easy lead could pinch the race from the front but I do have MOONRAKER 33/1 rated higher and this one is a rule unto itself but is capable if in the mood and the day you don't back it is the day it bolts home at a big price plus at the price it might be worth having an each way punt. 

Dark Shot 13/2 5th -1pt 

Moonraker 66/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Sir Maximillian +1pt

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 7.15 

A class 4 race with 13 runners and 2 known front runners, I will look to lay Dave Dexter 15/2 who may find this distance too far for it as will Global Warning 8/1, I have 6 horses with positive marks alongside their names, Giogiobbo could front run but the trainers record here is 1-54, Mohaareb will be staying on at the finish but lacks a little time wise, TURANGA LEELA 10/1 is the one I expect to set the pace and could be dangerous with an easy lead, The Lamplighter is my 2nd top rated using its best time from 2020 but its best time form this year is 2nd best on just 2021 times, Big Les has decent trainer+ jockey stats but may lack the pace to pick the leaders up but my top rated is TREACHEROUS 16/1 using a time from Goodwood last year and I think it was quietly fancied last time out at Ripon where for some unknown reason it ran poorly was eased significantly in the closing stages but has been found a chance to get back to winning ways in this race but I am a little worried by the jockeys 0-8 record for the stable.

Treacherous 16/1 2nd -1pt 

Turanga Leela 28/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Dave Dexter +1pt Global Warning +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

2:00 Newcastle Free Racing Tips (8th January)

NEWCASTLE 2.00 

In this race Double Up is versatile with its racing tactics and its best time from Wolverhampton would put it in 3rd top spot and could do enough from the front to make the frame, the stall one occupier Heath Charnock is the only natural frontrunner but timewise it needs to improve, my 2nd top-rated is Reckless Endeavour but this one is on a losing streak of 22 which is off-putting my money will be riding on WASNTEXPECTINGTHAT 3/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and it is 2 from 2 on AW tracks both here and has been found a good chance to complete its hattrick. 

Wasntexpectingthat 3/1 2nd

NEWCASTLE 2.30 

A poor turnout of 7 for this class 2 conditions race but 4 of the 7 have been known to lead before, Corinthia Knight has won 9 and been placed in another 9 races of its total run of 29 runs, Watchable is my 3rd top-rated are both the 2 natural frontrunners in the race, El Hombre is my 4th top-rated just 1lb below Lomu who is my overall top-rated but that was from way back in 2016 so I cannot trust that figure after all this time, my money will be on GOOD EFFORT 7/2 who is top-rated on 2019 c/d times and 2nd overall if I consider Lomu’s time which I will ignore so it is then also my top-rated overall, add on the very good trainer/jockey stats which makes me think they are expecting it to go well in this race. 

Good Effort 7/2 1st

KEMPTON 6.45 

Only 6 runners in this class 2 race, Penrith Flier could be the one to set the pace but I'm not sure it's up to this class as its recent good form was in much low-class affairs, Junius Brutus is on a losing run of 11 and the other one is known to set the pace before and could take some catching but I do have SOLDIER'S MINUTE 5/2 as my top rated and it likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish another plus is the good trainer/jockey stats besides its name and will be the one I will be backing. 

Soldier's Minute 5/2 4th 

See Eric's Secret Tip