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Showing posts with label Indian Sounds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Indian Sounds. Show all posts

Thursday, 2 September 2021

2:20 Haydock Racing Tips (3rd September)

HAYDOCK 2.20 

A 7 runner race with no known front runners which is always a pain, I will look to lay Be Proud 5/1 who may need further to show its best and this race might not be run at a fast early gallop which wont help its cause, another possible lay is Manigordo 5/1 as I think it might be slightly outclassed in this race and the stable has another runner GOLDEN APOLLO 4/1 in the race who has a better chance of winning this race and will be staying on strongly at the business end of the race, my top rated horse is EMBOUR 5/1 so has to considered as a possible winner and if it wasn't for the trainers poor 0-46 record at this course it would most likely have been my only bet in the race. 

Embour 6/1 5th -1pt 
Golden Apollo 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Be Proud +1pt, Manigordo +1pt

Total 0pts     

HAYDOCK 2.55 

I can see 2 horses in this race that like to front run in the top weight who might not be good enough to hold on for the win even if it does get to the front and MACHREE 8/1 who could be very hard to catch if it does get to the front but it isn't my top rated so I will also be backing SOUND OF IONA 11/2 who is usually held up for a late run and this race could be run to suit its best racing tactic, I will look to lay Global Humor 5/1 who has done all of its winning over longer distances and may stay on too late to win this race. 

Sound Of Iona 7/1 +7pts 
Machree 14/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet Global Humour +1pt 

Total +7pts

ASCOT 4.10 

A nice looking 8 runner class 4 race with 2 horses Equinao Springs and the top weight Aljari being known as a front running types but I doubt the latter can hold on for the win and its best speed figures have come from AW races but would still need to improve on those speed figures to win this race while the former comes out 3rd best on my figures so could do enough to make the frame, Louie de Palma is my 2nd top rated using a 2020 time at Windsor which seems to be a favoured course for it as its best this year was also recorded there, top rated is SPIRITED GUEST 7/1 who usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the strongest at the finish. 

Spirited Guest 11/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

PONTEFRACT 7.00 

Unlucky for some is this 13 runner race but luckily there is 3 known front running types in this race, I'm not sure price wise if there's anything worth laying but the betting will guide me more on the day, Singe Anglais has been in decent form lately but the trainers 1-42 win ratio at this course is off-putting it could possibly make the frame being my 2nd top rated but maybe its got a future target in mind, Mr Orange could go well if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure as could the 3yo Royal Advice, MOTAWAAZY 5/1 who is in real good form lately could set the pace here and comes out in 3rd top spot just 1lb from being my 2nd top rated and if getting to the front could be hard to catch and it does have good jockey stats, my top rated horse DENY KNOWLEDGE 11/2 is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and that includes leading but it could be held up here for a late run while it also has good jockey stats so I will back them both to cover the angles of a front runner and a finishing type. 

Motawaazy 5/1 1st +5pts + EX £15.60
Deny Knowledge 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total +4pts

PONTEFRACT 7.30 

For a class 3 race this is a very tricky looking race where I cannot find anything to lay and also cannot narrow it down to less than 2 horses, Victory Angel is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd best of overall figures so could make the frame, KING OF STARS 10/3 is the one i expect to set the pace to this race and is my top rated on just 2021 speed figures which is good enough for 2nd top spot on my overall figures so has to be respected while INDIAN SOUNDS 15/2 has been a bit below its best so far this year but if reproducing its best time from 2020 at Bath it becomes my top rated so also has to be respected and once again i am going with 2 bets to cover the angles.

King Of Stars 10/3 1st +3.33pts +EX £10.30
Indian Sounds 15/2 2nd -1pt 

Total +2.33pts 

Total on the day  +12.33pts

Friday, 16 July 2021

2:15 Newmarket Racing Tips (17th July)

NEWMARKET 2.15 

The bottom weight world Of Windhover 9/2 may set the pace to this race but its best time which comes from Kempton on the AW isn't good enough to win this race so I doubt it will hold on for the win, I will look to lay Stone Circle if its a single figure price as I don't think it will like today's going as it seems to do its best when there's some cut in the ground, My Style, Devils Angel, Mount Hogan and Churchill Bay are all closely rated with just 3lbs between them and any of them could make the frame but I will putting my money on THEOTHERSIDE 5/1 who is from the Hannon stable who have a 19% win ratio at this course with their older horses it best time from this year isn't good enough for the win but its best time from Windsor last year would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Theotherside 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay Stone Cirle +1pt

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 6.50 

This handicap looks strange with four 3yo’s being at the top of the handicap and the older horses filling the bottom five positions, more of a problem is the lack of known front running types, Kim Wexter is my 4th top rated with Madreselva 2lbs higher in 3rd top spot but these two 3yo’s could have some improvement still to come, Celerity is having its 104th race here and has never won a race but did record one decent time is one of the 13 races where it made the frame at Lingfield my top rated is BOUDICA BAY 2/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and if the early pace is slow then I hope it will sit prominently and then stay on the stronger. 

