6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (17th November)

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

Only 5 runners for this class 2 sprint, See You Boy is making its English debut having previously run in France where it has won on the Polytrack surface so could be a big danger in this race, Ventura Tormenta hasn't run on the AW before but its best on turf isn’t good enough to win this race. Shallow Hal my 3rd top rated and Soldiers Minute in 2nd top spot both like to track the leaders but I am hoping that MAY SONIC 3/1 will set the pace to this race and then could prove hard to catch. 

May Sonic 3/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A full house of 14 for this class 5 sprint with 2 or 3 that have been known to lead before, the 3yo Shades Of Summer 6/1 won last time out and could improve for that experience but that race was a poor event run in a slow time so it might have been flattered by the result and might be worth opposing but I cannot see anything else to lay as I think they will be double figure prices. Using a Wolverhampton rating Rattling 6/1 comes out in joint 3rd top spot and being a front running type could go well the other joint 3rd top rated is El Hombre 8/1 but this one time wise hasn't been in as good form as last year although it has been running well. Yimou 12/1 comes out 2nd best but once again its using a 2021 speed figure so I will be siding with ARAIFJAN 8/1 who is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and that includes leading and with the make-up of this race it could deploy any tactic and if getting to the front ought to prove too hard to catch. 

Araifjan 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Shades Of Summer -5.5pts

Total -6.5pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A 5 furlong class 5 dash with 12 runners and 5 of them have led before, I think the 3yo *Bethersden Boy 6/1 will need further to show its true worth and might be worth laying to a small stake in this race. I've got four horses rated very close to each other just outside my top 2, Dark Side Prince 9/1, Expert Opinion 8/1, Street Parade 10/1 and Mashaan 14/1, but the latter might have been flattered by its best rating and is beginning to look like a fluke time where it got towed along in a fast run race. My 2nd top rated is Angle Land 11/2 and being a front running type it could prove very dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I doubt that will happen here and they might battle too hard for the lead and play into the hooves of MICK'S SPIRIT 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish, its trainer has a 24% win ratio with their older horses at this course and the apprentice jockey has an 18% win ratio when riding for the stable which points to connections expecting it to run very well here. 

*NR

Mick's Spirit 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -8.5pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (8th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A class 4 race which isn't the best for its grade, the early pace could well be set by ARAMIS GREY 9/2 and being my 3rd top rated using a 2021 rating it could do enough from the front to at least make the frame and could even win the race if others falter, HELLO ME 12/1 comes out in top spot for just this years course and distance ratings and comes out 2nd best on overall figures so has to be worth an each way interest, TOTAL COMMITMENT 20/1 hasn't any form over this course to work with but its best 2021 time from Lingfield would see it win by a whisker and I cannot let it run without some money on it at the price, as all 3 did their best last year I'm not able to split them any further but I also have four other horses that I cannot discount completely the stakes for this race will be kept to a minimum and it might even be a race to leave well alone. 

Aramis Grey 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Total Commintement 20/1 2nd -1pts

Hello Me 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total +2.5pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 Div I

What a poor race with only the top four in the handicap having run fast enough to register on my figures, Shamshon 9/1 would at some point in the past have eaten this lot alive but this 11yo seems to be on the decline but could possibly make the frame if able to reproduce its best 2021 rating, Babe Alicious 9/4 usually stays on strongly at the finish and with no known front runners in this race it might not be run to suit its racing style and therefore doesn't look value at the price, Mr Fayez 6/1 would have every chance using its best figure from 2021 over this course and distance but its still a maiden after 17 starts which is a bit off-putting, so my money will be riding on FLAVIUS TITUS 9/4 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish but once again the question is, will the race be run to suit it, I cannot answer that question so once again low stakes are called for. 

Flavius Titus 9/4 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.00 Div II

Division 2 isn't any better and I will be very surprised if the winner didn't come from the top 5 in the handicap, Pretty Shiftwell 8/1 can find this distance too far for it but once again with no confirmed front running type in the race it might not get to the front soon enough for the win, Amalfi Gem 5/2 and Jumira Bridge 9/1 come out in joint 3rd top position so either could make the frame, Griggy 11/8 has been in tremendous form recently winning its last 2 races and could complete the hat trick here but I expect it to be the short priced favourite and therefore not of value to back so instead I will take a punt and go with backing COMPANY MINX 9/1 (EW) it looks the value call in the race and hoping it will be an each way price as a form of insurance with the apprentice jockey being 1 from 1 for the stable i hope he can make it 2 from 2.

Company Minx 10/1 3rd +1pt

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +2.5pts

2:55 Thirsk Racing Tips (14th May)

THIRSK 2.55

A field of 9 in this class 4 race with First Company the one most likely to set the pace unless something else decides to change its usual racing tactics but I doubt it can hold on for the win, if the going is good to firm then Ballintoy Harbour 10/1 could run well and might be worth an each way punt, Leodis Dream 15/2 has a time from Windsor last year that would put it in the mix and it usually likes to track the leaders, Havagomecca 7/1 is my 2nd top rated and is usually held up for a late run but ATLYAH 6/1 likes to sit just behind the leaders ready to pounce and comes out top on my figures, the trainers record of 0-7 at this course isn't great but the jockey is 2-4 when riding for the stable. 

Atlyah 6/1 1st +6pts 

Total +6pts

CHELMSFORD 3.45 

The betting will decide if there's any lays in this race but Sir Rodneyredblood 7/1, Harold Shand and Twilight Madness 5/1 are potential candidates, Toussarak is my 3rd top rated and usually runs on strongly at the finish, Crimson Sands 3/1 and City Walk 11/2 are both dropped in class to run in this race and could go well and on times the former could do best of the pair, my money will be riding on ARAIFJAN 15/2 who won in this class of race last time out but has been raised four pounds by the official handicapper, it is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and maybe in the make up of this race from stall 8 wont attempt to lead but could sit handily and stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Araifjan 16/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Toussarak +1pt 

Total 0pts

THIRSK 4.05 

A very competitive looking class 3 sprint with fourteen runners, Saluti might prefer a longer distance but would need to improve time wise if others run to their best, RATHBONE 11/2 is the one that I expect will set the pace to this race and is my joint 2nd top rated so could do enough to at least make the frame and if allowed the luxury of an easy lead could hold on for the win I'm not sure how good the 7lb claiming apprentice is but if worth the full 7lbs it comes out in top spot, Tinto is my original top rated but hasn't been in the best of form recently the trainer has poorish single figure win ratio at this course but the jockey has a decent 17% win ratio on the stables older horses, Music Society starts off as joint 2nd top but drops to 3rd top spot but the jockeys poor 1-20 win ratio for the stable is a bit off-putting but it will be staying on at the finish but maybe too late for the win but could make the frame. 

Rathbone 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

DONCASTER 8.40 

Let me stay from the start this isn't really a race to be betting in too heavily in but PRINCE OF BEL LIR 4/1 won last time out over this distance at Yarmouth 18 days ago which is a reasonably flat course so this course should also suit it and the rating it recorded in that race puts it well clear of anything else I've got a rating for in this race and could lead all the way here and follow up that Yarmouth win, yes it is raised in class from a 5 to a 4 but this 4yo ought to be able to win at this slightly higher class, I don't expect it will be anything but the favourite for this race I'm just hoping its not too short a price.

Prince Of Bel Lir 4/1 +4pts 

Total +4pts

Total on the day +9pts