3:09 Lingfield Racing Tips (5th March)

LINGFIELD 3.09 

A nice looking race for a class 6 affair with a couple of known front runners in the race and both of them could go well, it will be a bit of a surprise if Fard, The Defiant, Vincenze Coccotti, Hot Hot Hot or Mercers win this race and I expect they will all be double figure prices, that's half the field eliminated Munificent 11/4 may prefer a longer distance and might be worth laying at such a short price, Ocean Eyes is still a maiden after 20 runs and 12 of them have been on the AW surfaces, its been 78 days since the trainer of Hope Springs last had a winner, BIG TIME MAYBE 9/2 is one of the possible pacesetters to this race, its best c/d rating is 2nd top for just 2021/22 ratings and its rating from Kempton in 2020 would see it winning this race with a bit in hand, MOVEONUP 7/2 also has a time from 2020 at Chelmsford that makes it my 2nd top rated and I think one of them could possibly lead all the way but which one I don't know so I will be backing them both and just hope they don't battle to hard for dominance and then fade nearing the finish. 

Big Time Maybe 5/1 4th -1pt 

Moveonup 10/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Munificent +1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 3.50 

Three of the six runners met last Saturday over this course and distance where ONE NIGHT STAND 3/1 ridden by Hollie Doyle led all the way and beat Strong Power by 2 necks into third place they meet on 2lbs better terms in favour of the latter in this race and this time Hollie Doyle is riding Strong Power which is her first ride for the stable, while One Night Stand is being ridden by a good 5lb claiming apprentice so the result should be the same again, the 3 that didn't run in last Saturdays race look a bit out of depth although Night On Earth 8/1 has a good speed figure on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle but its limited runs on this surface don't inspire confidence so might be worth laying if it stays a single figure price while Recon Mission hasn't been in good form and might need this run for fitness, Crimson Sand 4/1 did run last Saturday but not in the same race and needs to improve time wise to win this race and looks worth laying at the price. 

One Night Stand 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Night On Earth +1pt, Crimson Sand +1pt 

Total +1pt

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

It will be a big surprise if the bottom 3 in the handicap were to win this race but won't be of value to lay, unless your a big risk taker, Endowed 8/1 has a good speed figure from Chelmsford on the Polytrack surface but hasn't ran on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle and Wolverhampton and its rating over this c/d is poor so one that might be worth laying, I think Whittle Le Woods 5/2 will be the favourite but I have a feeling it might get outpaced in this race after running in 7 furlong races recently but with 3, Airshow, Twilight Madness and Recall The Show, pacesetters this race might fall into its lap so despite all my negative thoughts I'm not sure I can lay it either, I will back RECALL THE SHOW 6/1 to get to the front and then prove good enough to hold of any challengers and its rating when winning last time out over this c/d is quite a decent rating for this class of race and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here.

Recall The Show 6/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Endowed +1pt 

Total 0pt 

Total on the day 0pts

2:55 Yarmouth Racing Tips (1st July)

YARMOUTH 2.55 

LORNA COLE 14/1 its best time from 2020 doesn't put it in my top four ratings and usually likes to track the leaders but may get outpaced in this race so one to lay if of value to do so.

DARKSIDE PRINCE 7/2 one of four known pacesetters but that is using a run recorded on the AW at Chelmsford but hasn't made the frame in 3 runs on turf so not sure what to expect as its best AW time would make it top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd on overall figures. 

BREATH OF SPRING 8/1 races as though a longer distance would suit it better and its best time from the AW isn't good enough to make my top four so one I will look to lay. 

ELECTRIC LOVE 2/1 a 3yo that did record its best time in 2021 over this c/d, its usually held up for a late run but needs to improve time wise to win this race and that win might have flattered it. 

BIG TIME MAYBE 4/1 is another possible pacesetter in the race and its a time recorded at Brighton earlier this year that makes it top on just 2021 times and that is always a positive. 

ARZAAK 16/1 a possible leader is my top rated using its best time recorded over this c/d in 2020 but it hasn't won a race since 2018 which puts me off its chances of winning this race. 

KING CRIMSON 10/1 who has led before seems to be slowly getting slower with age as its now a 9yo and hasn't run for over 300 days so may need this run for fitness. 

CHOCCO STAR 20/1 hasn't shown much on turf for quite awhile now and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in the race. 

