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Showing posts with label Ghathanfar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ghathanfar. Show all posts

Monday, 13 June 2022

2:55 Thirsk Racing Tips (14th June)

THIRSK 2.55 

A field of 12 for this class 4 sprint, the early paced could be set by The Armed Man and/or Spartan Fighter and either could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but there's a few that like to track the leaders which should ensure there is a fast early gallop, Huddle Up 9/1 doesn't seem to like fast going so will be a lay if of value to do so, East Street Revue seems better over shorter distances but I expect it will too big a price to lay, Badri is my 4th top rated and one that likes to track the leaders, as for finding the winner I have got 3 horses that could do so but all 3 also have negatives against their name, WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who’s jockey is 0-12 for the stable and the stable has a poorish win ratio of 8%, GHATHANFAR 4/1 the trainer is 0-14 runners and 42 days since their last winner and at this course they are 1-59 and the jockey is 0-15 for the stable, CAPTAIN VALLO 8/1 the trainer is 1-33 at this course with their older horses and its been 25 days and 8 runners since their last winner, I think I will go with dutching the 3 of them but my stakes will be kept on the low side because of those negatives. 

Ghathanfar 4/1 2nd -1pt 
Captain Vallo 8/1 4th -1pt 
Wentworth Falls 6th -1pt

Total -3pts

THIRSK 5:15 

A ten runner dash with two front running types, I could look to lay both of the 3yo’s in this race but I am always wary of doing so because at their age they can improve without warning although I think both of them will be better suited to a longer distance but hey ho I am no expert and have been caught out before laying young horses, Lost My Sock 5/1 also races as though it will be better off over further but comes out 3rd top rated on my figures so could run on and make the frame, Cool Spirit 25/1 is actually my top rated but only by 2lb’s and hasn't been in good form lately and doesn't usually win without giving a warning of a return to form before actually winning a race so i will place my money on HARROGATE 13/2 who is one of the 2 front runners I mentioned earlier and could hopefully lead all the way here and did win two runs ago so is in decent form. 

Harrogate 13/2 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 5.20 

Only six runners with two known front running types amongst them, both Iconic Knight 9/2 and Tributo 15/2 look as though they would be better racing over further and might be worth laying, Equally Fast 11/4 could do best of those coming from off the pace being my 2nd top rated, Street Parade 11/4 one of the front running types is my 3rd top rated so could go well but i will be hoping that AISH 13/2 will be the one to set the pace to the race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and is dropped in class to run in this race and the trainer has a 19% win ratio at this course.

Aish 13/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Iconic Knight +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -4pts

Thursday, 3 June 2021

3:35 Catterick Racing Tips (4th June)

CATTERICK 3.35

The early pace is likely to be set by Redrosezorro and this one could go well if allowed an easy lead but maybe not enough to hold for the win, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam 8/1 if it is a single figure price as it may need further to shine and Praxeology 9/2 who doesn't appear to like real fast good to firm going and with a fast early pace can struggle to stay the distance, Music Society would be top rated if I used its best time from 2019 but hasn't been near that level lately, North Wind and Freedom have more recent, 2020/21, times that would make them competitive in this race but my money will be riding on PEARL OF QATAR 6/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then run on strongly at the finish and the jockey booking makes me think that connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways here. 

Pearl Of Qatar 6/1 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

GOODWOOD 6.30 

A very competitive race for a class 5 affair but I would look to lay Siberian Night who may need further on fast ground, Sir Rodneyredblood could be the one to set the pace and could prove troublesome if allowed an easy lead and it could even do enough to lead all the way but i have 6 other horses that i also think could win this race and if I stuck with my top rating then Amathus and Under Curfew would be the selections but both have poor jockey stats which puts me off a little, Storm Melody, Physics and Iconic Knight are others that also could be in the mix at the finish so this race might be best left alone but if pushed I would go with MADRINHO 10/1 who has a decent speed figure, so looks the value call in the race,but it is the jockey booking that catches my eye with a 31% win ratio for the stable so I am hoping an each way wager will pay dividends. 

Madeihno 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 7.40 

A class 4 dash with 9 runners but surprisingly only 1 known front runner amongst them, Many A Star 13/2 might be worth laying as it might need further to show its best and this race might not be run to suit it, the 3yo Asadjumeirah 7/2 is 2nd top rated on 2021 times but drops to 4th on overall figures but could be able to improve further, Zulu Zander has a time from 2020 that makes it my 2nd top rated on all my figures but the jockeys 0-14 on the stables older horses makes me think this one has another target in mind, the top weight Beyond Equal is my 3rd top rated on all figures sing a 2020 time from Windsor but I will be backing UNION ROSE 20/1 who is 3rd top on just 2021 times but its best from 2020 makes it my top rated and it has good, 17%, trainer stats but the jockey has a 25% win ratio for the stable so I'm hoping they are good pointers, it looks the value call in this race and at the price has to be given as an each way punt. 

Union Rose 20/1 EW 6th -2pts 

Total -2pts

DONCASTER 7.53 

There is a couple of front runners in this race so I doubt either can win this race, I would look to lay Treble Treble 7/1 who has only slow times and doesn't really seem to like good to firm ground, I wouldn't put anyone off backing Blackheath, Big Les or Athollblair Boy who all have pieces of form that could see them being concerned in the finish but I am hoping that GHATHANFAR 11/2 from stall 11 can track a front runner housed next door in stall 10 and gain an advantageous early position from which to attack at the business end of the race and the jockey has a decent 15% win ratio on the stables older horses.


Sunday, 27 December 2020

6:05 Newcastle Racing Tips (28th December)


NEWCASTLE 6.05 

A full house of 14 entrants with just Lapidary known as a front running type but it hasn't been in good form lately but if allowed an easy lead it could do enough from the front to hold on for a place, I cant see anything to lay that's of value and as for the winner I have narrowed it down to 3 selections and the more I look the harder it is to eliminate any of my picks, GHATHANFAR 11/1 who is my 3rd top rated and won last time out and it has a positive looking jockey booking in Luke Morris so could be worth an each way bet at the double figure price on offer, my 2nd selection HERRINGSWELL 11/2 also won last time out when ridden by today's 7lb claiming apprentice and its my 2nd top rated because the horses that it beat last time out FRIENDLY ADVICE 15/2 is better in at the weights, so should therefore be my selection, plus it is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice has a 1-3 record for this stable which moves it further clear on my figures but I am not sure if the winner did or didn't have a little bit more in hand, so it looks as though the connections of all 3 selections are expecting their horse to win or at least run well and I will be dutching them all to show a profit but I will probably tilt my stakes in favour of my top rated selection. 

NEWCASTLE 6.35 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but 4 of them in this dash like to lead and my 2 top rated horses are possible pacesetters, Lomu has only a slow time to show for its only c/d run but its best speed figure from Lingfield would make it my 2nd top rated, Outrage has only slow c/d times and its best time from Lingfield would still see it short of what's required (that's assuming others run to their best) Mutabaahy’s best times have come on this surface but it would need to improve time wise to win this race, Another Angel likes to front run and comes out 2nd top on just 2020 c/d times and 3rd spot overall, Primos Comet will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish but maybe a fraction too late to catch the leaders, Fashion Advice is the only 3yo in the race but time wise is a bit below whats required to win this race, on my figures LONGROOM 8/1 is well weighted and comes out top rated overall and won well two runs ago over this c/d and its last run, where there was a false start and it completed a lot of the distance before pulling up, can be ignored and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but that was a class 6 race compared to class 4 here but it looks the value call in the race but my stakes will have to be kept relatively low.