2:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (28th August)

NEWMARKET 2.45 

A 10 runner Listed class race with a couple of front runners, the top weight Summerghand is dropped in class from its recent races and if reproducing its best time from 2020 here over the Rowley course it could win but its been way below that standard time wise so far this year and not worth risking, Adaay To Remember won last time out in a lower class race and might be a progressive type but this is a big jump in class but being a front running type it could go well but not one I would like to rely on, I will be on the side of TABDEED 2/1 who is another dropped in class and comes out as my top rated using its time from Newbury last time out when it finished 2nd and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here, I expect it will be the favourite but I don't mind backing shorter priced horse in races where the prize money is significant. 

Tabdeed 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.15 

This is a Listed class race with 4 known front runners amongst the field of 12 and both Tis Marvellous and Justanotherbottle could do well from the front as both are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay Dakota Gold 5/1 if its a single figure price as I think its better over longer distances but with the likely fast pace here it might play to its strengths but maybe too late for it to win this race, Wise Words my 3rd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish as will be TARBOOSH 14/1 (EW) who comes out top rated using a time from Musselburgh this year and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Tarboosh 14/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Dakota Gold +1pt

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.50 

A fairly big field of 15 runners with a couple of known pacesetters, until I've seen the betting I'm not sure if there's any worthwhile lays amongst them, Duke Of Firenze, Ventura Flame, Not On Your Nellie and Arnold have times that could make them competitive if at their best, I will be going with 2 wagers in this race firstly LATIN FIVE 11/2 who comes out top rated on just 2021 times and its good enough for 2nd top spot on overall figures and usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races but my top rated DARK SHOT 11/1 is the only natural looking front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-17 for the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence so I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Dark Shot 14/1 4th -1pt 

Latin Five 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 4.20 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but there is a couple of front running types so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Libertine Belle 5/1 who might need further to show its best, as for the winner I have to admit its a race where i will have to go with dutching 3 runners, LETHAL BLAST 7/2 is one of the 2 possible pacesetters and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its only 2lb below GLAMOROUS BREEZE 3/1 on just 2021 times but the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 6/1 has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated by 3lbs so its close between all 3 of them for various reasons and I cannot split them 

Second Collections 6/1 1st +6pts 

Glamorous Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Lethal Blast 7/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Libertine Belle +1pt

Total +5pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

If this race had any known front running types it would be a cracking race but the lack of known early pace already means my stakes will be kept low, James Watt, Secretinthepark and Nibras Again are all rated within a 1lb of each other in 3rd to 5th top rated so could battle it out to make the frame, in 2nd top spot I've got Han Solo Berger but my top rated is the top weight SOUL SEEKER 8/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and I do like it when a horse comes out top rated carrying higher weight against lesser opponents. 

Soul Seeker 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 6.45 

With nearly half the field being either 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts this race is hard to analyse but I do think the connections of HAIL SEZER 6/1 have found their horse a good opportunity to follow up from the race it won last time out at Doncaster and recorded a fast time the race before at Carlisle when finishing 2nd which puts it at the top of my speed figures list but the trainers 0-4 for the last 2 weeks means my stakes will be kept low. 

Hail Sezer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 7.15 

I was going to leave this race alone with once again half the field being 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts but when I checked the time recorded by ABSOLUTE DREAM 4/1 when it won over this course and distance 2 runs ago I was surprised to see it was well above what I would normally expect from a class 6 race, its last race was over 7 furlongs so can be ignored and is quickly dropped back to its winning distance and should confirm the form of its course and distance win over Shes A Deva.

Absolute Dream 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

1:50 Catterick Racing Tips (21st July)

CATTERICK 1.50 

A strange race, the bottom 4 in the handicap are all out of form on recent runs but I expect they will all be double figure prices, I think the next 2 in the handicap, Qaaraat and Alex Gracie can both can struggle to stay the sixth furlong if there's a fast early pace and I would also add Alsvinder to the list of those that may not stay the distance, I expect Gullane One to set a fast early pace as that's its only hope of winning but I still doubt it can do so but never say never, Redzone has won over this distance and this course and distance but they were all relatively slow run affairs and maybe another to add to my lay list, Lincoln Gamble is my 3rd top rated and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 2nd top using a time from Pontefract last year but its last win was way back in 2018 but may need this run for fitness having been of the courses for over 200 days, if *STRONSAY 9/1 runs here after running at Ayr on Monday this will be the one carrying my money, on Monday it was close to the front but the pace was a slow one and then it got outpaced when the other leaders kicked and then stayed on again nearing the finish but I think this race will have a faster early pace which will suit it better. 

