4:30 Chepstow Racing Tips (21st June)

CHEPSTOW 4.30 Div I 

I was going to leave this race alone until I saw the betting, the top weight ICONIC KNIGHT 12/1 (EW) is dropped in class for this race and has a good jockey stats, so I thought it was worth the risk at the price and a small each way punt might pay dividends. 

Iconic Knight 12/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

CHEPSTOW 5.00 Div II 

Firstly I will look to lay (Pastfact 15/2 who might prefer a longer trip and hasn't shown much time wise for quite a while now + Leo Davinci 8/1 who also may need a longer distance on good to firm ground and the jockey is 0-11 for the stable) the early pace could well be set by the top weight PRINCELY 8/1 but this one hasn't shown much time wise since 2018 and that time would make it 3rd top on my figures so with an easy lead it could possibly be dangerous and might be worth an each way bet if a double figure price, SIR RODERIC 9/1 is 2nd top on my figures and it usually stays on at the finish and could also be worth an each way bet if of value to do so and the same could be said of my top rated horse IM WATCHING YOU 10/1 and to tell the truth I cannot really split my top 3 ratings and will go with backing them all. 

Princely 8/1 1st +8pts 

I'm Watching You 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Sir Roderic 9/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets: Pastfact +1pt, Leo Davinci +1pt 

Total +8pts

CHEPSTOW 5.30 

This looks a competitive affair for a class 5 race and the only known front runner is now a non-runner and that always muddies the waters, I cannot find anything to lay in this race which backs up my theory of how competitive the race actually is, I have narrowed it down to 4 possible winners, GHEPARDO 13/2 my 4th top rated who usually runs on at the business end of a race over this distance, GLAMOROUS FORCE 7/2 who is my 3rd top rated and these two have both recorded their best times this year which is always a good pointer but I have SHOW ME THE BUBBLY 14/1 as my 2nd top rated but this time i am using a 2020 time from Bath but the jockeys 1-26 record is off-putting but it might be worth an each way punt at the price, my top rated is AQUADABRA 4/1 and the jockey Luke Morris has a good record when riding for today's stable, I will have to dutch all 4 of them but maybe tilting slightly in favour of my top rated but with no known pacesetter in the race my stakes will be kept low.

Glamorous Force 7/2 3rd -1pt 

Aquadabra 9/2 4th -1pt 

Show Me The Bubbly 14/1 5th -1pt

Ghepardo 15/2 6th -1pt

Total on the day +2pts

2:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (17th August)

NEWMARKET 2.45 (7.0)

There are quite a few relatively unexposed types in the race so any stakes would be kept low, Lethal Angel recorded a time at Yarmouth last year that would make it my top-rated but its time at Newmarket this year was way below that level so I'm not sure this type of track suits it, the one that I will be backing with a small each-way punt is LUCKY BEGGAR 25/1 who prefers the fast ground and likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. I know I have said this on numerous occasions but please try to check if the going is equal or higher to the figure in brackets after the time of the race before betting, all my figures are done using good or faster going and mean absolutely nothing on the softened ground. 

Lucky Beggar 25/1 Unp 

DONCASTER 3.25 (8.1)

I will concentrate on my top 4 ratings, Acclaim The Nation my 4th top-rated is one of six known front running sorts in this race and drawn in stall 11, Laith Alareen from stall 10 is another possible pacesetter and my 3rd top-rated, The Daley Express is my 2nd top-rated and could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish but my money will be on DAPPER MAN 12/1 who I'm hoping can lead all the way from stall 13 and an each-way wager looks the way to go. 

Dapper Man 16/1 6th 

BATH 7.50 (7.7) 

A tricky little race especially over this distance of 5 furlongs and 160 yards and the problem is do i need a strong finishing 5 furlong horse or a weak finishing 6 furlongs, if the going is good to firm then PRINCELY 11/2 could possibly lead all the way here being my 2nd top-rated using a time from Carlisle last year so will be carrying some of my money, the 3 at the top of the handicap could all be competitive Big Lachie wanting fast ground while Delegate This Lord doesn't want really fast going, the other one I will be backing is SWEET PURSUIT 11/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and should be staying on at the finish.

Sweet Pursuit 11/1 1st 
Princely 7/1 3rd