1:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th September)

LINGFIELD 1.50 

With 4 known front runners in this race it should be a true run race although none of them are in my top 4 ratings so it looks that they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. According to the early tissue prices then Laolsman 11/4 is forecast to be the favourite but its not got any AW form and its best rating on turf would put it just outside my top 4 ratings so I will lay the win part to small stakes because it is a 3yo so could still improve, Lilkian sits in 4th top spot while Agostino occupies 3rd top spot so either or both could run well in this race and might be worth an each way interest as my 2nd top rated is Lady Dreamer another 3yo but this ones best time came on turf and if able to reproduce that rating could be dangerous in this race but I will as always and that is to stick with the proven so my money will be riding on TYGER BAY 7/2 who is a course and distance winner and is usually held up either in midfield or at the rear of the field and then stays on strongly nearing the finish, it has good trainer and jockey stats which makes me think the connections are expecting a big run from it in this race and with the make-up of this race it should have every opportunity to get back to winning ways. 

Tyger Bay 7/2 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet: Laolsman -2.25pts

Total -3.25pts

LINGFIELD 3.00 

The early pace to this race might well be set by Big Time Maybe 5/1 who is housed in stall 1 which is ideal for it but it would need to improve time wise to win this race but if allowed an easy lead it might do enough to make the frame if others falter but might be worth laying the win part with this horse if of value to do so, looking at the early tissue prices Zing Up 4/1 is forecast to be the favourite and it does come out in 3rd top rated using a time recorded on turf but its form on the AW tracks has been poor and I would look to lay it again if of value to do so. Perfect Symphony sits in 4th top spot and races as though further would suit it better and the same applies to my 2nd top rated horse Nordic Glory. My money will be riding on STORM MELODY 6/1 who likes to track the leaders and coming out of stall 2 it should be able to slot in just behind the leader and then wait to pounce late on. 

Storm Melody 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: Big Time Maybe +1pt, Zing Up -6pts

Total -6pts

NEWCASTLE 8.00 

There are five 3yo’s in this race and 2 known front running types in Rainbow Rain and Spartan Fighter and the latter recorded a time in 2021 that would see it winning this race but has been woefully out of form recently so I'm hoping it doesn't bounce back to form here, while the former would be my 4th top rated but this time its best rating came on turf and hasn't run over this distance on an artificial surface, Revolution is my 3rd top rated and this one also recorded its best rating on turf, I will be backing RHYTHM 5/1 who comes out in 2nd top spot on all figures but top rated over this distance on the Tapeta surface and it was produced over this course and distance plus it is dropped in class to run in this race, it is well housed in stall 10 and usually tracks the leaders in its races and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish.

7:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th April)

LINGFIELD 7.20 

A class 5 sprint with 11 runners and 4 known front running types, Cool Lightning 5/2 has been in good form winning 2 of its last 3 races but they have all been in relatively slow run races so might be worth taking on with a lay bet in this race and the same could be applied to Bobby On The Beat 13/2. Gold Medal 5/1 is my joint 4th top rated and is one of the possible pacesetters in this race and won last time out so is in tip top form so could do enough to be placed in this race but I doubt it will be an each way price, Lilkian 6/1 is my 3rd top rated and can be held up or run in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish and another that could make the frame. Swiss Pride is a front running type but stall 11 isn't ideal but if it can get to the front without exerting too much energy it could attempt to lead all the way, my 2nd top rated is Alaifdhal who is top rated using a rating recorded on the Tapeta surface at Southwell last year but its best rating on the Polytrack surface wouldn't be good enough to win here so I'm not really sure which way to turn but I think I will take a risk and back SWISS PRIDE 8/1 who becomes my top rated when taking into account the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim so looks to be the value call in the race and hope its good enough to get away smartly from its high draw and either lead all the way or at least race close to the front and then prove the stronger nearing the finish. 

Swiss Pride 12/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets: Cool Lightning +1pt

Total 0pts 

LINGFIELD 7.55 

A class 6 dash with 10 runners and once again there are 4 known front running types amongst them, I will look to lay Reversion 13/2 who has finished 4th in all 3 of its most recent races but on recent form its held by Therehegoes 9/1 but even this one isn't in my top 4 ratings so they might both struggle to land a blow in this race. Sparked 7/2 won over today's course and distance last year but it was a comparatively slow run race that day which might have flattered it, it did finish 2nd last time out in a time just 1lb lower than its previous best. Toplight usually races in midfield or is held up and comes out 4th best on my figures, Autumn Flight my 3rd top rated and Mews House my 2nd top rated are both front running types so it should be a fast and furious early pace and might set the race up for something coming from off the pace and STORM MELODY 6/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then hope they fade while it stays on resolutely at the finish and the jockey has a decent 19% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Storm Melody 15/2 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

3:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (18th April)