*NR

CATTERICK 3.20 

There is only 6 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead, I can only see Denzils Laughing 9/1 as one to lay as its best times even when winning were on the slow side of things and could therefore get outpaced in this race and could be found easier chances in the future, Militia and Machree are possible pacesetters and the latter is my 3rd top rated, MUTABAAHY 7/2 is my top rated using just 2021 times and has a time 3lbs higher from 2020 but that would only make it my 2nd top rated on overall figures and could be the one to prosper if the leaders go off too fast and fade but of the front runners I've got DARK SHOT 11/4 in top spot using a time it recorded at Leicester last year and I will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Dark Shot 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Mutabaahy 13/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Denzil's Laughing +1pt

Total on the day -1pt

1:35 Ayr Racing Tips (19th July)

AYR 1.35 

A race with 8 runners so lets hope they all run, I cannot find a guaranteed pacesetter amongst them which is something that always puts me on the back foot and any bets the stakes are kept on the low side, Global Humor is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded at Hamilton in 2020, in 2nd top spot is Amazing Alba who might like this race as it can struggle to stay this far if there's a fast early pace but I will stick with backing my top rated STRONSAY 11/4 who can run in midfield or track the leaders and hopefully it can cover any moves whatever way this race is run and a repeat of its time from Hamilton this year would see it winning it a shade cosily. 

Stronsay 100/30 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 6.15 

A big field of 17 for this race and a couple of front runners to make sure there's a fast early pace, I'm not sure if there's anything of value to be worth laying, as for the winner I have 5 of them with positive marks against their names and have some chance of winning this race but I will discard two of them but I cannot narrow it down any further and I will go with dutching the three remaining horses, DARK SHOT 8/1 is the one that I think will lead in this race and comes out top rated using a time from Leicester last year that might be a little bit higher than it should be but with a soft lead it could be very dangerous, VAN GERWEN 10/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times which it recorded at Ripon and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, *NOT ON YOUR NELLIE 7/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and also 2nd top on overall figures using a time from 2020 and usually is held up or races in midfield and then stay on at the business end of the race. 

*NR 

Dark Shot 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Van Gerwin 22/1 Unp -1pt

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 7.35 

There is 2 known front running types in this race so it should be a true run affair, I will look to lay Huraiz and Lihou if they are a single figure price as they might prefer a longer distance to shine while I would also lay Firepower 13/2 as its been in poor form lately that is if they are single figure prices, Rose Hip would be top rated using a time from Leicester last year but the time of that race is starting to look like a bit of a fluke time, Second Collection would be another contender using its best time from 2020 over this course and distance, the early pace may well be set by Glamorous Anna who recorded its best time at Newbury last year but I will be backing the top weight A SURE WELCOME 3/1 who usually finishes fast over this distance and this ones best time was recorded this year over this course and distance which is always a bonus.

A Sure Welcome 9/2 7th -1pt

Lay bets Lihou +1pt, Huraiz +1pt

Total on the day -2pts

3:27 Beverley Racing Tips (3rd July)

BEVERLEY 3.27 

A 12 runner race where it is very competitive between my top five ratings, I will look to lay Obee Jo who may prefer some cut in the ground and it was a slow time when it finished 3rd on good to firm last time out and may also prefer a longer distance, East Street Revue seems to be gradually getting a little bit slower each year and is another I will look to lay, Night On Earth hasn't been in form lately and comes out 4th best on my figures, Young Tiger is 2nd top on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall but has poor trainer/jockey stats with their older aged horses, Latin Five is my top rated on 2021 times but drops to 2nd on overall figures but the jockeys 0-6 for the stable is a bit off-putting but I might back it as a covering bet but my main bet will be DARK SHOT who hasn't done a fast time so far this year but its best time from Leicester last year would see it winning a shade cosily but this ones trainer/jockey stats are on the poor side so my stakes will be kept on the low side but the trainers record for the last 2 weeks has been 2 wins from just 9 runners so i have to back it. 

DARK SHOT 7/2 1PW 2nd -1pt  

OBEE JO 4/1 2PL +2pts

EAST STREET REVUE 7/1 2PL +2pts

Total +3pts

CARLISLE 7.20 

Of these 11 runners I can see 3 that like to lead and Denzil's Laughing is one of them but it sets a slower pace when allowed to lead and wont be able to do that here so it becomes a lay in my opinion if a single figure price, another possible pacesetter Shesadabber only comes out 5th top rated on my figures so I doubt it could hold on for the lead but I also doubt it is fast enough to lead with a faster horse in the race, Gunnerside comes out 4th best using a time from this year at Ayr, Afandem has a time that makes it my 3rd top rated but I have a feeling that time might be a one off where it got towed along in a fast run affair so I think it might have been flattered and a shorter price than it ought to be, Debawtry is actually my top rated by 2lb’s but its recent form has been way below that level and the jockeys 0-4 record for the stable also puts me off its chances so I will be putting my money on SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 12/1 who is the 3rd front runner in the race and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch and the trainer does have a good 23% win record with their older horses and I like the jockey booking as it is his first ride on this horse. 

SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 12/1 1PEW 5th -2pts 

DENZILS LAUGHING 8/1 2PL +2pt

Total on the day +3pts

1:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (26th June)

NEWCASTLE 1.45 

A nice looking class 2 race with 14 runners, there is 3 known front runners, Mountain Brave, Magical Spirit and Major Jumbo and the latter may do best of the trio but I doubt it can hold on for the win, Staxton and Mondammej could both run a big race and could make the frame but I will be backing FLEETING PRINCE 11/1 who is dropped in class to run in this race and is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and has good trainer/jockey stats so connections I think are expecting a big run but I do have the 3yo VICTORY HEIGHTS 18/1 rated 4lbs higher using its best time from 2020 and will admittedly have to bounce back to form to win compared to its 2 runs this year on turf and I'm hoping the switch back to the AW will see it find its best form again and its a race where I will be having two small each way bets. 

Fleeting Prince 11/1 Unp  -2pts

Victory Heights 18/1 Unp -2pts

Total -4pts

NEWCASTLE 2.20 

A Group 3 sprint with 3, or possibly 4 front runners in the race and two of my top 3 are possible pacesetters but my top 3 ratings all get their ratings on different surfaces to today's, Khaadem who has good trainer stats but isn't a front running type is my 2nd top rated it gets its best time from the turf and is making its debut on the AW, Highland Dress is my 3rd top rated and has good trainer and jockey stats but top rated is GOOD EFFORT 9/1 who has very good trainer/jockeys stats and its best time comes from Lingfield, if I stick to just those that have times over this c/d my top rated is BRANDO so I'm hoping this race might be one where a couple of each ways bets might be worthwhile and pays dividends. 

Good Effort 9/1 2nd +1.25pts

Brando 20/1 7th -2pts 

Total -0.75pts

CHESTER 2.45 

There is 4 known front running types in this field of 8, I would look to lay Charlie Fellows 9/1 even though being a 3yo it is always a bit of a gamble as I'm not sure its really up to this class of racing, Caroline Dale is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated and housed in stall 4, Cuban Breeze is in stall 2 and could gain control of the rails being another front running type while my top rated is GLAMOROUS ANNA 9/2 drawn in stall 6 and IF, yes it is a big if, this one does get to the front it could prove hard to catch but my stakes will be on the low side because of all the uncertainties in the race. 

Glamorous Anna 7/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Charlie Fellowes +1pt

Total 0pt

CHESTER 5.40 

I am not a fan of betting at this course as the draw can be so cruel at times, I will look to lay Sir Maximillian who I think was flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run race, Equally Fast, Spoof and Thegreatestshowman are all capable of running big races and could make the frame if others falter, I think that DARK SHOT 13/2 will be the one to set the pace and is my top rated using its best time from Leicester last year and with an easy lead could pinch the race from the front but I do have MOONRAKER 33/1 rated higher and this one is a rule unto itself but is capable if in the mood and the day you don't back it is the day it bolts home at a big price plus at the price it might be worth having an each way punt. 

Dark Shot 13/2 5th -1pt 

Moonraker 66/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Sir Maximillian +1pt

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 7.15 

A class 4 race with 13 runners and 2 known front runners, I will look to lay Dave Dexter 15/2 who may find this distance too far for it as will Global Warning 8/1, I have 6 horses with positive marks alongside their names, Giogiobbo could front run but the trainers record here is 1-54, Mohaareb will be staying on at the finish but lacks a little time wise, TURANGA LEELA 10/1 is the one I expect to set the pace and could be dangerous with an easy lead, The Lamplighter is my 2nd top rated using its best time from 2020 but its best time form this year is 2nd best on just 2021 times, Big Les has decent trainer+ jockey stats but may lack the pace to pick the leaders up but my top rated is TREACHEROUS 16/1 using a time from Goodwood last year and I think it was quietly fancied last time out at Ripon where for some unknown reason it ran poorly was eased significantly in the closing stages but has been found a chance to get back to winning ways in this race but I am a little worried by the jockeys 0-8 record for the stable.

