3:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th March)

LINGFIELD 3.50 

Only 7 runners in this race luckily there is a couple for known front running types in the race which always helps with analysis, Harbour Storm is a possible pacesetter but I am not sure this surface suits it, Martineo should be staying on at the finish and comes out 4th best just 1lb below Sir Hector in 3rd top spot, another that usually stays on at the finish after being held up in the early stages of the race but I think the top weight horse SWISS PRIDE 6/4 will be the one to set the pace and as it comes out top rated on my figures which was recorded this year it should prove hard to catch and ought to be able to lead all the way in this race. 

Swiss Pride 2/1 1st +2pts (Betfair sp - )

Total +2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10 Div I

I am not really a fan of these low class stakes races but sometimes there is a gem in the field, there is couple of horses in this division who have pieces of form that are above the rest BUT there is quite a few lightly raced sorts in the race who could be capable of improving and on recent speed figures alone there isn't much to work with so any stakes will be kept low, Terri Rules 11/4 is a horse that likes to lead and if it could reproduce its best time from 2018 it could lead all the way and did run ok with a decent time over this distance at Kempton but is 0-5 over this c/d so maybe the value call is to side with MIRACLE GARDEN 10/3 who is top rated on recent c/d times, I will admit I thought it might be around the 6/1 price which was forecast on the tissue prices, in fact it recorded that time this year and has a time from 2019 that makes it top rated on overall figures and that's enough for me to side with it. 

Miracle Garden 10/3 1st +3.33pts (Betfair sp - )

Total +3.33pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 Div II

This actually looks the weaker division of the 2 with very little to work on so I just analysed the first few in the betting, Twice As Likely 4/1 may need further and it was a slow time when it finished 3rd last time it ran, Shymay 8/1 is 0-13 in all of its runs but has been placed 4 times, Al Verde and Cherish have poor recent form, Ancient Astronaut 5/1 finished 2nd last time out but may have been flattered as it was a slow run affair, Andre Amor 10/3 looks likely to be the favourite and did run well last time out when finishing 2nd but that was over 5 furlongs and I am not 100% sure it stays 6 furlongs in a true run race, looking at the tissue prices, (only a rough guide) the value call could be FANTASY JUSTIFIER 10/1 (EW) it has the fastest recent c/d time which was recorded in 2020 and has a faster times in both 2019 and 2018 and is forecast to be a double figure price and could be worth an each way punt.

Fantasy Justifier 16/1 EW 7th -2pts

Total on the day +3.33pts

1:55 Haydock Racing Tips & Lay Bets (11th August)

HAYDOCK 1.55 

I can see 3 or possibly 4, Queen Of Kalahari, Galloway Hills, Redrosezorro and The Armed Man in this race that might try to set the pace and they may push each other a tad too much in the early exchanges and play into the hands of a hold-up type, Paddy Power has a time from Hamilton in 2019 that would see it make the frame but hasn't shown much so far this year, with the make-up of this race I think the connections have found a good opportunity for ICONIC KNIGHT 6/1 to follow up its win last time out and its best time from Windsor last year is good enough to win this race and the trainer has a good strike rate at this course. 

Iconic Knight 6/1 6th (-1pt)

Total: (-1pt)

HAYDOCK 2.25

If the going is good to firm I will look to lay (Camachess + Dark Silver + Somewhere Secret) and I will have to ducth 3 runners in this race to cover the angles, firstly BASHIBA 33/1 is top-rated on 2019/20 times and has an even faster time from 2018 that would see it win cosily but it hasn't been in good form lately but it is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning and the jockey does ok for this stable, secondly, PAVER'S PRIDE 4/1 who could set the pace in this race and is 2nd top-rated on 2020 times and only 2lbs off top spot so could go well from the front, thirdly BOUDICA BAY 14/1 is top-rated on just 2020 times so has to be on my list of the potential winner it's not a race to be wading in too heavily but dutching the 3 runners could prove profitable. 

Paver's Pride 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Bashiba 33/1 5th (-1pt)
Boudica Bay 16/1 7th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Somewhere Secret (-8.5pts) Betfair SP (11.64), Camachess +1pt, Dark Silver +1pt

Total: -9.5pts 


WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10

What a race and not in a good way, yes something does have to win the race I have some ideas but also I have negatives against most of those with a recorded speed figure plus it wouldn't take much improvement from many of the horses to win this race. I will lay both (Qaaraat + Hard Solution) who both seem better over shorter distances, Watheer has a jockey record of 0-19, Maid Millie has a trainer record of 0-26 and a jockey record of 0-11, Sharrabang, who is one of 3 known frontrunners, has a trainer record of 1-78 and the jockey is0-11, Kinglami the jockey's record is 0-46, in fact, the jockey has never ridden a winner on the AW, I've got *FANTASY JUSTIFIER 25/1 as my 2nd top-rated using a 2019 time but if it can reproduce its best of 2018 it could win cosily and as it it is also the only one without negative trainer/jockey stats it has to be the one I will back.

*NR

Lay bets: Hard Solution +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: -9.5pts

Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (31st July)

PONTEFRACT 1.25 

A race with a few lightly raced sorts and it doesn't look a race to be getting too heavily involved in betting wise, I will look to lay (*Magical Effect + Musharrif + Six Strings) as for finding the winner I've narrowed it down to 4 and I think I will be dutching them all, THE ARMED MAN 25/1 (EW) is only 4th top-rated but could be the one to set the pace and with an easy lead could pinch the race from the front so has to be an each-way bet at the price, FIRMDECISIONS 33/1 (EW) is 3rd top on 2020 times and on overall times so has to have a chance so another big enough to back each way, KINDLY 4/1 is 3rd best on 2020 times but is top-rated overall but that figure is only 2lbs higher than *FINAL FRONTIER 16/1 (EW) who’s best time was recorded this year which has to count for something and has to be the 3rd horse to be worth backing each way. 

*NR

Kindly 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Firmdecisions 33/1 4th (-2pts)
The Armed Man 25/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay best: Musharrif +1pt, Six Strings +1pt

Total: -3pts

GOODWOOD 3.15 

A shame there's only 7 runners and to be honest, it looks like a one horserace and I expect BATTAASH 1/3f will be an odds on favourite, it ought to win cosily according to my speed figures and if pushed I would go with backing the 3-year-old Liberty Beach for the forecast. 

Battaash 1/3 1st 
Liberty Beach 5/1 4th 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35

Save the best till last, I do prefer the AW racing as I seem to be able to see the overall picture much more easily, I will look to lay (Our Man In Havana + Awsaaf + Creek Harbour + Eastern Star + Kingsman Spirit + Where Next Jo) Cameatchoo is top-rated on just 2020 times and this 3yo could still improve, Pushkin Museum would be in the frame if reproducing its best time but that was back in 2018 and hasn't been at that level for a while now, Perfect Symphony would be in the mix as long as the early pace isn't too fast but that might not happen with Peachey Carnehan in the races this one likes to set the pace and could do enough from the front to stay in the frame so maybe an each-way bet, my money will be riding on FANTASY JUSTIFIER 14/1 (EW) who will be held up for a late run here and is big enough in price to be worth an each-way punt.

Fantasy Justifier 28/1 Unp (-2pts)

Lay bets: Our Man In Havana +1pt, Awsaaf +1pt, Creek Harbour +1pt, Eastern Star +1pt, Kingsman Spirit +1pt, Where Next Jo +1pt

Total: +4pts

Total on the day:  0pts