1:05 Chepstow Racing Tips & Lay Bets (21st July)

CHEPSTOW 1.05 

I have found 3 that I would like to lay (Tabaahy + Prince Of Rome + Bal Mal) Port Winston has led before as has Bal Mal but timewise they would need to improve a fair bit, Zulu Zander could run well enough to make the frame, my 2nd top-rated is Secretfact who can be held up or track the leaders and if running to its previous best should make the frame but I will be backing the bottom weight ALBA DEL SOLE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and they stay on the stronger at the finish and it has what looks to be a positive jockey booking so hopefully connections are expecting the horse to go very well here. 

Alba Del Sol 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Bal Mal -5pts, Prince Of Rome +1pt, Tabaahy +1pt

Total: -4pts

SANDOWN 5.00 

In this race, I have a couple to lay (Princess Power + *Jungle Speed) the 3yo Pop Dancer could be a bit of a hidden danger in this race but I am not completely sure how good or bad it will run so I cant back or lay this one, Our Oystercatcher could go well here but doesn't seem to like true good to firm ground and if not watered it could well be good to firm, the bottom weight Zac Brown is capable of producing a good run if on a going day but my money will be riding on the topweight JACK THE TRUTH 8/1 who is a possible pacesetter and if this one gets to the front it could be very hard to catch.

*NR

Jack The Truth 8/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Princess Power +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -4pts

3:55 Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th July)

PONTEFRACT 3.55 

The type of sprint that I hate as there are no known frontrunners in the race, it makes analyst very hard and I try to go through every scenario imagining each horse in turn leading. I will look to lay (*True Mason 1point + Shawaamekh 1point) I am not sure Walhaan will like the going, if it is good to firm, and may need further so it ought to be on my lay list but this 4-year-old could still improve also Golden Apollo won't be at happy if it is fast going and should also be on my list of lays in this race, George Bowen is my 3rd top-rated but has been in poor form lately, Watchable is my 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 times but does have a time from 2018 that would make it my top-rated by 1lb, but was nowhere near that level last year so my money will be riding on SUMMERGHAND 6/4 1point win who recorded its best time this year at Newmarket and has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here. 

*NE

Summerghand 5/4 1st (+1.5pts) 

Lay bets: Shawaamekh +1pt

Total: +2.5pts  

PONTEFRACT 4.30

There's a few to lay here, (Mutanaaseq 2points + Jewel Maker 2points + Sheepscar Lad 2points + Henley 2points + Avenue Of Stars 1point) as for finding the winner I will be backing *MR WAGYU 5/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race, it has the 2nd best speed figure for 2020 and the 2nd top figure overall if using its best 2018 time so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and it could steal the race from the front, MUTABAAHY 8/1 has poor jockey/trainer stats but has the fastest time for 2020, EPEIUS 7/1 has an interesting jockey booking and its time from 2019 would make it my top-rated, ROUND THE ISLAND 9/1 has the fastest time overall if using just 2019/20 times and the trainer does well at this course, I will go with dutching the 4 selections with 1point win on each of them. 

*NR

Round The Island 9/1 2nd (-1pt)

Epeius 7/1 5th  (-1pt)

Mutabaahy  10/1 6th (1pt) 

Lay bets: Avenue Of Stars -3.5pts, Muntaaseq +2pts, Jewel Maker +2pts, Sheepscar Lad +2pts, Henley +2pt

Total: +2.5pts

LEICESTER 8.15

This isn't a race I would normally bother with but there is only one known front runner in TEEPEE TIME 5/1 and it was beaten, after leading, by ALBA DEL SOLE 4/1 and on the revised weights for this race it should be much closer than the 2 lengths in their last race and I think the race should be at the mercy of these two so I will back them both.

Alba Del Sol 4/1 1st (+4pts)

Teepee Time 5/1 4th (-1pt)

Total: +3pts 

Total on the day: +8pts

5:15 Southwell Racing Tips (18th November)

SOUTHWELL 5.15 

MOONRAKER has been known to lead before and on my figures could be thereabouts at the finish but hasn't shown much lately.

FANTASY KEEPER the apprentice jockeys claim puts this one in the picture as well and he does well for this stable. 

FREE LOVE a 3yo who likes to track the leaders and its another that could be near the fore at the finish.

TAWNY SPIRIT hasn't won in 4 attempts on the AW surfaces and should be staying on strongly at the finish and has very good trainer/jockey stats.

CROSSE FIRE is the 2nd of 3 known frontrunners in the race and its best 2018 time would make it my 2nd top overall.

CANFORD BAY hasn't any form on this surface but its turf form might indicate to it taking to this surface and it likes to track the leaders.

AFANDEM is 0-4 on the AW but hasn't any course and distance form to its name but it's another I think will like this surface.

ISLE OF INNISFREE has only 1 AW run to its name and has only a slow time at Chelmsford but I'm thinking it might not take to this surface.

ERISSMUS MAXIMUS is 2nd top-rated on 2019 c/d times and then it's being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who does well for this stable.

NICK VEDDER would need to improve timewise to win here and it may be better when raced over a longer distance and is likely to be an outsider here.

ENCHANTED LINDA is the 3rd possible pacesetter and has a very positive jockey booking but I have a feeling it might not like this surface.

ANDRE AMAR has won on the AW in Ireland but in a slow run affair, this isn't the trainer's favourite course for having winners.

SAMOVAR has a good time to its name both this year and 2018 but its best has always come in a lower class race than this class 4 affair. 

SUMMARY: What a competitive race and to be honest I've got big red marks (red is positives) against 8 of the runners, and another 3 with smaller red marks and only 2 with green marks (green is negatives). Tawny Spirit hasn't any course form but could be dangerous if taking to this surface and I think it might like it looking at its turf form, my money, a small amount will be riding on ERISSMUS MAXIMUS 8/1 who has a positive jockey booking and this apprentices allowance could be what swings the race into its favour. 

Erissmus Maximus 10/1 Unp  

SOUTHWELL 7.15

Not a lot to say about this class 7 dash, Jaganory could possibly set the pace against these unless something else changes it usual racing tactics but I doubt it can stay in front all the way to the line, Bluella is my 3rd top-rated and will be trying to stay on at the end of the race, rated just 1lb higher there's Tadaany who likes to track the leaders but is on a losing run of 15 but it could feasibly make the frame but my top rated is ALBA DEL SOLE 6/1 who can be held up for a late run or track the leaders and I think the trainer has found a decent opportunity for this horse to get back to winning ways but consistency isn't a keyword at this level so my stakes will be kept on the low side.

Alda Del Sol 6/1 6th

* Note: I had this as Sandown rather than Southwell. My mistake, been travelling tot he US and not sure what happened.