4:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd May)

LINGFIELD 4.00 

Only 7 runners which I always hate I prefer 8 for each way purposes, there looks to be plenty of early pace in the race but it think they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace, all 3 of the possible pacesetters, Merhoob, Impeach and Charming Kid could make the frame, if pushed I would side with Impeach as the one to do best of the trio as Merhoob may need this run for fitness and Charming Kid has been in poor form, I will look to lay Ooh Is It 9/2 who may struggle to stay the trip with a fast early pace which I expect will happen here, the top weight COUNT OTTO 11/1 has been running in better class races than this one and its best time over this course and distance from 2021 would see it back to winning ways and the jockey does have a decent 18% win ratio for the stable. 

Count Otto 11/1 1st +11pts

Total +11pts

LINGFIELD 4.35 

Another race where there looks to be plenty of early pace in the race with 4 that have been known to lead before, Bowling Russian would win this race if able to reproduce its best rating from 2020 but it hasn't been in form lately and its best from last year was well below the previous years best, Twilight Heir and Stay Smart would need to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me thinking that Swiss Pride may do best of the front runners but the trainers last winner was 28 runners and 54 days ago, I think that Pure Dreamer 9/1 may need this run for fitness after being off for 568 days and a longer trip may also be better for it so I will put it up as a lay if it stays a single figure price near the off, my money will be riding on LILKIAN 11/4 who has both good trainer and jockey stats which is usually a positive.

Lilkian 5/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Pure Dreamer -5.5pts 

Total -6pts 

Total on the day +5pts 

2:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (15th April)

LINGFIELD 2.20 

With both If You Dare and Mighty Gurkha being front running types it should be a true run race but I doubt if either can stay in front to the line, Mulzim and Whittle Le Woods 7/1 both might prefer the Tapeta surface but I doubt this pair will be single figure prices, as for the winner I cannot narrow it down to anything less than three with decent chances of winning if they hit top form, JACK'S POINT 6/1 (EW) is my top rated on just 2022 speed figures and third top rated using both 2022 and 2021 ratings, MUSCIKA 16/1 (EW) comes out second top rated using its best 2021 figure and third top using just 2022 ratings but this years speed figure is quite a few spots below its best figure but could be worth an each way punt, COUNT OTTO 12/1 (EW) comes out second top rated on just 2022 ratings and top using both years figures and if its possible I would hope to have each way wagers on all three of them. 

Jack's Point 7/1 5th -2pts 

Count Otto 12/1 7th -2pt 

Muscika 25/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -6pts 

NEWCASTLE 2.35 

A cracking class 2 Conditions race where they all carry the same weight, I will hopefully be laying Harry's Bar 9/1 who seems to prefer the Polytrack surface and has poorish trainer stats, I'm not sure if there's anything worthwhile that I could lay, while Ejtilaab 9/2 is the official top rated horse in the race but seems slightly better on the Polytrack surface, Spycatcher 11/2 is second best on my figures which again is on the Polytrack surface and hasn't run over this distance on this Tapeta surface so I'm not sure what it can achieve on this surface, GOOD EFFORT 12/1 (EW)  is my top rated on course and distance speed figures and also comes out top rated overall using its best rating from Lingfield, it also has good trainer 35%, and jockey 33%, stats which hopefully means they are going all out for the win in this race and has to be given as an each way wager. 

Good Effort 12/1 6th -2pt 

Total -2pts 

CHELMSFORD 4.30 

Just 8 runners so I hope they all take part, half of the field have led before so it should have a fast early pace but I think they might set the race up for something coming from off the pace, I will be looking to lay Blackcurrent 7/2 whose trainer is 0-4 at this course and 0-5 in the last 2 weeks and its been nearly a month since their last winner plus it needs to improve time wise to win this race, I also feel that Porfin 7/1 might get outpaced here and may stay on too late for the win and might be a better prospect over further, my money will be relying on I'M MABLE 3/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and this race might be run to suit it but as this is its first run for quite awhile i will be keeping my stakes on the low side. 

I'm Mable 3/1 1st +3pts 

Lay bet Blackcurrent +1pt 

Total +4pts

Total on the day -4pts

2:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th March)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

There's 3 known front runners in this race, Swiss Pride 6/1 is one of them and is capable of recording a high speed figure but all in lower class races so maybe not up to winning this race, I'm not sure what to expect from Twilight Heir 12/1 and I'm doubtful that Impeach 5/1 can lead all the way for the win while Night On Earth 10/1 may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace so I will be laying it if of value, as for the winner I will probably have a small covering bet on Jacks Point 9/2 who ran well last time when finishing 2nd and could possibly go one better here but my main bet will be riding on COUNT OTTO 13/2 who at first glance looks out of form but did record a good time the time before last over this course and distance and the jockey has a decent strike-rate for the trainer. 