Boudica Bay 11/4 1ST +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

HAYDOCK 7.20 

At least in this 10 runner race there is a coupe of known front runners in the field, Tweet Tweet and Son And Sannie come out joint top rated using just 2021 times and the latter has good jockey stats but their speed figures are only good enough for joint 3rd top on overall figures, I've got INDIAN SOUNDS 5/1 as my top rated using a time recorded at Bath in 2020 and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses but the top weight MOUNTAIN PEAK 4/1 who is one of the likely pacesetters, is my 2nd top rated overall using a time recorded last year over this course and distance and the trainer does well at this course and will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Indian Sounds 7/1 2nd -1pt 
Mountain Peak 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 8.35 

I hope all 8 runners remain as I am hoping to go with an each way bet on HARROGATE 13/2 who is one of 2 known front running types in the race and if getting to the front it could possibly lead all the way but because the race is for apprentice jockeys my stakes will be kept low, I have found 3 that I will look to lay, *Dandys Max has poor trainer/jockey stats and is still a maiden after 8 races, Lucky Beggar who has poor trainer/jockey stats and may need further to show its best, Mehmo who is still a maiden after 18 races plus it might not like the going if its good to firm ground and may also need a longer distance to shine, I might well have added Powerallied to the list of possible lays but that might be one step too far but as usual they will only be lays if they are a single figure price at the off.

*NR
Harrogate 13/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Lucky Beggar +1pt, Mehmo -6pts 

Total on the day -5.25pts

Sunday, 18 April 2021

1:30 Pontefract Racing Tips (19th April)

PONTEFRACT 
1.30 

Not a great days racing for me, either small fields or very little data to work with makes it a day to keep stakes low:- Only 6 runners in this 1st race but luckily 2 of them have been known to lead before and i think that Caspian Prince may do best of the pair being my 2nd top rated, there isn't much between the other four runners in the race except for INDIAN SOUNDS 7/1 who usually lies to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish and is 3lbs higher in my ratings so should catch the leader very close to the finish. 

Indian Sounds 7/1 1PW 5th -1pt
Venturous 11/4 1PL +1pt

Total 0pts

WINDSOR 2.10 

There's four runners that have been known to lead in this race with just 6 runners and my top 3 ratings are all possible pacesetters, I have got Outrage and Kick On Kick On as my joint 2nd top rated but I have got Union Rose rated 5lbs higher on a rating from last year but its time from this year was quite a bit lower so I am not quite sure what to expect. 

PONTEFRACT 3.00 

I don't expect DAPPER MAN 8/11 will be much of a price but it is my top rated and the only known front runner in the race and its time recorded at Ripon would see it winning the race a little cosily, looking for a forecast I would side with the top weight Mutabaahy 5/1 who comes out 2nd best on my figures and does usually run on at the business end of its races but it is 2nd in the betting so even the forecast isn't going to pay much. 

Dapper Man 8/11 3PW 2nd -3pts

Total -3pts

WINDSOR 3.40 Div I 

This is a poor poor race split into 2 divisions and the 2nd division is too bad to find anything worthwhile, in this division I have got very little to work with speed figure wise, I have found one in this 1st division that has a time from last year at Yarmouth which is good for a class 6 handicap so if, DELEGATE THE LADY 10/1 (EW) reproduces its best it could run well here and I'm hoping it will be worth a small each way punt. 

Delegate The Lady 10/1 1/2PEW 6th -1pt

Total on the day -4pts

Tuesday, 15 September 2020

2:00 Yarmouth Racing Tips & Lay Bets (16th September)


YARMOUTH 2.00 

I will start of with a couple I will l ook to lay (Inevitable Outcome + Superiority) a couple of 3yo’s who would need to improve to win this race but the former may prefer some cut in the going and the latter as this trip might be too far, my 3rd top rated is Queen Of Burgundy who likes to track the leaders, my 2nd top rated, LETHAL ANGEL 12/1 can be held up or track the leaders it has good trainer/jockey stats which point to it running a big race here, my top rated is *CAMACHESS 9/2 who likes to track the leaders before staying on resolutely the only problem with this race is I don't know who will set the pace so stakes will be kept on the low side. 

Lethal Angel 12/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Inevitable Outcome 9/1 1st (Betfair SP - 11.2), Superiority +1pt

Total: -8.2pts

YARMOUTH 3.45

Only 5 runners I still cannot narrow it down to a single selection, Leodis Dream is relatively quite slow on my speed figures but I expect it will be the outsider, the top 2, Blue de Vega and/or Caspian Prince will set the pace but I think they will set up the race for either TEXTING 13/2 or DACHAS 6/1 who both like to finish strongly at the business end of the race, they both have good trainer stats so I'm not sure which one will prevail so it has to be 2 bets in this race. 

Texting 13/2 2nd (-1pt)
Dachas 13/2 4th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

BEVERLEY 4.35

In this sprint I can find 4 horses to lay but I think all 4 will be big prices and represent very little value if any value at all, Musharrif could go well here if able to reproduce its best 2018 time and its best since then has been at least 10lbs below standard, there's a few that could go well Line Of Reason, Mythmaker, Athollblair Boy and Nibras Again, I will go with backing 2 horses in this race to cover the angles firstly DAPPER MAN 12/1 who could try to lead all the way here and is joint 2nd top on just 2020 times but top rated if using its Hamilton time from 2019, secondly my top rated on just 2020 times is INDIAN SOUNDS 11/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish.

Indian Sounds 11/2 1st (+5.5pts) Betfair SP 3.81)
Dapper Man 12/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: +4.5pts

Total on the day: -5.7pts




Wednesday, 24 June 2020

1:45 Haydock Racing Tips & Lay Bets (25th June)


PLEASE READ 

Today they get the going wrong again, neither Hamilton nor Haydock was good and good to soft in places which enforces why you should check the going with your own eyes before having a bet. 

HAYDOCK 1.45 

A very competitive class 2 sprint and i do hope the going is good or firmer, i will look to lay 3 horses that all might struggle to stay the distance if theres a fast early pace (*Camacho Chief + Top Breeze + Celsius) i would lay others but only if the going is good to firm, i will still have to dutch 3 runners in an attempt to find the winner, BURIDAN 10/1 (EW)  is my 3rd top rated but only 3lbs below my top rated and this one might be the one that sets the pace so worth an each way punt at the price, BARBILL 14/1 (EW) is 2nd top rated on my own unique speed figures, this one has good jockey stats with a 29% win rate on the stables older horses but the trainers record is 0-20 at this course with their older horses so not sure what to expect but again maybe worth an each way bet at the price, my top rated is *STAXTON 10/1 (EW) so another worth an each way wager who recorded a good time on its last run at Newmarket so even though it finished 7th it showed its in decent form, so i will be dutching the 3 selections with each way bets. 

*NR

Barbill 14/1 1st EW +16.8pts
Buridan 25/1 EW  6th (-2pts)   

Lay bets: Top Breeze +1pt, Celsius +1pt 

Total 16.8pts

LEICESTER 4.55

If the going is good to firm then I would lay both Burtonwood and Atyaaf, Teepee Time is the likely pacesetter and my 3rd top rated and could do enough to make the frame, Qaaraat is my 2nd top-rated and this one has been running well of late without winning and I'm not sure its one to rely on with any certainty, the one I think is probably the value call is MONARCH MAID 7/1 who will be staying on strongly at the finish and hopefully strong enough to register the win. 

Monarch Maid 9/1 5th (-1pts)

Total -1pt

BATH 5.10

There's plenty of early pace on show in this dash but I think they will be setting the race up for a finishing type, maybe Coronation Cottage will do best of those at the head of affairs and could even stay long enough to make the frame, Essaka is my 2nd top-rated and will be staying on at the finish, I will be backing the topweight INDIAN SOUNDS 5/2 who finished 2nd last time out and this is a drop-in class and has what looks a positive jockey booking and it should be able to go one better here. 

Indian Sounds 5/2 1st (+2.5pts)

Total +2.5pts

LEICESTER 5.55 

I will look to lay (Requinto Dawn) who can find this trip a bit too far for it, there is a niggle in this race with no known frontrunners but I guess something will change its usual tactics and go off from the front, Case Key is my 3rd top-rated and likes to track the leaders, Mutabaahy is my 2nd top-rated but this one is a hold-up type who likes to come with a late rattle but again my money will be riding on the topweight COOL SPIRIT 33/1 (EW) who has had a run this month to hopefully blow the cobwebs away and now dropped in class it can get back to winning ways and I am amazed at the price on offer so an each-way bet at such a big price.

Cool Spirit 50/1 9th (-2pts)

Total -2pts

Total on the day: +16.3pts