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Showing posts with label Batchelor Boy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Batchelor Boy. Show all posts

Thursday, 4 August 2022

2:20 Brighton Racing Tips (5th August)

BRIGHTON 2.20 

There's 12 entrants of which 5 have been known to lead before, I am not sure if I can see anything worthwhile to put forward as a lay bet in this race but that may change when I've seen the betting, Smeaton's Light and Michael's Choice are my joint 5th top rated and possible pacesetters, Recon Misson my 4th top rated and Doc Sportello in 2nd top spot are also known as front running types so this race could be fast and furious and I think they will battle hard for the lead here and then be tiring nearing the finish and play into the hands of something coming from off the pace, Evasive Power is my 3rd top rated and can track the leaders or be held up for a late run but if BATCHELOR BOY 14/1 (EW) can reproduce its best rating which it recorded over this course and distance last year it would come on hard and fast at the finish and win this race with a bit too spare and if an each way price then all the better. 

Batchelor Boy 16/1 3rd  +2.2pts

Total +2.2pts

BRIGHTON 4.25 

A field of 9 with 1 known front running type amongst them, Mr Pc 11/2 finished 2nd over this course and distance in a slow run affair and hasn't won before on grass from 10 attempts it could run ok and does have decent trainer stats and good jockey stats so it will be a smaller lay but I would still look to lay it on the win part only, others that could possibly be looked at with the objective to lay them are, Our Man In Havana 6/1 who may need further and Hot Hot Hot 5/1 for the same reason, Ard Up is a hold up type and my 4th top rated, Hattie C 16/1 comes out in 3rd top spot and Lethal Angel sitting in 2nd top spot so any or all of them could run well but I will be backing KING CRIMSON 10/1 (EW) who is my top rated and also the only known front running type in the race so could set the pace and lead from start to finish and at a double figure price it has to be backed each way. 

King Crimson 10/1 2nd +1pt 

Lay Bets Mr Pc +1pt, Hot Hot Hot +1pt 

Total +3pts

Total on the day +5.2pts

Sunday, 12 September 2021

2:10 Brighton Racing Tips (13th Septmber)

BRIGHTON 2.10 

GREAT NEWS 3/1 this 3yo usually likes to track the leaders and races as though further would suit it better, time wise it comes out 5th top rated and this race might not be run to suit it.

MAMILLIUS 7/2 usually stays on at the business end of the race after tracking the pacesetters, time wise its 4th best on my figures.

RECALL THE SHOW 5/1 another that likes to track the early pace its best time was recorded over this course and distance which is good enough for 2nd top spot but the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its been 19 days since their last winner.

BATCHELOR BOY also recorded its best time over today's course and distance and it was a time good enough to take it to top spot and is usually held up for a late run. 

BOOM THE GROOM 4/1 could set the pace to the race and a few years ago it would probably have won this race but it hasn't show much time wise since 2019.

GILT EDGE 17/2 a hold up type and is my 3rd top rated so could be staying on a bit too late to get to the front in time for the win.

SUMMARY: On my figures if BATCHELOR BOY 4/1 reproduces its earlier course and distance time it would be winning this race a little bit cosily and will be carrying my money. 

BRIGHTON 5.30 

ATTY'S EDGE 10/3 is a hold up type but only comes out 4th best on my overall speed figures so may not get to the leaders quickly enough for the win.

WE’RE REUNITED is another who will be staying on at the finish and the trainer does like to have winners at this course with a 21% win ratio with their older horses.

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 10/3 hasn't made the frame in 7 runs on grass and it might have more of a chance when tried over a longer trip and i will lay it if a single figure price.

KING CRIMSON 7/2 is the one that i think will be the one to set the early pace to this race and as its my 3rd top rated it could go well from the front.

CAPPANANTY CON 4/1 likes to track the leaders if it can as I think its better over further especially on good to firm ground so another I might look to lay. 

ESSAKA has only poor recent form but it has a time from 2020 recorded at Bath that makes it my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive so I'm hoping that's a good omen.

OCEAN WILDE 10/1 is a 3yo who has only slow times over this distance and races as though further might suit it better 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay some of these when I know exactly what the going is going to be and of course the betting helps my decisions whether they are value to lay or not, I will split my stakes in this race and back both ESSAKA 10/1 and WE’RE REUNITED 8/1 who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the business end of the race and one is top rated on 2021 times and the other on my overall speed figures.

