3:20 Southwell Racing Tips (26th January)

SOUTHWELL 3.20 

A class 5 sprint with 11 runners and 2, Walking On Clouds 9/2 and Bare Necessity 7/1 are both front running types but neither are in my top 3 ratings although the latter recorded its best in 2022 so could do best of the pair. Lynns Boy has never won over today's distance while Idoapologise hasn't run here before and both need to improve time wise to win this race so may be worth laying. Dark Shot is my 3rd top rated while Callin's Lad sits in 2nd top spot and they both like to track the leaders and the former may be better over a longer distance, my money will be riding on STARSONG 12/1 who is my top rated and has recorded ratings within 1lb at both here and Newcastle so likes this Tapeta surface, it should be staying on the stronger nearing the finish. 

Starsong 14/1 5th -1pt  

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 3.50 

A class 6 stakes dash where all bar the top one Ustath carry the same weight and this one who won last time out over 6 furlongs comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings for this distance so should go well again here although its rating over 6 furlongs is higher than over this distance which it can find a bit too short for it and I expect it will be a hot favourite and that messes up the betting so I doubt there will be anything of value to lay. Sapphire's Moon sits in 4th top spot with Mr Funky Monkey sitting in 3rd top spot but I've got STROXX 7/2 as my top rated so this one will hopefully be with an each way punt and I do like the switch of jockey after showing a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out BUT this one hasn't won before with 34 failed attempts to its name and 13 of those races have been on an artificial surface.

Stroxx 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

Only 8 runners for this stakes race and there's 2 known front running types amongst them, the betting will decide whether there's anything of value to lay with Dick Datchery and Elisheva being the ones most likely to fall into that category. Atrafan has been in good form winning once and being 2nd 3 times from its last 4 races but I expect it will be the fairly hot favourite and is my 4th top rated with Mutabaahy occupying the 3rd top spot and Stronsay in 2nd top spot and being one of the front runners it could go well but my money will be riding on the other likely pacesetter in the shape of ROCKLEY POINT 8/1 so I'm hoping this one can lead from start to finish. 

Rockley Point 8/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.30 Div I

Division 1 of a class 6 dash, I cannot see anything worthwhile to put forward to lay in this race, Rose Bandit likes to race in midfield and is my 4th top rated, Annie Rose might prefer a longer trip but still comes out 3rd top on my figures and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race, BASHOLO 6/1 and BLACKCURRENT 6/1 both like to track the leaders, in this race that might be Mrs Baggeran, and with the apprentice jockeys allowances there is only 1lb between them with the former doing its best time in 2022 and the latter recorded its rating in 2021 and as its so close between them I will split my stake and back them both. 

Blackcurrent 6/1 5th -1pt 

Basholo 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 Div II

Another Angel is the only known front running type in this 2nd division and it could do better than its 5th top rated position if allowed an easy lead so could possibly make the frame. Once again i cannot see anything to confidently lay in this division, Elzaal is my 4th top rated and races in midfield or is held up for a late run, Spanish Angel who might prefer a longer distance so should be staying on at the finish is my 3rd top rated, Nellie French won last time out and comes out 2nd top position on my ratings so should run will in this race but my money will be riding on JOSHUA R 7/2 who also won last time out and has been found a good opportunity here to follow up with back to back wins.

Joshua R 5/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 7.30

Another 8 runner race but in a class 4 sprint, both Minesbiggerthanurs 5/1 and Brazen Bolt 10/1 seem to need further to show their best form so could be possible lays although the former is my joint 3rd top rated alongside Asadjumeirah, the bottom wieght Ballyare comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures but I will be relying on EMPEROR SPIRIT 3/1 who I will be expecting to lead all the way for victory in this race and the trainer has a good 26% win ratio at this course.

Emperor Spirit 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Brazen Bolt -9pts, Minesbiggerthanurs +1pt 

Total -9pts

Total on the day -15pts

8:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (7th October)

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

A field of 13 with 3 or 4 front running types, the 4th one is Unfinishedsympathy who led over 6 furlongs but I'm wondering if it will be quick enough to lead over this shorter distance and I will look to lay it if it is of value to do so, there are a few outsiders who have been in poor form which could be lays if a single figure price which I very much doubt, Impressor 9/1 and Blazing Hot 7/2 both have pieces of form to their names but would need to improve time wise on what they have shown so far if others run to their best, the 3yo Brazen Akoya 14/1 is a possible pacesetter and from stall 7 it could go either way if one side of the course is riding faster than the other and comes out 4th top on my overall figures and 3rd top on just course and distance ratings but could still be able of improving and might be worth an each way punt at the price, Another Angel 7/1 from stall 12 is another that could try to set the pace to the race and is my 2nd top rated on course and distance speed figures but seems to be better slightly slower each year as age appears to be catching up with this 8yo so might be worth taking on, Motashaweq comes out in 2nd top spot using a rating it recorded on turf at Hamilton but hasn't run on an artificial surface before, Foreseeable Future 9/1 is in top spot using a time recorded on turf on good to firm ground and hasn't run over today's distance at an AW course before but could be danger and might be worth a small each way punt, my top rated on course and distance ratings is JOSHUA R 8/1 and this one likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish but as poor trainer and jockey stats which doesn't inspire me with confidence but it is capable of winning this race so has to carry some of my money.

Joshua R 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

4:40 Newcastle Racing Tips (23rd September)

NEWCASTLE 4.40 

A class 6 race with a full house of 14 runners with a couple of known front running types which should make things easier but to be honest I cannot narrow it down to anything less than 3 possible winners and even then I say keep your stakes low, so maybe the best way to make a profit from this race is to lay one of the entrants and I will look to lay Anconagua Mountain 9/2 who is usually held up for a late run but is held on recent form by Coleys Koko and needs to improve time wise to win this race and its only got relatively slow times on good to firm ground on turf plus the trainer only has a win ratio of 3% at this course, COLEY'S KOKO 12/1 is one of the trio that could win this race and if it can reproduce its best turf rating it would win this race a shade cosily so at the price has to be worth an each way punt at the price, JOSHUA R 4/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish my third horse is ELZAAL 11/2 from stall 10 who can be held up or track the leaders and a high draw is usually a help over this straight course, I will be backing all 3 of them but not to high stakes. 

Elzaal 11/2 1st +5.5pts 

Coley's Koko 20/1 5th -1pt

Joshua R 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Aconagua Mountai +1pt 

Total +4.5pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

Up one level to class 5 with 3 known front running types but another race very hard to narrow down to anything less than 3 horses so maybe another race where the best way to make money will be laying Robasta 6/1 who may need further to show its true worth and its one run on this Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton it didn't show much at all which puts me off its chance here and its win on Polytrack at Kempton was a relatively slow time which didn't register on my figures, GLORIOUS RIO 12/1 (EW) could be the one to do best coming from off the pace and the horse has won 3 from 13 races on an artificial surface so has to be worth an each way wager, MAJESTIC MAN 11/2 is one of the possible pacesetters coming out of stall 4 so if low numbers are best then that's covered that angle while my other front running POLITICS 14/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 13 covering that angle if the high numbers are best on the day and looks worth another each way punt.

Majestic Man 17/2 2nd -1pt 

Glorious Rio 12/1 4th -2pts 

Politics 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Robasta +1pt 

Total -4pts

Total on the day +0.5pts