Treacherous 16/1 2nd -1pt 

Turanga Leela 28/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Dave Dexter +1pt Global Warning +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

2:45 Nottingham Racing TIps (10th June)

NOTTINGHAM 2.45 

Only 7 runners in a class 3 race, Lethal Lunch 11/2 has relatively slow times and may find this trip too short on good to firm ground so I would look to lay it, Muscika comes out 4th top rated using a 2020 time and usually likes to track the leaders, Typhoon Ten comes out 3rd top rated but the jockeys 0-17 record for today's stable makes me think they have another target in mind, Wentworth Falls can be held up or track the pacesetters but would need to improve time wise to win this race that's if others run to their potential, One Night Stand has a reliable time from 2020 at Windsor that would make it my 2nd top rated and has decent trainer/jockey stats but the jockey is 0-4 on the stables older horses but that isn't enough data to be taken as a definite, Dancinginthewoods can track the leaders or be held up but its best time wouldn't put it in my top 4, Case Key has a fast time and it is the only known front running type in the race so could be dangerous with a soft lead but it was recorded in a lower class race and I'm not sure its up to winning in this class. 

SUMMARY: Case Key could go well from the front and could make the frame but with only 2 places I wouldn't back it each way, my money will be riding on ONE NIGHT STAND 11/1 who is usually held up or in midfield and then stays on strongly at the finish. 

One Night Stand 11/1 1st +11pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total +11pts

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HAYDOCK 6.30 

Another 7 runner affair in a class 4 race, Marks Choice is usually held up for a late run but hasn't run recently over this distance on good to firm ground and its best from 2019 is only good enough for joint 4th top spot, Ventura Express prefers to track the leaders but time wise it would need to improve to win this race, Nibras Again has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but its been way below that level since that year, Fox Hill usually stays on at the business end of its races but is only 3rd best on my ratings, Secretinthepark 6/1 is the other joint 4th top rated and usually stays on at the finish over this distance but maybe too late for the win so one to lay, Dark Shot is the one i think will set the pace to the race and comes out top rated using a 2020 time from Leicester, Tenaya Canyon this 3yo hasn't any form over this distance on good to firm ground so I couldn't back or lay this one. 

SUMMARY: I am hoping that DARK SHOT 11/1 will set the pace to this race and then should prove hard to reel in, the trainers 0-5 at this course isn't ideal but not really enough data to make a confident analysis and the jockeys 1-24 when riding for this stable does look like a negative so my stakes will be kept low.

Dark Shot 11/1 4th -1pt

Total on the day +10pts

1:45 Epsom Racing Tips (20th April)

EPSOM 1.45 

Only 6 runners over the fastest course in the country, Green Power hasn't shown much worthwhile form in its latest runs, Spoof may not want good to firm going the same applies to Recon Mission and this one might also prefer a longer trip, Militia has been known to lead before but its another that doesn't want really fast ground which again also applies to Duke Of Firenze so I am hoping that DARK SHOT 5/1 can lead from the off and then prove hard to catch and a repeat of its best time from Leicester last year would be good enough to win this race. 

Dark Shot 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.20 Div I

This looks by far the better of the 2 divisions of this class 6 race, I would look to lay (Creek Harbour 10/1) if it becomes a single figure price, AT YOUR SERVICE 12/1 comes out top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top on overall figures and it usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races, in stall 2 is DODGY BOB 16/1 who likes to set the pace and has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated and they have employed an apprentice jockey to help their cause, sticking with times from 2019 ENGLISHMAN 33/1 comes out in top spot on overall figures and the jockey has a 17% win ratio for the stable on its older horses, so I will have to dutch all 3 of them with each way bets. 

Dodgy Bob 50/1 EW 5th -2pts 

Englishman 33/1 EW 6th -2pts

At Your Service 12/1 EW 9th -2pts 

Lay bets: Creek Harbour +1pt

Total -5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50 Div II 

Not the best of races even for the class, firstly I will look to lay (Dubai Elegance 11/2) as long as it is a single figure price as this trip might be too far for it and there is at least one known front runner in the race, only the top weight KATELLI 10/3 has recorded a rating on my figures for this year so has to be considered as a possible winner and the apprentice jockeys record is 1-3 for the stable so they could be expecting a big run, MIRACLE GARDEN 9/2 has a fast c/d time but it was recorded back in 2019, the apprentice riding this one is 1-2 for the stable, in top spot is AGUEROOO 4/1 but again the time comes from 2019 and the jockey has a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses, so it looks like all 3 sets of connections are expecting a big run so I will dutch the 3 of them.

Katelli 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Aguerooo 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Miracle Garden 9/1 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Dubai Elegence +1pt

Total -2pts

Total on the day  -8pts