SWELL SONG 16/1 is my 2nd top rated using a time from 2020 again recorded over this c/d but its form on turf has been quite poor in its recent races 

FAREGAAN 50/1 has only poor form to its name and it expect it to be one of the biggest outsiders in the race.

BREEZYANDBRIGHT 11/2 is a 3yo but a maiden after 7 races though it hasn't run on good or good to firm ground before but I think it will need further to show its best. 

SWISS FLAMINGO 66/1 another 3yo with only poor form to its name and will be another that will be one of the biggest outsiders in the field. 

SUMMARY: Both Arzaak and Swell Song have form from 2020 that would give them every chance but I have negatives, trainer and/or negative jockey stats against both of them, I will be going with the horse that's top rated using only 2021 times and I will be hoping that BIG TIME MAYBE 4/1 can lead all the way.

Big Time Maybe 14/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet: Breath Of Spring +1pt

Total on the day 0pts 

5:55 Windsor Racing Tips & Lay Bets (24th June)

WINDSOR 5.55 

If the going is good to firm I would lay (Something Lucky) the topweight Three Little Birds also doesn't want the going to be too fast, there is 2 known frontrunners in the race and one of them Our Oystercatcher is my 2nd top-rated so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and is only 1lb below the top-rated *BASHIBA 16/1 on 2019 times but this has an even better time from 2018 which would see it winning cosily and it has good trainer/jockey stats to make me think it will go well in this race and worth an each-way flutter. 

*NR

Lay bets: Something Lucky +1pt

Total: +1pt 

WINDSOR 6.55 

If the going is on the fast side then both (Ghepardo and Firenze Rosa) might struggle to win and I will look to lay them, one of 2 known frontrunners and my 2nd top-rated is Haveoneyerself but this one usually needs a run after a layoff for fitness so I will be backing BIG TIME MAYBE 4/1 who is the other possible pacesetter and apprentice jockeys allowance makes it my top-rated but there is a few lightly raced sorts in the race so my stakes won't be at full strength.

Big Time Maybe 11/2 5th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Ghepardo +1pt, Firenze Rosa +1pt

Total: +1pt 

Total on the Day: +2pts

1:40 Brighton Racing Tips (20th August)

BRIGHTON 1.40 (8.1) 

Only 5 runners but 3 of them have led before and my top 2 ratings are possible pacesetters, BIG TIME MAYBE 11/8 comes out top rated on just 2019 times and this one might not want it to be really fast ground while PINK ICEBERG 11/2 who has a faster time but that was in 2018 and this one likes the fast going, so the going will be my deciding factor. 

Big Time Maybe 13/8 1st
Pink Iceberge 7/1 3rd

BRIGHTON 2.40 (8.1) 

A very muddled race, Enthaar and or Lightning Charlie 5/1 look the likely pacesetters and the latter is my 3rd top-rated, Alicia Darcy 15/2 is well weighted on its best time and with the apprentices claim could be the new 3rd top-rated, Pour La Victoire 9/1 is top-rated using its best 2018 time but hasn't shown much so far this year, the top weight Tin Hat 9/2 is top-rated using just 2019 times and the apprentices claim moves it to top spot but it's looking more of a fluke time now, I will look to dutch the four I've put prices up for if possible to make a profit. 

YARMOUTH 4.55 (7.4) 

The early pace here may come from Gifted Zebedee my 3rd top-rated but it needs to improve a few pounds to win this race, Archimedes is top-rated by just 1lb but that time was from 2017 and hasn't been near that time lately so my money will be riding on SIMBA SAMBA 2/1 a 3-year-old who won last time out and a repeat of that time would see it follow up here. 

Simba Simba 2/1 6th

KEMPTON 5.05

An 11 runner AW race, right up my street no going issues to worry about, there's 4 runners that have led before and my top 2 ratings are possible frontrunners here, Katheefa could run well if able to repeat its Chelmsford time on this track, Lady Dancelot 11/4 is my 2nd top-rated and stall 1 is ideal although it doesn't have to lead to win and was very very unlucky last time out when finishing 3rd as it got no clear run on its first 2 attempts to pick up and then finished like the proverbial train and would have won in another stride or two but SPARKALOT 10/1 has a c/d time that puts it 2lb clear and if the apprentice is worth the 7lb claim it could tip things even more in its favour and this one can also lead so I'm hoping it does lead and then repel all challengers.

Sparkalot 14/1 5th