Count Otto 14/1 7th -1pt

Lay bet Night On Earth +1pt 

Total 0pts

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

I hope all 8 runners take part and the pace will most likely be set by Khabib 11/2 who won last time out and holds Tathmeen 9/1 on that run but both of them might be outclassed at this level and time wise the winner would need to improve a few spots and might be worth laying if a shortish price but it is a 4yo who could be improving my lay stake will be kept low, Gowanlad 3/1 might be better racing over further and the jockey is 1-19 for the stable it might be another one to lay, as for the winner I'm hoping that GLORIOUS RIO 14/1 (EW) who is housed in stall 8 next to the probable pacesetter so could get a good tow into the race before staying on the stronger at the finish and the jockeys 29% win ratio on the stables older horses is hopefully a good pointer and at the odds it has to be an each way wager.

Glorious Rio 22/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts  

NEWCASTLE 7.15 

Not a race to get too excited about but the early pace could be set by Ustath but it hasn't been in good form lately, it would be a surprise if those in the bottom four in the handicap were to win this race, Million Reasons 5/2 has been in cracking form but it was either slow going or a slow run race when it won over c/d last time out and it should go well again here but I expect it will be fairly short in the market, I will take a bit of a punt in this race on DUE A WIN 13/2 who has been placed in 4 of its 8 AW races but is still a maiden after 11 races in total and can find this distance a bit too far if there's a fast early pace which might not happen here so it could have a chance to get off the market in this race. 

Due A Win 13/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

Once again I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way bet, I'm not sure this is the best surface for the front running Nigel Nott 8/1 and would lay it if of value to do so, Ghatnanfar 15/2 might need this run for fitness so another one to lay, I actually think the early pace will be set by SPARTAN FIGHTER 3/1 who I tipped up last time out when it won priced at a ten to one, the apprentice jockey does well riding for the stable and it could lead all the way again here but I cannot let SHALLOW HAL 11/2 run without having a bet on this one as well it usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and the jockey has a 29% win ratio on the stables older horses and could be the one to prosper if the leader/s fade in the closing stages.

Spartan Fighter 5/1 1st +5pts 

Shallow Hal 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Nigel Nott +1pt, Ghatnanfar +1pt 

Total +6pts

Total on the day  +3pts

2:25 Newmarket Racing Tips (1st May)

NEWMARKET 2.25 

A 9 runner race with 3 known front runners among them and they my top 3 ratings so maybe a lot of horses wont be able to get involved in this race, Arecibo is my 4th top rated so could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade badly, Judicial comes out 3rd best using a 2019 time but has been a bit below that level since then, Glorious Anna comes out 2nd best but those times have come in top class handicaps not Group races like today so may get outclassed in this race, I will be pinning my hopes on LAZULI 11/4 leading from start to finish and this one has good trainer, 29% and jockey 22%, winning ratios in older horse races and also has a more than decent 18% win ratio in Listed and Group races. 

Lazuli 3/1 1st +3pts (Betfair SP 4.52) 

Total +3pts

THIRSK 3.50 

A big field of 16 runners so another place up for grabs for the each way backers, both Mr Wagyu andThe Armed Man have been known to lead before and their best times only just see them missing my top four ratings, Dream Together is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Benefit Street has a time from Yarmouth last year that would make it my top rated by a good few spots but that time is beginning to look a bit of a fluke where it got towed along in a fast run race and all its other times see it just outside my top four plus it has a poor jockey stat of 0-10 for the stable, so I will be backing FOX HILL 14/1 who has its best time from Leicester last year and the jockey has a 20% win ratio for the stable so might be worth an each way bet at the price. 

Fox Hill 14/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 4.15 

There seems to be a lot of 7 runner races lately and here is another one, I am not sure what will set the pace which always muddies the waters, Embour won last time out in a slow run affair so may have been flattered and its best time which comes from 2019 would only see it make 3rd position on my own unique speed figures, 2nd top spot belongs to COUNT OTTO 9/2 who also won last time out but again in a relatively slow race but does have a much better time from 2020 which is only 1lb below CHIL CHIL 4/1 my top rated and both have good jockey stats making me think that both set of connections are out to win this race so I have no option other than to back both of them. 

Chil Chil 4/1 1st +4pts (Betfair SP 3.73)

Count Otto 9/2 6th -1pt

Total +3pts

THIRSK 4.25 

Eleven runners with 3 possibly 4 front runners in the field and 2 of them are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay John Kirkup, Cowboy Soldier and Shepherds Way if single figure prices, Saluti and Eeh Bah Gum are my joint 3rd top rated with the latter being a possible pacesetter, in 2nd top spot is Ready Freddie Go but that is using its best time from the AW over this distance at Newcastle, i will have a small, hopefully each way, bet on MACHREE 6/1 who is my top rated using both times from 2021 and 2020 and if on a going day is capable of leading all the way. 

Machree 6/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Cowboy Soldier +1pt

Total 0pts

DONCASTER 5.00 

A 7 runner race where the pace could be set by Danzan who is my 4th top rated beast, I would look to lay Via Serendipity who may want further and as so does Northernpowerhouse, my 3rd top rated is Triggered but that time comes from back in 2019, the top weight MOUNTAIN BRAVE 9/4 is my 2nd top rated on a figure recorded in 2020 so has to be respected but i will also be backing BLACKHEATH 9/1 who did record its best time in 2018 but hasn't any recent form over this distance as its been racing over further but its best time over this distance would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Mountain Brave 5/1 1st +5pts (Betfair SP 6.8) 

Blackheath 9/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet: Via Serendipity +1pt

Total +5pts

DONCASTER 6.35 

I will state right from the off this isn't a race to be betting in too heavily if at all, the early pace could be set by Aberama Gold but this one prefers some cut in the ground so keep an eye on the weather but if it does have cut I wont be betting, Edraak and Mokaatil have good speed figures but they were produced in lower class races, Lexington Dash has poor jockey stats, the value call in the race could be LAMPANG 9/1 who hasn't run recently on good to firm ground, which it prefers and the jockey has a 16% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Lampang 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total 1pt 

Total on the day +9pts

1:50 Newmarket Racing Tips (14th April)

NEWMARKET 1.50 

A nice looking class 2 handicap and a couple that have been known to lead, Going Places only seems to lead if nothing else wants to so may not have to lead here and it may be better over further so may not even be able to lead and it may be one i will look to lay if it is of value to do so, two others I will look to lay if of value are Stone Circle and Gunmetal, the former may also prefer a longer trip and the latter who is actually my 2nd top rated, may be outclassed at this level and it doesn't want the going to be too firm, Additional is the one I think will set the pace and could be very dangerous if allowed a soft lead but then again it might need this run for fitness, I couldn't back or lay this one, I think Dazzling Dan has a chance to make the frame even though its only 4th on my figures, I will split my stakes in this race backing both CHIL CHIL 8/1 who ha a decent time from 2020 but it is a 2019 time that makes it my 3rd top rated and this one has a positive looking jockey booking it has a break to overcome but has one after a break before, the other bet is COUNT OTTO 10/1 who produced its best time last year over this c/d so I'm hoping it can do so again. 

Count Otto 10/1 1 Point Win 1st +10pts (Betfair SP 11.12) CSF £68.44

Chil Chil 8/1 1 Point Win 2nd -1pt 

Gunmetal 2 Points Lay +2 pts

Goin Place 1 Point Lay +1pt

Stone Circle 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +13pts

BEVERLEY 4.00 

I can only find 1 natural front runner in this 5 furlong dash, I will look to lay Muscika and Queens Order if a single figure price, Jawwaal, Ginger Jam, Music Society and Saluti all like to stay on at the business end of a race but all need to improve time wise if others run to their best, Nibras Again is capable of recording a good time but this one might be outclassed in this class 3 affair, my 2nd top rated is King Of Storms 9/2 and it could be the one to set the pace to the race and recorded its best time this year when winning at Bath so has to be respected and it could be the one for the forecast but I wasn't expecting it to be the favourite, I will be hoping that VICTORY ANGEL 10/1 can improve on its 4th place on its last run at Musselburgh and that's where it recorded its top time, so being this year it is another in good heart and as usual at the price I have to go with an each way wager. 

Victory Angel 1 Point Each Way 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 8.4) 

Queens Order 2 Points Lay +2pts

Muscika 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total on the day +28pts

2:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (5th March)

LINGFIELD 2.00 

I am not sure what to expect from Zargun who hasn't raced in the UK before but it did run in Group 3 races but hasn't won a race since 2018 so I will leave it alone, the early pace might be set by Recon Mission who comes out in 3rd top position, in 2nd top spot I've got Total Commitment who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but my money will be riding on COUNT OTTO 3/1 (1 Point Win) who has the plum stall 1 draw and has won 3 times over this c/d. 

Count Otto 3/1 1st +3pts (Betfair sp 3.55)

Total +3pts

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

Only 6 runners and the early pace may be set by Dapper Man in this race and if getting to the front it could prove had to catch if it can reproduce its best time from 2018 but its best time from 2020 isn't that far off the same level so could go well but if BUNIANN 2/1 (1 Point Win) reproduces its best time which it did record this year it would see it winning this race a little cosily. 