LINGFIELD 3.45 

A field of 8 for this class 6 dash but rather strangely only 1 known front running type in the shape of Fair And Square 7/2 who is also my 2nd top rated so if my top rated doesn't reproduce its best I will be having a covering bet on this horse but as usual my top rated horse will be my main bet. I'm Mable’s best rating has gone downhill since 2021 but a repeat of that rating would put it at the top of my ratings but it has been in poor form recently, Sparked and Pacopask are forecast to be the outsiders and have very little chance of winning on my figures but as usual never say never while Battle Point 4/1 my 5th top rated and Master Sully 9/2 my 4th top rated would need to improve a few spots time wise or the others to run poorly to win this race but I'm not sure I could actually put my head on the block and lay this pair unless they are too big in value to let run without having a lay bet on them. Suanni 7/1 is my 3rd top rated but this one has needed a run to gain fitness after a break so may need today's race to get back to race fitness. My top rated is STORM MELODY 13/2 its best rating from this year would make it competitive while its best 2022 rating would see it winning a shade cosily and the jockey does quite well for the stable and this one will be my main bet in this race with a smaller covering bet on the one that I think will set the pace to this race. 

Storm Melody 13/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 8.30 

A turnout of 10 for this class 6 sprint where half the runners have been known to lead before and seem to be natural front running types so this race should be fast and furious for its class. Majeski Man 7/1 is drawn best of the front runners in stall 3 but would need to improve a good few spots to win this race and it might not be fast enough to lead in this race and I will lay this one if of value to do so. If I go back to 2021 then Spartan Fighter 8/1 would be my top rated but it hasn't been near that rating since then and I usually only use this years and last years ratings to evaluate each horses chance of winning a race, Gunnerside 17/2 is my top rated on recent, 2022 +2023, ratings but this one has never won at this level, Papa Cocktail 4/1 is my actual 2nd top rated but hasn't shown much in its recent races. My money will be riding on BLACKJACK 9/2 who is my 3rd top rated but is the highest rated horse without a negative against its name so has to be the one I back and this race might be run to suit a horse coming from off the pace also the trainer has done well at this course since they changed the surface and the jockey has a 23% strike rate when riding for the stable.

Blackjack 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

2:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st March)

LINGFIELD 2.25

A 12 runner race where I can see 3 horses that could lead but it looks likely that they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Toplight 11/2 might struggle to say the distance with the fast early pace so maybe one to lay, Viewfromthestars 11/2 my 4th top rated and Dark Design 7/1 my 3rd top rated are both versatile with their racing tactics and that includes leading so either could do enough to make the frame but neither are what I would call each way prices, Real Estate 12/1 sits in 2nd top spot and likes to track the leaders so could make the frame and maybe worth an each way wager if it stays at a double figure price nearing the off while my top rated horse DEPUTISE 18/1 can be held up or track the leaders it hasn't been in the best of form recently and it looks to have had excuses in most of those races but the switch of jockey looks a significant as his record is 3 wins from just 7 rides for the stable.

Deputise 25/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 4.20

This class 4 dash has 6 front running types amongst the 14 entrants and it looks most likely it will be won from the front, *Justcallmepete 5/1 might prefer further so I will look to lay it, Bert Kibler 7/1 is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and if the leaders battle too hard and fade it could possibly win the race but I will hope that doesn't happen, Khabib 10/1 comes out in 2nd top spot and is in stall 2 while my top rated horse ANGLE LAND 4/1 is drawn in stall 13 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch. 

*NR

Angle Land 9/2 2nd -1pt  

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.35

A field of 9 for this 5 furlong dash with 4 of the runners having been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race. Storm Melody 7/1 won last time out but might be outclassed as its never won at this level before but could still run a decent race so I will look to lay it but only for the win part, Man On A Mission 7/2 could do best of the rest coming from off the pace but looks too short in the betting for its actual chance of winning this race, The Defiant 12/1 is a front running type and could go well but hasn't been in good form recently so not sure what to expect, so I will be hoping the top weight PABLO DEL PUEBLO 9/2 can get to the front and prevail but this one also hasn't won at this level before but this does look the easiest class 5 race its ever ran in which is the reason why its the top weight.

Pablo Del Pueblo 9/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.20

I can see 2 front running types in this 11 runner dash in the shape of High Security and Murbih 9/2 who is my 4th top rated, I will look to lay Princess Karine 12/1 who may prefer further and its wins on Turf have come in slow run races if its a single figure price, Kraken Power 3/1 is my 3rd top rated and like the 2nd top rated Our Absent Friends 7/1 likes to track the leaders so they should ensure the pace is fast which could play into the hands of GOLDEN RAINBOW 12/1 (EW) and the jockey has a respectable 17% win ratio when riding for the stable and as usual at the price it has to be an each way bet.

