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Showing posts with label Secretfact. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Secretfact. Show all posts

Wednesday, 17 August 2022

4:35 Chepstow Racing Tips (18th August)

CHEPSTOW 4.35 

WILLINGLY 9/4 usually likes to track the leaders but would need to improve time wise to win this race but has won over today's distance.

SECRET HANDSHEIKH 5/1 another that likes to track the leaders but needs to improve time wise and a longer distance might suit it better. 

UBAHHA 9/2 is a hold up type who comes out in 4th top spot on my own unique speed figure ratings and could make the frame if others falter. 

GLAMOROUS BREEZE 12/1 can be held up at the rear of the field or race in midfield and should stay on enough to make the frame being my second top rated. 

SHESADABBER 15/2 one of three known front running types in this race and it comes out in third top spot on my ratings and with an easy lead could even win the race from the front. 

SECRETFACT 13/2 who can be held up or track the leaders comes out in top spot on my ratings and a repeat of its best figure Windsor this year would see it winning this race.

FOSSOS 33/1 is the second of the possible pacesetters in this race but would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

MASTER SULLY 5/1 finished second last time out but has poor form over today's distance and looks to prefer a longer distance. 

THE GOLDEN CUE 40/1 the third possible pacesetter but hasn't shown anything worthwhile time wise since 2019. 

SUMMARY: I expect Shesadabber to be the one to set the pace to this race and being my 3rd top rated could do enough from the front to make the frame here, Glamorous Breeze will be trying to stay on at the finish and could make the frame but i will be hoping that SECRETFACT 13/2 can reproduce its best figure from Windsor and get back to winning ways.

Secretfact 13/2 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Monday, 30 November 2020

4:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (1st December)


WOLVERHAMPTON 4.00 Div I

There is quite a few runners in this race that could battle to fill the places and could be worth backing each way if they are big enough in price but there is nothing of note in my opinion apart from TURANGA LEELA 7/2 who won last time out over this c/d and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here and a repeat of that time would be good enough and I think it could lead all the way here. 

Turanga Leela 7/2 1st (Betfair SP 3.99)

Total: +3.5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.30 Div II

This is a poor race and was one I was going to leave well alone until a little nugget appeared, De Little Engine who is one of two known front runners in the race could go well as could Klopp, Buy Me Back, Kaths Lustre and Elzaam's Dream, I will be taking a punt on the other possible front runner KUPA RIVER 9/1 (EW) who hasn't shown much lately but if getting to the front and bouncing back to form it could hold on for the win and hopefully for a bit of insurance it will be an each way price. 

Kupa River 9/1 4th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 5.15 

Of the 9 runners there's no known front running type amongst them, I think Fancy Footings may prefer further so this race might not be run to suit it, Tomily, Medicine Jack and I Am The Secret all have times closely matched but I have 2 horses with a few spots in hand and there's only 2lb’s between them, TATHMEEN 11/2 is my 2nd top rated and is usually held up while LUCKY LODGE 6/1 usually likes to track the pacemakers and has a 5lb claiming apprentice taking the ride, the 2 horses have the same trainer and owner and either could win and I will be backing them both. 

Lucky Lodge 17/2 2nd (-1pt)
Tathmeen 11/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 

A competitive class 5 race where i will to back more than one horse, I could lay Ventura Flame if a single figure price and the same applies to Primos Comet, Zulu Zander would have a chance but the jockeys 1-34 record for the stable is off-putting, Broughton's Flame is another that could go well in this race but i will be splitting my money between SECRETFACT 9/2 who could set the pace to the race and could prove hard to catch for most of the field but BALLYARE 11/2 has a speed figure from Newcastle over this distance which would see it winning the race a little cosily.

Secretfact 9/2 3rd (-1pt)
Ballyare 11/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

Total on the day:  -2.5pts

Friday, 30 August 2019

2:40 Sandown Racing Tips (30th August)


SANDOWN 2.40 (7.7) 

A lot of sprints for me to analyse today so have to keep things fairly brief for each race, this is a very tight little handicap, Our Oystercatcher could be the one setting the pace and is my 3rd top-rated it could prove hard to catch for most, Spanish Star comes out 2nd best so could make the frame but my money will be on SECRETFACT 5/1 obviously my top rated and it has good trainer and jockey stats. 

Secretfact 8/1 4th 

THIRSK 3.40 (7.9)

A field of 17 so my stakes won't be at full strength in this race, Roundhay Park is my 3rd best on a Doncaster time so could well if it can reproduce it on this more undulating course, Jawwaal sits in 2nd top spot and this one likes to track the leaders and its drawn in stall 17 while most of the early pace seems to be in those drawn low, top spot goes to TOMMY TAYLOR 12/1 who also did its best time at Doncaster and it does have to overcome a losing run of 17 races. 

Tommy Taylor 12/1 5th

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.05

There's 13 runners with just 2 known frontrunners, Royal Connoisseur is well weighted on its best 2018 time but hasn't been in the same level of form this year, Always Amazing is top-rated on just 2019 times but its losing run of 22 is off-putting but could still make the frame, my top rated on my overall speed figures is PEACHEY CARNEHAN 16/1 who is also 2nd top on 2019 times and will be carrying some of my money. 

Peachey Carnaham 16/1 5th 

THIRSK 5.45 (7.9) 

I'm not a fan of these amateur lady jockey races but VENTURA SECRET 10/1 has a few spots in hand on its best form BUT yes it is a big but, there's a couple of negatives against it, firstly its on a losing run of 21 and secondly the jockette who I think is the trainers daughter has only had 18 rides, all for the stable and hasn't won a race so far but I'm hoping it might be worthwhile having a small wager. 

Ventura Secret 11/1 Unp

HAMILTON 8.00 (7.4) 

There's quite a few that could make the frame but they may be all fighting for one or 2 places if my ratings are correct and they run to their best, Groundworker comes out 2nd top using its best time from 2018 at Thirsk but hasn't been near that figure so far this year but it proven capable when in the right mood but I will be backing the 3-year-old *HARD SOLUTION 7/1 who recorded its best time over this c/d this year and should be staying on resolutely nearing the finish of this race.

*NR