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Showing posts with label Dark Side Dream. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dark Side Dream. Show all posts

Saturday, 3 April 2021

1:00 Southwell Racing Tips (4th April)

SOUTHWELL 1.00 

Today's two sprints are pretty poor affairs and stakes will be kept to a minimum, the early pace might be set by Jeans Maite but strictly on form its not weighted to beat AGUEROOO 9/2 again, San Juan is forecast to be the 2nd favourite but again at the weights its held but this time by Red Allure, Brandy Station has a decent time from Newcastle but slow times from its 7 previous c/d runs so maybe isn't suited to this surface and the jockeys 0-11 record for this stable has to be taken as a negative,RAABEH 18/1 hasn't made the frame in 9 races but does have a good time from Newcastle but that might have been a flukey time where it got carried along in a fast run affair but it has good trainer/jockey stats so maybe today is the day it breaks its maiden tag, DARK SIDE DREAM 6/1 has good trainer stats and is my top rated on recent c/d times which is always a positive and I will be dutching the 3 horses. 

Dark Side Dream 6/1 2nd -1pt 
Rabaah 18/1 4th -1pt
Aguerooo 9/2 5th -1pt 

Total -3pts

SOUTHWELL 3.36 

This is a tricky looking race with just one known front runner in Jazz Legend but time wise it would need to improve to hold on for the win but could make the frame, First Excel is versatile with its racing tactics and is another that could make the frame,others that have a competitive time from awhile ago or different tracks are,Tyche, Catapult, Deevious Beau, Burning Sun and Kommander Kirkup but I will have a small bet on the top weight DECISION MAKER 13/2 who if it can repeat its best time from 2020 it would win this race a shade cosily but has a 171 day break from racing to overcome and the fact that it wasn't in the best of form when it was last seen but is capable and the jockey has a 20% win ratio for the stable so I am hoping that is a good omen.

Decision Maker 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

Saturday, 22 August 2020

2:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (23rd August)


WOLVERHAMPTON 2.25 

In this race I have marked half of the 10 runners with a negative against their name and I dont expect any of them, Capla Spirit-maybe the wrong surface, Bernies Boy-may need further, Port Noir-maybe better over a longer trip, Broughton Excels-also might not like this surface plus hasnt shown much recently and Carla Koala-a 11 runner maiden with poor form, to win this race but then I can only narrow it down to one main bet and 2 covering bets, DARK SIDE DREAM 13/2 could be the one to set the pace but its best time from 2019 only makes it my 2nd top rated and its c/d run this year when finishing 2nd was a slow run affair but if allowed an easy lead could lead all the way, KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 10/1 is top rated using 2019 times and one that will be staying on at the finish but just incase these 2 are not at their best yet this year I will also back the one with the highest speed figure from just 2020 times and that is the 3yo WADE'S MAGIC 9/4 who usually races midfield and then stays on strongly at the finish but i have to admit the price is way way shorter than I would have expected but i dont really have any option in this race other than to dutch all 3 selections.

Wade's Dream 9/4 2nd (-1pt)
Dark Side Dream 15/2 3rd (-1pt) 
Knockabout Queen 10/1 8th (-1pt)

Total on the day -3pts

Thursday, 13 August 2020

2:50 Pontefract Racing Tips (14th August)


PONTEFRACT 2.50 

CHECK THE GOING BEFORE BETTING. 

In all reality, I should be leaving this race alone as there is too little form for me to be confident with any selection. However, there's one horse that stands out on those that I can analyse properly and it looks a stupidly big price on the tissue prices so I will be having a small and I do mean small, each way punt on *LADY OF ARAN at 33/1 (EW). 


*NR


CHESTER 3.40 

There's a few with limited form to work with which reduces the size of any stakes, the early pace could well be set by Jack The Truth and it could easily do enough from the front to hold on for a place and if allowed a soft lead it could possibly pinch the race but I will stick my pennies on FOX HILL 9/1 (EW) who will likely track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and being drawn next door to the probable frontrunner it should get a good tow into the race and worth an each-way bet at the price. 

Fox Hill 16/1 6th (-2pt)

Total -2pts 

CHESTER 4.10

This 2nd division has a few less unexposed sorts but its still a tricky looking race, there's 3 that have been known to lead before and maybe Alsvinder can do best of those racing to the fore and its best time from 2018 would make it my 2nd top-rated but its form since then hasn't been up to that level but I will be backing MUTBAAHY 4/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and if reproducing its best time from Catterick this year would see it back in the winner's enclosure. 

