2:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th January)

LINGFIELD 2.30 

A field of 9 with only Winnetka known to front run but as its only 5th top on my overall figures I doubt it can stay ahead to the finishing line, I will look to lay Knockout Blow 7/1 if its a single figure price at the off as this one can struggle to stay the distance in a true run race even though it is my 4th top rated , there is only 1lb between my 4th to 2nd top rated horses, Pueblo Del Pueblo is my joint 2nd top rated who has been in decent form but the jockey taking the ride for this race is 1-46 for the stable so maybe this race isn't their target, SEPRANI 11/2 is the other joint 2nd top rated and the jockey booking on this one looks significant as the apprentice has a 33% win ratio for the stable, VINCENZO COCCOTTI 8/1 comes out in top spot but hasn't been in form lately but is capable of winning without prior warning so I will be backing them both. 

Vincenzo Coccotti 20/1 6th -1pt

Seprani 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts

LINGFIELD 3.00 

Another 9 runner race but this time there's 3 horses that have been known to lead before, I will look to lay Campachoochoo 6/1 who won a slow run race at Chelmsford and another slow run affair when 3rd over this c/d so may have been flattered by those results, the versatile racing tactically horse Hurricane Alert has been out of form for quite awhile now and I think will be an outsider, Lorna Cole 4/1 will be trying to stay on at the finish and being my 3rd top rated it could make the frame but isn't an each way price, the old-timer Captain Ryan comes out 2nd best on my figures and is another that will be trying to stay on at the finish if its runs to its best it could make the frame but i will be hoping that THEGREYVTRAIN 6/4 will lead from start to finish it has been knocking on the door lately and has been found an opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race as the price shows, I was expecting or maybe hoping for a bigger price but its best rating is 11lb higher than the second top rated but at this level consistency isn't guaranteed. 

Thegreyvtrain 13/8 1st +1.625 + F/C £55.66 + TRI £202.50

Total +1.625pts

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

This time an eight runner race but now there isn't any known front running types in the race as River Tweed is a non-runner, Tyger Bay 7/2 hasn't any form on this surface and will need to improve for the switch and might be worth taking on with a lay bet then add One Hart 9/1 to my lay list, as long as they are single figure prices at the off, as this might prefer further and hasn't been in good form lately, in 3rd top spot I've got Mutabaahy but its another horse that hasn't been in good form in its latest runs, the top weight TRIGGERED 5/1 has been slowly returning to form finishing 4th and then 3rd in its last 2 runs is my top rated using a time from 2020 it is also my top rated on just times recorded here at Southwell since the change of surface, the trainer is 0-25 in the last 2 weeks which doesn't inspire confidence so I cannot make it my sole bet and will also be backing ROYAL ADVICE 10/1 (EW) who is my 2nd top rated and this ones speed figure was recorded 2021 at Newcastle I am hoping this one will be an each way price as long as all eight take part. 

Triggered 5/1 4th -1pt 

Royal Advice 16/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets Tyger Bay +1pt, One Heart +1pt

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 8.00 

We move up to 12 runners for the final sprint of the day with 3 known front runners amongst them, Maple Jack 8/1 may need this run for fitness so one I will lay if its a single figure price at the off, there are confusing form lines and speed figures trying to work out the ratios with this newly laid surface and the 2 other tracks with the Tapeta surface, Vandad is actually my top rated if I use its best rating from Lingfield but this is its debut on this surface so how it will fare I have no idea but I will as usual stick with the proven and the betting will give me a clue about this ones chances, I will be backing 2 in this race firstly the front running ORNATE 8/1 who has the fastest time for just this course with the newly laid surface and could possibly turn the form around with Ooh Is It who beat it by half a length, my second bet will be on PHOENIX STAR 16/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and might be the one to prosper if they go off too fast in the early stages and fade nearing the finish and also has good trainer/jockey stats and at the price has to be backed each way.

Phoenix Star 16/1 3rd +2.2pts

Ornate 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total +1.2pts

Total on the day -0.175

1:10 Southwell Racing Tips (28th January)

When I write these blogs I hope you don't just look at the selections in capital letters or the lays in brackets and underlined because you could be missing things that you could use to your advantage. I write these blogs two days before the race and I post the night before and things can change with non-runners and how the betting changes things so my ramblings might help your decision making. 

SOUTHWELL 1.10 

Just 8 runners with 3 known front running types who are drawn in the 3 inside stalls and its a race where i will have to back a front runner and one coming from off the pace just in case they go off too fast and tire nearing the finish,I think Alexej will be at the fore of the betting and I think mainly because its from the powerful stable of J.Gosden and the jockey R.Havlin but its runs from 2020 were all over further that the 6 furlongs here and stayed on at the finish so I'm surprised its dropped down in trip, obviously it could be a very superior horse compared to the rest and win despite it not being ideal conditions but I will lay it if a short price, I am hoping that ZYLAN 10/3 can get to the front and if doing so it could prove hard to catch being my 2nd top rated but I do have SHALLOW HAL 10/1 rated just 3lbs higher so may need a trouble free run to pick up the pacesetters hence the 2 bets, both have decent trainer stats and have good jockeys stats in fact their stats are identical and it looks as though both stables are expecting to win. 