Golden Rainbow 12/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.20

A problem race with no known front running types so any stakes are automatically going to be lower than normal, Henry Hawk might be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it and might be worth laying if a single figure price, One Hart 9/2 is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders but also might need further so this race might not suit it, Kapono 11/1 is capable of winning this race but hasn't been in good form lately and the apprentice jockey has a poorish 6% strike rate for the stable, I will take a punt on TATHMEEN 9/1 it is a hold up type but has got a better final kick than most of these so hopefully can get to the front in time but as I said it will only be for small stakes.

Tathmeen 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -6pts

3:38 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th June)

LINGFIELD 3.38 

LILKIAN comes out on top on my figures and the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim will help its cause as he has a 60% strike rate on the stables older horses and the trainer has a 33% strike rate with their older horses here.

TYGER BAY is usually held up for a late run and comes out in third top spot and may not be able to catch those ahead of it in this race. 

WISEACRE is making its handicap debut so if the stable have been trying to get a low rating which they can exploit when it goes handicapping so it could be dangerous in this race.

ALGHEED is the only “known” front runner in the race but even if it does lead I don't expect it to be there when they reach the finishing line. As it has quite a few spots to find time wise to win here. 

MOBARHIN is usually tracking the leaders and then stays on at the finish and as its my 2nd top rated horse it could go well and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

SUMMARY: If as I expect Alghhed sets the pace it will ensure that it is a true run race, I doubt it will win the race but I'm not confident enough to lay it, Wiseacre is the tricky one in the race making its handicap debut but again I couldn't lay it with any confidence but also couldn't back it, Mobarhin is my 2nd top rated and I might have a covering bet on this horse as trainer/jockey stats make me thing connections think it can win but I think the connections of LILKIAN 11/4 are also expecting to win and is my top rated and will be carrying my money. 

Lilkian 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.48 

DUKE OF FIRENZE can either track the leaders or run in midfield but time wise it needs to improve a good few spots to win this race but expect it will be an outsider. 

TRIBUTO this one also needs to improve time wise to win this race but that's because this one races as though a longer distance would suit it better. 

HEY HO LET'S GO has good trainer and jockey stats and usually likes to track the leaders and the apprentice jockeys 3lb claim could sway things its way. 

MORTY likes to be covered up in midfield and then stay on strongly at the finish but would need to improve time wise to even make the frame so not for me. 

WINGS OF A DOVE is one of two known front running types in this race and being my third top rated horse it could go well from the front and could make the frame and if given an easy lead it could be dangerous. 

STORM MELODY is my top rated but only just, it likes to track the leaders but hasn't been in the best of form recently, if reproducing its best could get back to winning ways. 

EQUALLY FAST is the other known front running type in the race but time wise it would need to improve to win this race but its best was recorded here so that's a bonus. 

HARBOUR STORM this horse hasn't any distance form to its name on the All-Weather tracks and this very fast five furlong race might be too short for it and it might be of value to lay. 

SUMMARY: Wings Of A Dove and or Equally Fast could set the pace to this race but I doubt either can stay there for the victory but never say never especially if one of them is allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Tributo if its a single figure price and also Harbour Storm as both might be better racing over further, there is very little between HEY HO LET'S GO 4/1 and STORM MELODY 10/1 (EW), the former is my 2nd top rated but has the better trainer/jockey stats while the latter would probably be my sole bet if it had shown some better form in its last few races, so I will have to go with backing them both with one win bet and an each way wager on the bigger priced selection.

Storm Melody 20/1 3rd -2pts 

Hey Ho Let's Go 13/2 7th -1pt 

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -4pts 

3:00 Bath Racing Tips (24th July)

BATH 3.00

There are 8 runners but only CORONATION COTTAGE 9/1 is known to set the pace and it is my top rated using just this years times so could be hard to catch if getting to the front but I do have one horse, GEORGE DRYDEN 8/1 with a higher rating recorded at Hamiltonover 6 furlongs last year but at this course the distance isn't quite six furlongs but it is more than five and a half furlongs so I have to back them both to cover the angles. 

George Dryden 8/1 2nd 
Coronation Cottage 9/1 6th 

BATH 4.00

Only 5 runners but I can't split the bottom pair the 3-year-old HERITAGE 6/4 starts off as my top rated and being a front runner I could prove hard to catch but STORM MELODY 9/4 is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot both have good trainer stats making me think both sets of connections are hoping to go well here. 

Heritage 6/4 2nd 
Storm Melody 7/2 5th

CATTERICK 4.10 

This is a cracking class 4 race with 8 entrants and a couple of known front runners in Merry banter and Alsvinder and the former is my top-rated using just 2019 times and is only moved down to 2nd spot using all times, Landing Night and Tomily are also rated quite close to the top of my list making it a competitive affair but if *ROSINA 14/1 can reproduce its best time from Ripon in 2018 it would win cosily so has to carry my money in an each way wager. 

* NR

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