Mutbaahy 11/2 6th 

Total -1pt


CHEPSTOW 7.05

There's only 5 runners and 2 of them like to set the pace, looking at the tissue prices I am surprised Zapper Cass is forecast to be the favourite as this distance sometimes looks to be on the short side for it, Secretfact is top-rated by 2lb’s using its 2019 time but hasn't been in good form so far this year and I am thinking that PINK FLAMINGO 2/1 could lead here and if doing so it could be very hard to catch. 

Pink Flamingo 85/40 4th (-1pt)

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 7.55

Will all 16 runners take part? I can see 3 that have been known to lead so it should be a true run race, looking at the lightly raced types in the race none seem fancied according to the tissue prices which leaves me with my top 4 ratings, WILD FLOWER 7/1 is 4th top rated the jockey is making their debut for the stable but the stable is 0-14 at this course, TILSWORTH ROSE 13/2 is in 3rd top spot and is one of the frontrunners it could go very well from the front BUT again its a jockey making their debut for the stable but the trainer's record is poor at 0-26, the topweight KATHERINE PLACE 5/1 is 2nd top rated in this instance the jockey is 0-2 for the stable but the trainer's record is 0-12 here at Lingfield, my top rated is DARK SIDE DREAM 10/1 and should be my selection, the trainer is 1-12 at this track but the jockey is 0-9, so as you can see my top 4 all have negatives against their names, I will probably go with dutching all 4 of them but slightly in favour of my top rating. 

Tilsworth Rose 13/2 1st Betfair SP (9.69) + EX £40.50
Katherine Place 5/1 2nd 
Wild Flower 15/2 5th 
Dark Side Dream 20/1 7th 

Total: +3.5pts 

Total on the day: -.5pts

Thursday, 2 July 2020

1:15 Chepstow Racing Tips & Lay Bets (3rd July)


CHEPSTOW 1.15 

Just in case the going is good or firmer I will say my bets and lays for this race, I will look to lay (Pastfact 3 points + Mad Endeavour 2 points + Crimson Princess 3 points + Bold Decision 1 point) I think this race will be won from the front, bothKinglami and Creek Harbour are possible frontrunners and have the exact same rating on my figures so could make the frame but my money will be on JAGANORY 12/1 (2 points each way) who is versatile with its racing tactics and that includes leading but it the make-up of this race it could lead from stall 3 but then again it could sit in just behind the leaders waiting to pounce and prove the stronger at the finish. 


Jaganory 22/1 8th (-2pts) 

Lay bets: Pastfact -12pts, Mad Endeavour +2pts, Crimson Princess +3pts, Bold Decision +1pt

Total: -8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30

In this 10 runner race I have marked 6 down as possible lays (Kyllachy Castle 2 point lay + *Valley Belle 1 point lay + Alba Del Sole 2 point lay + Chillon Castle 1 point lay + Potters Question 1 point lay + Simba Samba 1 point lay) my money will be riding on POPPY MAY 8/1 (3 points win) who is the only one known as a frontrunning type and could lead all the way here but One One Seven has a speed figure 1 spot higher but would need everything to fall right for it to pick up the leader if it repeats its best time. 

*NR

Poppy May 8/1 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Simba Samba -2pts, Kyllachy Castle +2pts, Alba Del Sole +2pts, Chillon Castle +1pt, Potter's Question +1pt

Total: +2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

Of the 8 runners here I will look to lay (Camachess 3 points lay + John Joiner 2 points lay) going back to 2018 Krystallite would have every chance but its 4 runs since then at this c/d have been poor so maybe best left alone, Precious Plum who has been known to lead is my 4th top-rated with Solar Park sitting in 3rd top position and this one will be trying to stay on at the finish, I've got joint top-rated, firstly Shepherds Purse who actually finds this trip a little too short for it to show its best but should be staying on but will need everything to go in its favour just to dead-heat this race if DARK SIDE DREAM 9/1 (2 points win) leads and runs to its best and this is one carrying my money.

Dark Side Dream 11/2 2nd (+0.375pts)

Lay bets: Camachess -9pts, John Joiner +2pts

Total: -6.625pts 

Total on the day:  -12.625pts