8:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (4th October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

I've only got 6 of the 11 runners in this race with a time good enough to register on my figures but there is one known front running type and another that can lead if needs be but they only come out 4th, Dapper Man, and 6th, Prince Of Rome, best on my figures so it looks most likely something coming from off the pace should be able to win this race, the 3yo Micks Spirit sits between them in 5th top spot, I will be laying Denzils Laughing 5/1 who may need further to shine and is forecast to be a nine to two shot, the top weight Smokey is my 3rd best rated but its been 90 runners and 183 days since the stable last had a winner which you have to admit is off putting my top rated horse is JUMIRA BRIDGE 40/1 (EW) who did its best time in January this year and its recent form has been quite poor but it has sprung back to form before without warning and at such a big double figure price it might be worth a small each way punt but I will also be backing STREET LIFE 2/1 who has won its last 3 races and has been found a good chance to get win number four under its belt but I do expect it to be the favourite but I will be backing them both because I would kick myself if Jumira Bridge made the frame at that price and i would go berserk if it won without a penny on it. 

Street Life 5/2 2nd -1pt 

Jumira Bridge 66/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet: Denzil's Laughing +1pt 

Total -2pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 

There's plenty of early dash in this field of 11 and I expect this race to be won from the front, I will be laying Nacho who has had 6 runs over this course and distance but hasn't produced a figure good enough to register on my graphs, I could also lay Nacho 9/2 and Shesadabber 8/1, the former has decent form recently on turf but its had 6 previous runs over this course and distance without recording a speed figure although it does have decent trainer/jockey stats so I will have a small lay bet on this one while I'm pretty sure the latter doesn't find this surface ideal for it, Niagara and Jorvik Prince could run well here but I think a place is the best they can hope for if my top 2 ratings repeat their best times, Billy Dylan is my 2nd top rated but the jockey is 0-3 for the stable and the trainer is 0-33 at this course so I will be relying on my top rated I'M WATCHING YOU 11/4 leading from stall 3 and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch again its not much of a price but they might make a reasonable double.

I'm Watching You 11/4 4th -1pt 

Lay Nacho -8.5pts, Shesadabber +1pt 

Total -8.5pts

Total on the day -10.5pts

1:40 Chepstow Racing Tips (19th August)

CHEPSTOW 1.40 

Not a bad looking class 6 race but there isn't any known front running types amongst them and in this race I am hoping the early pace isn't a frantic one, Our Man In Havana has good jockey stats and comes out 4th best on my figures, in 3rd top spot I've got Knockabout Queen who has average trainer/jockey stats and could make the frame, I've got joint top rated horses in WIFF WAFF 6/1 and I'M WATCHING YOU 25/1 the former is held up for a late run while the latter usually runs in midfield or tracks the leaders and I will be backing the both of them with the latter being worth an each way interest at the price. 

I'm Watching You 25/1 5th -2pts 

Wiff Waff 7/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -3pts 

CHEPSTOW 2.15 

This is a tricky looking race where I have got 5 horses that all look to have some chance of winning this race, Oh So Nice is one of the 2 known front running types in the race but only comes out 5th of them, Toptime the other possible pacesetter comes out 4th of the five with winning chances so they may set the race up for something coming from off the pace, Alba Del Sole is 3rd top rated using a 2020 time recorded at Ripon but hasn't been in as good a form so far this year, Katherine Place is my 2nd top rated and once again its using a 2020 time this time from Lingfield my top rated horse AQUADABRA 25/1 is top rated using just 2021 times and has an even faster time from 2020 that also makes it my top rated on overall speed figures and I'm hoping this one will be an each way price as a bit of insurance. 

Aquadabra 25/1 6th -2pts

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 5.25 

I expect that Fernando Rah will set the pace to this race but time wise it only comes out in 5th top spot so may struggle to lead all the way, the bottom weight Lady Celia is capable of running a fast time but usually in lower class races than this one but could still go well, the 3yo Koolmoe Dee comes out 2nd best but that is using a time recorded at Bath in 2020 and this years best has been way below that standard, my top rated on 2021 times is HURAIZ 7/1 who recorded it over this course and distance but will have to bounce back to form from what its achieved in its recent runs and i am hoping it will be an each way price as a bit of insurance. 

Huraiz 11/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

WINDSOR 5.55 

An 11 runner race with 2 known front runners, Tanfantic is one of them but would need to improve timewise to stay there till the end as its only 5th joint top rated on my figures the other frontrunner is SMEATONS LIGHT 13/2 who is my joint top rated on just 2021 times and 2nd joint top on overall times so it could be hard to catch and has decent trainer/jockey stats, TEMPLE BRUER 10/1 is the other joint 2nd top rated on overall figures and this one has even better trainer/jockey stats so it looks like both sets of connections are expecting big runs in this race but i do have EQUITATION 5/1 with a higher rating but this ones best time does come from 2020 in its defense though it hasn't any form on good or good to firm going recently so if fully fit it could win, so i will be dutching the 3 of them.

