8:00 Newcastle Racing Tipster (6th September)

NEWCASTLE 8.00 Div I 

Just one known front running type in this race so Cupacoco could set the pace although I think it might need this run for fitness so a good blast from the front would be ideal to blow away the cobwebs, the betting will decide what I will look to lay but, Cupacoco, Blazing Hot 7/1, The Grooming 9/1 and Tittly's Rock are all candidates if they are single figure prices, my top rated on just 2021 times is GLORIOUS RIO 2/1 who likes to track the leaders and has good jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run and the bookies seem to agree, it could win but i do have QAARAAT 20/1 (EW) rated higher if I use this ones best time from 2019 while its best from 2020 would put it into 3rd top spot and it has only had one run this year over this course and distance and it is capable of winning if in the mood to put its best hoof forward so at the price might be worth a small each way investment. 

Glorious Rio 2/1 +2pts 

Qaaraat 20/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bets Capacoco +1pt, Blazing Hot +1pt, The grooming +1pt  & Tittly's Rock +1pt 

Total +4pts

NEWCASTLE 8.30 Div II 

This looks the weaker division but it does have more 3yo’s that could still improve, I think the early pace will be set by Attaboy Roy 4/1 who is a 3yo and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but its not an each way price, it is already my 3rd top rated overall and 2nd top rated on just 2021 times as it is the only known front running type in the race, Brandy Station 20/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated and its best from 2020 would keep it in the same position so could go well and if there's 3 places up for grabs it could be worth a small each way interest, Tanasoq 7/2 is 3rd top rated on just 2021 course distance times but only 2lbs below Attaboy Roy the likely leader, my top rated on just 2021 course and distance times is RAABEH 12/1 (EW) who has a time from 2020 that is quite a bit better and a repeat of that speed figure would see it winning a bit cosily and at the price I have to give it as an each way bet.

Raabeh 12/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pt 

Total on the day +2pts

3:42 Ripon Racing Tips (2nd August)

RIPON 3.42 

Just 6 runners in this class race but luckily 2 of them have been known to lead but one of them Macho Pride 9/4 has poor trainer stats and I would look to lay it especially at such a short price, the other is Bossipop 9/1 who seems to be getting a little bit slower each year and its best time this year is quite a bit lacking and I expect it will be an outsider, Fortimour has a decent time from 2020 at this course and distance and could go well, if I took notice of Gale Force Maya’s time from 2019 it would be my top rated but has been nowhere near that since that year but I will be backing PAWS FOR THOUGHT 5/1 who will be staying on strongly at the finish and this race should suits its style of racing. 

Paws For Thought 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Macho Price +1pt

Total 0pts 

KEMPTON 4.20 

A class 4 and a pitiful 4 runners and none of them are known as front runners so its hard to analyse, I couldn't lay any of them and I will take a punt on KATH'S LUSTRE 7/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so I'm hoping it can cover any moves and prove the stronger at the finish and in my opinion is the value call in this race. 

Kath's Lustre 15/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.07 

I can only see Niagara who has led before but it is still a maiden after 8 runs but does have a time on turf that would make it my 2nd top rated so has to be feared, I cannot find anything of value to put forward as a lay as most will be biggish prices, At Your Service is my 4th top rated using a time from 2019 and hasn't been in good form lately, I will be backing 2 in this race the top weight SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 15/2 is my 3rd top rated and the trainer has been in good form in the last 2 weeks and it will be staying on at the finish, my top rated RAABEH 11/2 would be my sole selection if it wasn't for the trainers 0-18 in the last 2 weeks and the horse is still a maiden after 18 runs and 13 of those runs have been on AW tracks. 

Sambucca Spirit 15/2 6th -1pt 

Raabeh 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 6.45 

A 16 runner race with 4 that have led before and I think/hope that it can be won from the front, I cannot see anything of value to lay as most horses will be double figure prices, there's a few that could go well looking at snippets of form they have shown, Total Commitment who usually tracks the leaders, Lihou who recorded its best time over this course and distance and will be trying to stay on at the finish, Open Wide has a time from 2020 that could put it in the mix, my 4th top rated is Operate who is one of the likely pacesetters, Tinto is 3rd top but it is using a 2020 time and its not been anywhere near that level so far this year, Treacherous is 2nd top rated and will be staying on at the finish but its best time came from 2020 but I will be backing my top rated A SURE WELCOME 16/1 (EW) who is a possible pacesetter and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and has decent 17% trainer stats and 15% jockey stats which makes me think connections are expecting a big run in this race and if possible it would be a decent each way wager. 

A Sure Welcome 28/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 7.45 

I hope all 8 stand their ground so there is 3 places which I want to have an each way bet, I will look to lay Sarah's Hope 8/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish but on the clock it will probably be too late to win this race, there is 3 known front running types so it should be a true run race especially as they are my top 3 ratings, the 3yo Toptime comes out 3rd best but has to improve a few spots to win this race, Lethal Blast is my top rated on just 2021 times and must have every chance but I will be taking a punt on UNION ROSE 16/1 (EW) who comes out 3rd best on 2021 times but has a time from 2020 at Bath that takes it to the top spot and hopefully if it gets to the front could be hard to catch but I am hoping its a double figure price so I can take a bit of insurance with an each way wager.

Union Rose 33/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bet Sarah's Hope +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -6pts

1:00 Southwell Racing Tips (4th April)

SOUTHWELL 1.00 

Today's two sprints are pretty poor affairs and stakes will be kept to a minimum, the early pace might be set by Jeans Maite but strictly on form its not weighted to beat AGUEROOO 9/2 again, San Juan is forecast to be the 2nd favourite but again at the weights its held but this time by Red Allure, Brandy Station has a decent time from Newcastle but slow times from its 7 previous c/d runs so maybe isn't suited to this surface and the jockeys 0-11 record for this stable has to be taken as a negative,RAABEH 18/1 hasn't made the frame in 9 races but does have a good time from Newcastle but that might have been a flukey time where it got carried along in a fast run affair but it has good trainer/jockey stats so maybe today is the day it breaks its maiden tag, DARK SIDE DREAM 6/1 has good trainer stats and is my top rated on recent c/d times which is always a positive and I will be dutching the 3 horses. 

Dark Side Dream 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Rabaah 18/1 4th -1pt

Aguerooo 9/2 5th -1pt 

Total -3pts

SOUTHWELL 3.36 

This is a tricky looking race with just one known front runner in Jazz Legend but time wise it would need to improve to hold on for the win but could make the frame, First Excel is versatile with its racing tactics and is another that could make the frame,others that have a competitive time from awhile ago or different tracks are,Tyche, Catapult, Deevious Beau, Burning Sun and Kommander Kirkup but I will have a small bet on the top weight DECISION MAKER 13/2 who if it can repeat its best time from 2020 it would win this race a shade cosily but has a 171 day break from racing to overcome and the fact that it wasn't in the best of form when it was last seen but is capable and the jockey has a 20% win ratio for the stable so I am hoping that is a good omen.

Decision Maker 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts