3:15 Hamilton Racing Tips (16th August)

HAMILTON 3.15 

A class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 10 runners, *Jordan's Electrics 15/2 might prefer a longer distance so maybe a lay as long as its a single figure price nearing the off, Kilconquer might be outclassed at this level, Global Humor can produce good ratings in slightly lower class races, Pockley has 1 good rating from Carlisle last year which is now looking a flukey time where it got towed along in a fast run race and hasn't been in form lately and its record is no wins from 17 runs on turf, my 2nd top rated horse Surprise Picture has a good chance of at least making the frame in this race and usually tracks the leaders, when i take off the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim MARK'S CHOICE 10/3 becomes my top rated and is also the most likely horse to set the pace to this race so is capable of leading all the way in this race although the trainers 0-15 record at this course is a little off-putting. 

*NR

Mark's Choice 10/3 2nd -1pt 

HAMILTON 3.45 

Class 5 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, Zig Zag Ziggy 20/1 hasn't been in good form lately but is the one most likely to set the pace to this race and might be worth an each way interest, Hey Mr 11/2 might prefer a longer trip than the the minimum distance of this race and therefore maybe worth laying,, Burj Malinka 10/1 can produce good speed figures but usually at basement level and doesn't seem to like really fast good to firm ground, Melody King 7/2 can find this trip too short on good to firm ground but it could possibly run on into a place here if reproducing its best 2021 speed rating, the 3yo Cotai West could also make the frame in this race but my money will be riding on *SOUL SEEKER 10/3 who won last time out and has been found the ideal opportunity to follow up here with another win and it also has good trainer/jockey stats. 

*NR 

Lay bet Hey Mr +1pt 

Total +1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.20 

A poor turnout of 6 for this class 5 sprint and there's not much recent direct form on this surface to work with, Phoenix Star will struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace, Miss Bella Brand 7/2 looks a better prospect when on the Tapeta surface so looks worth laying at the price, Twilight Secret comes out 3rd top on my figures with Intervention sitting in 2nd top spot with COOPERATION 5/2 in top spot, it might well be the one to set the pace to this race and if leading ought to be too hard to catch and has been found the ideal opportunity to complete its hattrick.

Cooperation 5/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Miss Bella Brand +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day 0pts

5:10 Ascot Racing Tips (6th May)

ASCOT 5.10 

I hope all 8 runners take part just in case I can find and each way wager, I will be looking to lay Silver Samurai 10/1 as it may need further and this race might not be run to suit it, I expect the early pace will be set by Mines A Double 9/4 who could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but if its as short priced favourite as forecast then it might be worth laying for the win part as it might do enough to still make the frame, Kimifive 14/1 would make the frame if able to reproduce its best rating from 2020 but hasn't been anywhere near that level since then, Spanish Star and Akkerinka have only 1lb between them and are my 2nd and 3rd top rated on recent ratings so could make the frame but my money will be riding on MANY A STAR 4/1 as long as the going is good to firm and the jockey does well when riding the stables older horses. 

Many A Star 4/1 1st +4pts 

Lay bets: Silver Samari +1pt, Mines A Double +1pt 

Total +6pts

RIPON 6.15 

Just 7 runners with one known front running type amongst them, I think Gullane One 8/1 might need this run for fitness and worth laying if a single figure price, the trainer Paul Midgley has two horses entered in this race where I have James Watt rated higher than Van Gerwin on my unique speed figures but jockey wise the one who does best for the stable is on the the latter so I'm a bit confused what the stable expects to happen, my money will be riding on the sole front runner DAPPER MAN 3/1 who finished third last time out and if allowed an easy lead in this race it should hold on all the way to the line for victory. 

Dapper Man 3/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

RIPON 6.45 

Up to 9 runners for this race which means I can look for each way wagers, I will be looking to lay Shallow Hal 13/2 who might prefer some cut in the ground and the apprentice jockey is 0-16 for the stable, I will also look to lay Twilight Secret 5/1 it hasn't any distance form on turf and slow times when racing at this distance on the AW surface at Wolverhampton while Imperium Blue 8/1 may struggle to stay the distance so I could add it to my list of lays, Fortamour and Flying Pursuit are my joint 3rd top rated so could battle to make the frame but I will be backing MARK'S CHOICE 13/2 and MANIGORDO 8/1 both will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and I have only 1lb between them so either could win the race.

Manigordo 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Mark's Choice 7/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Shallow Hal +1pt, Twilight Secret +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day +5pts

2:50 Epsom Racing Tips (31st August)

EPSOM 2.50 

KIMIFIVE 7/1 has only slow times over this distance this year while its best speed figure from 2020 would make it 3rd top rated on my overall figures and usually likes to track the leaders. 

EVASIVE POWER 6/1 comes out 2nd best on just 2021 times but that time is only good enough for 4th top on my overall figures.

RECON MISSION 11/4 is the only one known to prefer to front run, hasn't any distance form for this year but its best time from 2021 makes it my top rated on my overall figures.

DELEGATE THIS LORD 10/3 another with no distance form for this year and it would need to improve on its best time to win this race.

SPRING BLOOM 15/8 comes out top rated on just 2021 times but that is only good enough for 4th top spot on overall figures but its best from 2020 moves it into 2nd top spot. 

SUMMARY: a small field where my top rated is the only known front running type in the race so if RECON MISSION 11/4 can repeat its best time from 2020 at Newmarket it could lead all the way and get back to winning ways plus the jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 26% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Recon Mission 11/4 1st +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

RIPON 3.05 

MARK'S CHOICE 3/1 a possible front runner in this race and its best time from this year makes it my 2nd top rated but it does drop down to 3rd best on overall figures.

I AM A DREAMER 9/2 this one will need to improve on its best speed figure to be winning this race but it was recorded this year at Thirsk. 

PRINCESS POWER 4/1 will be one I will look to lay as it may struggle to stay the distance with 3 possible front runners so the early pace should be fast. 

PIVOTING 12/1 this 3yo has been known to lead but I'm not convinced this one wants good to firm ground and only has poor speed figures over this distance. 

CASE KEY 8/1 is the 3rd possible front runner and its best time from 2020 at Leicester makes it my top rated on my overall figures. 

USTATH 9/2 is my top rated on just 2021 times but that time does drop it down to 2nd top spot on my overall figures and doesn't want a really fast early pace but should be staying on well at the finish. 

WADE'S MAGIC 9/2 hasn't any distance form on turf this year and its another that I think doesn't really like good to firm ground. 

SUMMARY: I  think the early pace is the key to this race and I think MARK'S CHOICE and CASE KEY could be the ones to set the pace and as long as they don't go off too fast they should be hard to catch, I cannot really split them and will be backing them both as the former better form this year and the better trainer/jockey stats while the latter would win a shade cosily if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure.

Mark's Choice 3/1 -1pt 

Case Key 15/2 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +0.75pts