Smeaton's Light  13/2 3rd -1pt

Temple Bruer 10/1 7th -1pt 

Equitation 10/1 9th -1pt 

Total on the day -9pts

4:30 Chepstow Racing Tips (21st June)

CHEPSTOW 4.30 Div I 

I was going to leave this race alone until I saw the betting, the top weight ICONIC KNIGHT 12/1 (EW) is dropped in class for this race and has a good jockey stats, so I thought it was worth the risk at the price and a small each way punt might pay dividends. 

Iconic Knight 12/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

CHEPSTOW 5.00 Div II 

Firstly I will look to lay (Pastfact 15/2 who might prefer a longer trip and hasn't shown much time wise for quite a while now + Leo Davinci 8/1 who also may need a longer distance on good to firm ground and the jockey is 0-11 for the stable) the early pace could well be set by the top weight PRINCELY 8/1 but this one hasn't shown much time wise since 2018 and that time would make it 3rd top on my figures so with an easy lead it could possibly be dangerous and might be worth an each way bet if a double figure price, SIR RODERIC 9/1 is 2nd top on my figures and it usually stays on at the finish and could also be worth an each way bet if of value to do so and the same could be said of my top rated horse IM WATCHING YOU 10/1 and to tell the truth I cannot really split my top 3 ratings and will go with backing them all. 

Princely 8/1 1st +8pts 

I'm Watching You 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Sir Roderic 9/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets: Pastfact +1pt, Leo Davinci +1pt 

Total +8pts

CHEPSTOW 5.30 

This looks a competitive affair for a class 5 race and the only known front runner is now a non-runner and that always muddies the waters, I cannot find anything to lay in this race which backs up my theory of how competitive the race actually is, I have narrowed it down to 4 possible winners, GHEPARDO 13/2 my 4th top rated who usually runs on at the business end of a race over this distance, GLAMOROUS FORCE 7/2 who is my 3rd top rated and these two have both recorded their best times this year which is always a good pointer but I have SHOW ME THE BUBBLY 14/1 as my 2nd top rated but this time i am using a 2020 time from Bath but the jockeys 1-26 record is off-putting but it might be worth an each way punt at the price, my top rated is AQUADABRA 4/1 and the jockey Luke Morris has a good record when riding for today's stable, I will have to dutch all 4 of them but maybe tilting slightly in favour of my top rated but with no known pacesetter in the race my stakes will be kept low.

Glamorous Force 7/2 3rd -1pt 

Aquadabra 9/2 4th -1pt 

Show Me The Bubbly 14/1 5th -1pt

Ghepardo 15/2 6th -1pt

Total on the day +2pts

3:10 Chepstow Racing Tips (11th June)

CHEPSTOW 3.10 

GREY GALLEON 7/1 can be held up or track the leaders but is only 4th top rated on my unique speed figures but could make the frame if others falter.

AIRSHOW 3/1 has only won once from 19 races on turf and that win was in 2017 so I will look to lay this one if a single figure price.

BEZZAS LAD 9/2 this one is my 3rd top rated and i think it will be the most likely one to set the pace and could do enough from the front to at least make the frame. 

GILT EDGE 11/2 comes out 2nd top on recent, 2020/21, times it does have a faster time but that time seems to be a bit of a one off, it could go well and may make the frame.

SWISSAL 11/1 has only shown poor form on its recent runs and races as though further would suit it better and an old time on good to firm going was still relatively slow.

I'M WATCHING YOU 8/1 is my top rated on recent c/d times and usually stays on strongly at the finish of a race over this distance.

PASTFACT 7/1 has only slow recent times and it looks as though it may prefer a shorter trip or maybe a slower surface or maybe both so one I will look to lay. 

DIAMOND COTTAGE 7/1 has only slow times over this distance on good or good to firm ground and another for my list of possible lays. 

SUMMARY: Not a race to be betting too heavily in but I will side with my top rated and have a small bet on I'M WATCHING YOU 8/1 the jockey is making his debut for the stable but they only have a 9% win ratio at this course which is another reason for keeping stakes low. 

I'm Watching You 14/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt

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CHEPSTOW 3.45 

BELLEVARDE 10/3 is a front running type and has a time from 2020 that would make it 2nd top spot on my own figures and the jockey is 1-6 on the stables older horses. 

EQUALLY FAST 10/3 can be versatile with its racing tactics and is a course and distance winner but it needs to improve time wise to win this race. 

FLIP MODE 3/1 won last time out beating 3 of today's rivals but isn't weighted as well here and the top 2 in this race could reverse that form. 

TWILIGHTING 13/2 lightly raced type but hasn't even made the frame in its 6 runs on turf and maybe better when racing over a longer distance. 

SHOW ME THE BUBBLY 28/1 comes out 3rd best on my figures using a time recorded at Bath last year and can be held up or track the front runners. 

AQUADABRA 5/1 is actually my top rated but its best times are recorded on good ground and doesn't want the going to be good to firm so maybe this wont be a suitable race for it. 

OH SO NICE 10/1 has only slow times over this distance and poor recent form altogether despite being known to lead races. 

SUMMARY: The top weight *BELLEVARDE 10/3 is a likely pacesetter and is weighted in this race to reverse form with Flip Mode who beat it in its last race, Aquadabra would be dangerous if the going was good and not good to firm so I will have to wait to see exactly how fast the going is before betting but at this moment in time I will be having just the one bet in this race.

*NR

Total on the day -1pt