4:15 Southwell Racing Tips (8th December)

SOUTHWELL 4.15 

Only 9 runners but a very hard race to analyse, there are a couple of known front runners so that's not the problem, I will look to lay (Scale Force + Pull Harder Con) if a single figure price, the early pace maybe forced by Samovar and/or Turanga Leela but the latter hasn't any form on this course but I am hoping from stall 2 that the former can get to the front and control of the rail and then could prove hard to catch for most of the field, Album has the stall 1 draw and likes to track the leaders so is ideally drawn it has a good time from Chelmsford but would need to improve a couple of pounds for the switch to this surface to win the race, I will be putting my trust and money on MOVEONUP 16/1 who is usually held up for a late run and this race looks likely to be run to suit its racing style and the apprentice jockey booking looks a positive move and their 7lb allowance takes it to the top of my ratings and at the price available it has to be given as an each way punt. 

Moveonup 15/1 Unp (-2pts)

Lay bets: Scale Force +1pt, Pull Harder Coin +1pt

Total: 0pt

SOUTHWELL  5.45

A poor turnout of 6 runners for this claimer, the bottom pair look to be out of their depth and will be the 2 outsiders, Thrave has the potential to go onto better things and could try to set the pace but i still prefer the proven, Requinted Dawn is my 3rd top rated and usually tracks the leaders, YOUNG JOHN 5/4 is my 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times but its best time from 2019 moves it to top spot and this front runner from stall 2 could set the pace and control the rails but just in case it cannot repeat its best from last year i will also back PUCHITA 7/2 who is my top rated on just 2020 times. 

Young John 5/4 2nd (-1pt)

Puchita 4/1 4th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

SOUTHWELL  7.15 

A full complement of 14 for this race for amateur jockeys which always means my stakes wont be at full strength, Requited Dawn could set the pace, usually stall 12 wouldn't be great but should be ok in the make-up of this race although with amateur jockeys normal racing tactics for each horse could go out the window it could prove troublesome, I will go with dutching 3 horses in the race, INDEPENDENCE DAY 16/1 (EW) has a fast time from Chelmsford which would make it my top rated but it hasn't raced on this surface before but luckily the price allows for a bit of insurance as it can be done as an each way wager, LETMESTOPYOUTHERE 10/1 (EW) is my joint top rated on c/d times but that time was recorded in 2019 and hasn't had a recent c/d run but the jockey booking might be a positive as they have a 17% win ratio for the stable and the trainer has an 18% win rate at the course but it does drop to 14% with their older horses so it has to be an each way bet at the price, top rated on just 2020 c/d times is GORGEOUS GENERAL 11/2 and this ones trainer has an overall win ratio of 18% at this course it jumps up to 26% with their older horses.

Letmestopyouthere 12/1 (+2pts) 

Gorgeous General 10/1 4th (-1pt)

Independence Day 25/1 6th (-2pts) 

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -3pts

4:50 Redcar Racing Tips (28th May)

REDCAR 4.50

There's a couple of known front runners in this race with Fair Cop coming out 3rd best so there should be a fast early pace and this one could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is MACHREE 14/1 and its 7lb claiming apprentice moves it to top spot and this one usually likes to track the leaders and my original top-rated MIDNIGHT MALIBU 10/1 is the other known frontrunner in the field so I will go with backing them both each way to cover the angles. 

Machree 14/1 1st 
Midnight Malibu 11/1 6th

See Eric's Winners in May (Over 100pts in winners) 

BRIGHTON 5.00

I don't know why I've added this sprint as I've no idea what will win the race, I would maybe have sided with National Glory 9/4 if it wasn't on a losing run of 14 and a better price, both Born To Finish 5/1 and Mont Kiara 20/1 could be competitive here and maybe dutching the 3 of them is the answer. 

REDCAR 5.55 

I don't usually like these amateur riders races but my top rated LETMESTOPYOUTHERE 9/2 is being ridden by a top class amateur jockette in Brodie Hampson and I will have a small bet as there is just so much that can go wrong in this type of race. 

Letmestopyouthere 9/2 7th

SOUTHWELL 7.10 

A lovely all weather sprint over the straight 5 furlongs here so the draw doesnt matter too much which is just as well when 7 of the 12 runners have been known to lead before and it might help my cause when my 4th and top rated are drawn next to each other, the 4th top horse is Crosse Fire in stall 5 but its best time so far this year has been a good few pounds below its best from 2018, Samovar likes to track the leaders and comes out 3rd best on my figures and could stay on at the finish so could make the frame, the topweight Eternal Sun 20/1 still comes out 2nd best and can be held up or track the leaders and its a bonus that its best time was recorded this year so at the price it might be worth an each way wager, the one I will be backing though is ARCHIMEDES 20/1 who is a possible pace setter and its drawn in stall 6 and im hoping it can lead or contest the lead from the off and prove good enough to lead all the way but luckily at the price I can back it each way. 

Archimedes 33/1 Unp 

SOUTHWELL 7.40 

Another nice looking all-weather sprint race, even class 6 races are nice on artificial surfaces, there's is a couple of horses that could be hidden dangers in Inexes and Vinnies Wish but I'm hoping it doesn't happen here, Hollander is well weighted on its best speed figure but that was recorded at Wolverhampton which is a different surface and hasn't run over this c/d before, Granny Roz, Kraka and Poeta Brasileiro have been known to lead but they are drawn 9 and higher so maybe won't be able to lead in the make-up of this race, LIAMBA 7/2 is my 2nd top rated and a possible frontrunner from stall 3 so could gain control of the rails and then be hard to catch and its 3lb claiming apprentice jockey moves it to joint top rated along with GLOBAL MELODY 5/1 so will split my stakes between the pair of them to cover the angles.

Liamba 7/2 1st
Global Melody 8/1 6th 

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