Friday, 6 August 2021

1:50 Brighton Racing Tips (6th August)

1:50 BRIGHTON 

A strange race there's 9 runners but no known front running types but I have got negatives against the names of 6 of the runners and if knew for certain there would be a fast early pace I would look to lay, Red Alert, Ghepardo and Cappananty Con who all look better over shorter distances, the bottom weight The Lacemaker hasn't been in good form lately but does have a time from 2020 that would see it as my 2nd top rated but I would need to see some sign of a revival before putting any money on it plus the trainer is 0-9 at this course, GHERKIN 7/2 comes out top rated on just 2021 times and that time was recorded over this course and distance but my top rated is QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 6/1 and if able to repeat its best time from 2020 it would win with a bit in hand 

Queen Of Burgundy 6/1 5th -1pt 
Gherkin 7/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Cappananty Con +1pt, Red Alert +1pt, Ghepardo +1pt

Total +1pt

3:00 BRIGHTON 

A field of 12 with 2 known front runners amongst them, I'm not sure if I can trust a time recorded earlier this year over this c/d but if it wasn't a fluke time then the top 2 will have this race between them with a fair bit in hand, I will look to lay Tyger Bay if its a single figure price, SIR OLIVER 6/1 is my 3rd top rated and it was done over this course and distance sot has to be respected, TIN HAT 14/1 (EW) comes out 2nd top using a time from last year from Newmarket and could make the frame, BATCHELOR BOY 20/1 (EW) comes out my top rated again using a course and distance time but i will be backing all of my top 3 rated horses and each way bets where the price permits. 

Sir Oliver 6/1 3rd -1pt 
Batchelor Boy 25/1 7th -2pts 
Tin Hat 22/1 8th -2pts 

Total -5pts

3:45 MUSSELBURGH 

An 8 runner race with 3 pace setting types, I will look to lay Sunday Sovereign 6/1 who likes some cut in the ground to show its best, Ornate and Wrenthorpe will make sure there's a decent early pace and I've only got 2lbs between them on my ratings but they would have to improve time wise to win this race, Makanah, Embour and Mokaatil are my 4th to 2nd top rated using this years times so they could have each way chances but I will be backing JABBAROCKIE 6/1 who is the 3rd possible pacesetter and my top rated so if getting to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch. 

Jabbarockie 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sunday Sovereign +1pt

Total 0pts


BRIGHTON 5.10 

Twelve runners with just King Crimson known to like to lead but i doubt it can hold on for the win in this class 6 race, I will look to lay Breezyandbright 9/2 who might need further to show its best and has poor trainer/jockey stats with 3yo’s, Our Man In Havana, Wild Flower and Something Lucky have times that would make them competitive and could battle to make the frame but my money will be riding on AQUADABRA 22/1 (EW) who’s best time from 2021 makes it top rated for just this year and its 2020 time makes it top rated on overall figures and being drawn next door to the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger at the finish and at the price has to be an each way bet. 

Aquadabra 33/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bet Breezeyandbright -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts

7:38 NEWMARKET

Just 7 runners and no known front runner amongst them which is always a bugbear in my analysis, I would look to lay the 3 at the bottom of the handicap, Yimou 9/2, Green Power and Dewey Road, if they are single figure prices and I have a negative against each one of them, Dancinginthewoods is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but its only 4th top on overall figures, Soar Above and Abate haven't got recorded times for this year but come out joint 2nd top rated on my overall figures, BEYOND EQUAL 9/2 who comes out top rated on 2021 figures and its best time from 2020 makes it top rated on my overall figures.

Soft ground - no bet as advised 

Total on the day -11.5pts

NOTE: THE GOING HAS BEEN GIVEN AS GOOD AT THE THREE MEETINGS I AM INTERESTED IN BUT WITH HEAVY SHOWERS FORECAST PLEASE CHECK THE GOING BEFORE PLACING ANY BETS AND ANY SIGNS OF SOFT GROUND THEN IGNORE MY FIGURES AND ANALYSIS. 

Monday, 31 May 2021

3:55 Brighton Racing Tips (1st June)

BRIGHTON 3.55 

A field of 9 runners and at least one known front running type, I will look to lay Lets Go Lucky 13/2 who races as it may need further to show its best and this lay will be my main bet in the race, i could post up another 4 horses to lay but i think they will all be big prices and its the 3 top weights that look to have the best chance in this race, Kendergarton Kop 9/4 has been known to lead but its been doing that over a 7 furlong trip so whether it will be able to lead against these at this distance I'm not sure but it could at least make sure the early pace is good, Aweemaweh 7/1 comes out as my top rated but that is using a time recorded on the AW at Wolverhampton and could win cosily if able to replicate that sort of time on turf but the one proven on turf and the forecast going is BATCHELOR BOY 8/1 who is usually held up for a late run so I'm hoping the leaders are fading nearing the finish so this one can pick them up in the closing stages of this race and it has good both trainer and jockey stats, it isn't really a race to betting in too heavily. 

Batchelor Boy 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 4.25 

An 11 runner race and again there's is at least one known front runner amongst them, I will look to lay Big Time Maybe 7/1 who is held by my selection on recent form and maybe doesn't want fast good to firm ground, the other lays are Pour La Victoire 6/1 who may need further and Mykindofsunshine 9/1 who is still a maiden after 26 runs, the early pace looks likely to be set by Bring The Money 9/1 who is my joint 2nd top rated using its best time from 2020 at Ripon so may be worth an each way interest, the other joint 2nd top rated is Spreadsheet but this ones best time was recorded on the AW at Lingfield, my money will be riding on GLAMOROUS FORCE 5/2 who won last time out over this c/d which was a slow run affair but it has a time from Leicester last year that makes it my top rated and the trainer does seem to like having winners at this course, the price isn't great but a winners a winner and I think this 4yo could still be capable of some improvement.

Glamorous Force 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts