1:45 Haydock Racing Tips & Lay Bets (25th June)

PLEASE READ 

Today they get the going wrong again, neither Hamilton nor Haydock was good and good to soft in places which enforces why you should check the going with your own eyes before having a bet. 

HAYDOCK 1.45 

A very competitive class 2 sprint and i do hope the going is good or firmer, i will look to lay 3 horses that all might struggle to stay the distance if theres a fast early pace (*Camacho Chief + Top Breeze + Celsius) i would lay others but only if the going is good to firm, i will still have to dutch 3 runners in an attempt to find the winner, BURIDAN 10/1 (EW)  is my 3rd top rated but only 3lbs below my top rated and this one might be the one that sets the pace so worth an each way punt at the price, BARBILL 14/1 (EW) is 2nd top rated on my own unique speed figures, this one has good jockey stats with a 29% win rate on the stables older horses but the trainers record is 0-20 at this course with their older horses so not sure what to expect but again maybe worth an each way bet at the price, my top rated is *STAXTON 10/1 (EW) so another worth an each way wager who recorded a good time on its last run at Newmarket so even though it finished 7th it showed its in decent form, so i will be dutching the 3 selections with each way bets. 

*NR

Barbill 14/1 1st EW +16.8pts

Buridan 25/1 EW  6th (-2pts)   

Lay bets: Top Breeze +1pt, Celsius +1pt 

Total 16.8pts

LEICESTER 4.55

If the going is good to firm then I would lay both Burtonwood and Atyaaf, Teepee Time is the likely pacesetter and my 3rd top rated and could do enough to make the frame, Qaaraat is my 2nd top-rated and this one has been running well of late without winning and I'm not sure its one to rely on with any certainty, the one I think is probably the value call is MONARCH MAID 7/1 who will be staying on strongly at the finish and hopefully strong enough to register the win. 

Monarch Maid 9/1 5th (-1pts)

Total -1pt

BATH 5.10

There's plenty of early pace on show in this dash but I think they will be setting the race up for a finishing type, maybe Coronation Cottage will do best of those at the head of affairs and could even stay long enough to make the frame, Essaka is my 2nd top-rated and will be staying on at the finish, I will be backing the topweight INDIAN SOUNDS 5/2 who finished 2nd last time out and this is a drop-in class and has what looks a positive jockey booking and it should be able to go one better here. 

Indian Sounds 5/2 1st (+2.5pts)

Total +2.5pts

LEICESTER 5.55 

I will look to lay (Requinto Dawn) who can find this trip a bit too far for it, there is a niggle in this race with no known frontrunners but I guess something will change its usual tactics and go off from the front, Case Key is my 3rd top-rated and likes to track the leaders, Mutabaahy is my 2nd top-rated but this one is a hold-up type who likes to come with a late rattle but again my money will be riding on the topweight COOL SPIRIT 33/1 (EW) who has had a run this month to hopefully blow the cobwebs away and now dropped in class it can get back to winning ways and I am amazed at the price on offer so an each-way bet at such a big price.

Cool Spirit 50/1 9th (-2pts)

Total -2pts

Total on the day: +16.3pts

12:30 Chelmsford Backs & Lays Bets (8th June)

CHELMSFORD 12.30 

I'm quite intrigued with 2 runners from the same stable at the bottom of the handicap but both would have to improve to win if others run to their best, there's not a lot of form to some of the runners so my stakes will be kept low, Atalanta's Boy looks very much like a hidden danger having not run on the AW tracks before but if taking to the surface could go well, I will be having a few quid on the proven as usual so will be backing the topweight ALNASHERAT 7/2 its best time was recorded at Lingfield which is very similar to this course so I'm hoping it can reproduce its best here but it does have a long layoff to overcome so stakes will not be at full strength. 

Alnasherat 4/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 1.00

This class 6 race is once again dominated by horses with small amounts of data to work with so stakes have to be kept low again, I have found a few to lay (Maid Millie + A Place To Dream + Viking Way + Avenue Of Stars) Good answer is my 4th top-rated while Kath's Lustre moves to 3rd top because of the apprentice jockeys 3lb claim and this horse has good trainer/jockey stats so I expect it will go well, 2nd top spot is Amor Kethley but the jockeys 0-6 for the stable is a bit off-putting, my money will be riding on MONARCH MAID 8/1 who is versatile with its racing tactics and from stall 4 it could gain control of the rails which is always a bonus. 

Monarch Maid 14/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Maid Millie +1pt, A Place To Dream +1pt, Viking Way +1pt, Avenue Of Stars +1pt

Total: +3pts

CHELMSFORD 4.10

Only 8 runners but still a competitive affair I will start with the 2 to lay (Abel Handy + Bellevarde) both Spirited Guest and Red Stripes are capable of going well under the conditions of this race but the latter isn't drawn well for a frontrunning sort with 4 others that also like to lead, Tone The Barone was in cracking form just before the enforced shutdown of racing but would need to improve again to beat DAPPER MAN 5/1 who is a front running sort and in the make-up of this race stall 4 might be plenty good enough to see it either lead or contest the lead from the off and once getting to the front should be hard to catch. 

Dapper Man 12/1 8th (-1 pt)

Lay bets: Abel Handy +1pt, Bellevarde +1pt

Total +1pt

LINGFIELD 5.50

Down to 6 in this race which surprises me after the shutdown, I will lay (Grisons + Firenze Rosa) the top pair Harrogate and Irene May could both go well being my joint 3rd top-rated horses my 2nd top-rated, King Robert is just one spot higher so there could be a battle for the places but my money will be on SOMETHING LUCKY 11/4 who if capable of reproducing its best time from here in 2019 would win cosily and the jockey booking looks a positive move as he has a 19% win ratio for the stables horses on the AW.

Something Lucky 11/2 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Grisons - 2.25pts, Firenze +1pt 

Total: -2.25pts

Total on the day: +0.75pts