Shallow Hal 10/1 1st (+10pts) (Betfair SP 6.86) 

Zylan 15/2 3rd (-1pt)

Total: +9pts

SOUTHWELL 3.55 

Down to 6 runners for this race but with 2 known front runners it should be a true run affair but both of the pacesetters would need to improve time wise to win this race, Ornate one of them has a good 2 wins and 3 placed efforts from just 5 c/d runs and the other King Of Stars has won twice from just 4 previous c/d runs, Giogiobbo may stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win the race, Diamond Dougal hasn't any course form but could take to this surface and be a hidden danger, Tawny Port is my 2nd top rated using a 2019 time but it hasn't any recent c/d form to work with, my money will be riding on THEGREATESTSHOWMAN 4/1 who is well handicapped and will be winning again soon and has every chance to do so here. 

Thegreatestshowman 4/1 2nd (-1pt) 

Total: -1pt

SOUTHWELL 4.25 

Up to 9 for this race but only one front running type in the shape of Gossip who is dangerous if allowed to set its own slightly slower pace and has won 2 of its 4 previous c/d races but there is a few who like to track or press the leader so maybe wont be able to pinch the race from the front, Marwari has a good time from Newastle but I'm not sure this surface will suit it, Pearl Of Qatar has good trainer/jockey stats and will be staying on at the finish but could struggle if its a slow run affair and if it wasn't for the good trainer/jockey stats i would lay it and if its a short price i might still lay it, the jockey has a 25% win ratio for the stable but it still means hes beaten in 3 out of every 4 races, i will be siding with ARZAAK 7/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and has won 3, placed 5 from 13 c/d runs so likes the course. 

Arzaak 12/1 8th (-1pt) 

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 7.30 

I was going to leave this class 6 stakes race well alone and I will only bet in the race if my selection is a double figure price, that horse is STAR CRACKER 10/1 who can spring back to form without warning and might be worth having a small risky each way bet if its of value

Star Cracker 11/1 3rd +1.75pts

Total on the day: +8.75pts

1:50 Southwell Racing Tips (1st January)

SOUTHWELL 1.50 

A new year with 2 sprints but only 12 between them, Dark Shot looks the most likely to set the pace and if doing so could be hard to catch for most of these in fact the only one with a higher speed figure is THEGREATESTSHOWMAN 9/4 who hinted strongly at a return to form when finishing 2nd last time out and has been found a chance to go one better here, it finished 2nd again (Thursday) and if running here it does have a very good chance to go one better for the win. 

Thegreatestshowman 9/4 1st (2.25pts) (Betfair SP 2.06)

Total: +2.25pts

SOUTHWELL 2.25 

I think Lorna Cole may need further to show its best but will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win the race, Poyle Vinnie hasn't shown much time wise since 2018, Duke Of Firenze would also need to improve its speed figure to win, Mulzim is my 4th top rated, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses, Ustath and Samovar, on 2020 c/d times but the latter does have a time 2lbs higher using its best 2019 time, I tipped up this horse RED STRIPES 16/1 (EW) on its last run where to be honest it ran very poorly but it is very well handicapped on its best form, it is a front running type of horse and this race gives it the ideal opportunity to lead with no other known front runners in the race and if allowed to dominate from the front it could lead all the way its a shame there's only seven runners as it would have been a good each way bet if there was three places up for grabs.

Red Stripes 16/1 (+3pts)

Total on the day: +5.25pts

3:15 Epsom Racing Tips (27th August)

EPSOM 3.15 (7.5) 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them have some chance of winning the race and I will have one main bet and 2 covering bets, my covering bets will be on DIZZY G 5/1 who could lead here and then prove hard to catch but maybe a better horse in a slightly lower class of race, and the 3-year-old THE GREATESTSHOWMAN 7/2 who produced a good time at Windsor but the trainers 0-5 record at this course causes me some concern, my main bet/money will be riding on POYLE VINNIE 7/2 who did its best time at Goodwood so this course should suit it ok and its been running in class 2 races and drops to class 3 to compete here. 

The Greatestshowman 7/2 4th 
Dizzy G 9/2 5th

RIPON 4.05 (8.2) 

A strange looking race especially for a class 4 affair, there's 3 natural front runners and 2 others that can lead if needs must, the 3 at the bottom of the handicap can produce fast times but also have negatives against their names in the make-up of this race which makes me doubt if they can actually win this race but never say never, my money in this race will go onto BIG LES 5/1 who has only run twice this year both times, not at its preferred distance, it ran on well over 5 furlongs last time out and now upped in distance I'm hoping its ready to repeat its best speed figure from 2018. 

Big Les 8/1 8th

MUSSELBURGH 7.00 (7.6) 

A decent-sized race with 14 runners which on the whole are a poor-looking lot but there's still a winner amongst them somewhere and in this instance I will go with backing BRONZE BEAU 11/1 who is a front running sort and led last time out on softish going and faded as I would have expected but if the going here is g/f then it could lead all the way. 

Bronze Beau 18/1 Unp

BATH 7.50 (7.7) 

Only 7 runners in this class 5 race but there is a couple that has led before so it should be a true run affair, Thegreyvtrain is one of the pacesetters and its 3rd best on this years times but it seems to be a better horse in class 6 races, Haveoneyerself is top-rated on this years times but it might prefer a flatter track like Yarmouth so I'm not convinced it can repeat its best times at this course, my pennies will be on PERFECT CHIME 7/2 who I think can lead from start to finish and has good trainer/jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here.

Perfect Chime 9/1 7th