Buniann 2/1 1st +2pts (Betfair sp 2.33)

Total +2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.15 

Quite a tricky class 6 race, Epeius would be in the mix if using times from 2018/19 but hasn't been in good form lately, Griggy, Kilconquhar, Billy Wedge, Wicklow Warrior and Kroy all have snippets of form that could see them contest to make the frame but i will be going with 2 selections in this race, STAR CRACKER 28/1(1/2 Point Each Way) could be the one to set the pace here and if putting its best hoof forward could lead all the way but its a little bit too inconsistent to be having just the one bet so I will also back ATRAFAN 11/2 (1 Point Win) who is top rated on recent c/d figures. 

Atrafan 11/2 5th -1pt

Star Cracker 66/1 Unp -2pts

Total -3pts

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

There are 3 horses that have been known to lead so it should be a true run race and it looks a very competitive affair, the top weight Asad could be an interesting runner as it has led and won over 7 furlongs before and this is its 1st race over today's 6 furlongs, the other 2 front runners, Gunmetal and Spartan Fighter could also go well, Athoillblair Boy will win a race somewhere this year but only wins one or possibly 2 races per year, Ghathanfar is usually held up for a late run and could get a good tow into the race being drawn in stall 2 with a fast starter either side of it, top rated on my figures is HART STOPPER 17/2 (1 Point Win) who has 1 win and 1 place from its 3 previous runs over this c/d and could go well now refreshed after a short break. 

*NR

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

This is a nice looking race for a class 6 affair with 3 known front runners amongst the field of 9 over the minimum distance, Rebel Redemption looks to want further and might be worth laying, Harrogate could do best of those coming from off the pace if bouncing back to form as it hasn't shown much lately, Manumission was a beaten favourite last time it ran but would need to improve time wise on its best Wolverhampton time to win this race although this is its debut over this c/d, Van Gerwen a possible pacesetter who comes out 2nd best on a time from 2020 may need this run for fitness, Swiss Connection can possibly lead and comes out 3rd top on my figures and would need to improve a few spots to win this race, that leaves me with ROCKLEY POINT 4/1 (2 Points Win) who is also a front runner and my top rated so if getting to the front could prove a hard nut to crack.

Rockley Point 4/1 4th -2pts

Total on the day 0pts

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (4th June)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

This dry spell is ideal for my speed figures so let's hope they don't water it too much before racing, I will look to lay (Thegreatestshowman who is better over a shorter trip, I'm Available may prefer further and also a slower surface, Tin Hat is my 3rd lay as it prefers a shorter distance) Ginger Fox looks as though it might prefer further and a shorter trip but it does have positive jockey booking. I'm not sure whether I dare lay it, the price will make my mind up, DRUMMOND'S WARRIOR 14/1 is the one I think will set the pace and could be the danger and could win here if my selection doesn't run to its best so could be worth an each-way bet at the price but I will be backing COUNT OTTO 4/1 who will be trying to stay on the stronger towards the end of the race. 

Count Otto 4/1 3rd 

Drummond's Warrior 14/1 7th 

Lay bets: Thegreatestshowman +1pt, I'm Available +1pt, Tin Hat +1pt

Total +1pt 

NEWCASTLE 5.05

There are 3 known frontrunners in this 5-furlong dash but I think they will set the race up for a finishing type, I will look to lay (Society Queen who may need further and Jewel Maker who might prefer a slower surface) Royal Brave is my 3rd top-rated but the jockeys 0-18 record for the stable makes me think a place is maybe the best it will attain, Buniann is another with a negative jockey booking, this one's record is 1-15 so my money will be riding on TABAAHY 4/1 who can track the leaders or be held up and could get a good tow into the race with the make-up of this race and the horse has good AW stats. 

Tabaahy 11/2 1st 

Lay bets: Society Queen +1pt, Jewel Maker +1pt

Total: 7.5pts 

NEWMARKET 5.20

Division 2 of this sprint and it should be a fast run affair with four known frontrunners in the field of 11, I have found 3 I would like to lay (Commander Han who looks better over a longer trip, Ginger Jam doesn't look as it stays this distance and this race won't be run to suit it, Chairmanoftheboard may prefer a longer trip or a slower surface maybe both) the topweight BUNGEE JUMP 25/1 has good jockey stats and could set the pace and I think I will have to have a covering each-way bet on it just in case it can lead all the way at the price, my main bet is BOY IN THE BAR 11/2 who is another that has been known to lead but this one might not like really fast/firm going.

Bungee Jump 33/1 1st 

Boy In The Bar 20/1 8th 

Lay bets: Commander Han +1pt, Ginger Jam +1pt, Chairmanoftheboard +1pt

Total: +35pts 

Total on the day: +43.5pts (Excellent from Eric Winner)