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Showing posts with label Victory Rose. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Victory Rose. Show all posts

Tuesday, 4 January 2022

1:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.25 

Plenty of early paced types in this race and Savalas could go well from the front if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but it was well below that level in 2021, VICTORY ROSE 14/1 hasn't run over this c/d since 2020 but its best figure from that year would give it every chance here being my 2nd top rated horse so worth a small each way bet, my top rated is *STRONG POWER 9/4 who won on Monday where it won very cosily in a fast run race, that was a class 6 race and it is up to class 5 here but the way it won suggests it should take this upgrade in its stride but just as a precaution, as sometimes they don't run well next time out if raced too quickly after their victory, I will be backing both of them but my stakes will be kept low. 

*NR
Victory Rose 14/1 7th -1pt

Total -1pt 



WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 Div I

In this race I will be looking to lay both Blazing Hot 5/2 and Tomshalfbrother 11/2 who finished 2nd and 3rd last time out behind Sir Hector who I tipped up that day at 25/1 as they are both weighted to finish behind that same horse again here and I will be backing SIR HECTOR 9/2 again in this race as it is weighted to beat them again here but i do have a horse.

COUNTRY CHARM 14/1 rated 4lbs higher but that is using a Newcastle time but it has had one previous run over this c/d which resulted in it not recording a rating but it might be worth an each way punt at the price and I will be backing both of them to small stakes.

Sir Hector 11/2 5th -1pt 
Country Charm 14/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt, Tomshalfbrother +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.05 Div II 

This 2nd division is definitely the poor relation of this race, I expect Cometh The Man to set the pace to the race from the stall 1 draw and in such a poor race it could do enough to at least make the frame but is better over a shorter trip and if tackled for the lead might falter inside the final furlong, others that have bits of form but also with a negative are, Martineo who has been in poor form lately and may need this run for fitness plus a 0-26 jockey stat, Pable Del Pueblo who isn't proven on this surface and Iesha who has poor form over this c/d, one I will look to lay is Royal Heart 13/2 who didn't register on my figures when finishing 3rd over this c/d and its best speed figure from Lingfield isn't good enough to win this race, I will be having a small wager, and I mean a small wager, on ADMIRABLE LAD 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so might be worth an each way wager. 

Admirable Lady 25/1 9th -2pts

Lay bet Royal Heart +1pt

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 3.55

I am not a fan of these amateur riders races and i really should leave the race alone BUT I can see from my ratings that NIGEL NOTT 4/1 and SWISS PRIDE 6/1 are rated a good few spots higher than the rest of the runners and I will go with backing both of them, if Lord P 10/3 is the favourite as predicted by the early tissue prices then I would look to lay it as its c/d win was in a relatively slow run race and it also may need this run for fitness after a 118 day break from racing.

Swiss Pride 8/1 5th -1pt 
Nigel Nott 4/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Lord P +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Saturday, 13 June 2020

2:00 Doncaster Racing Tips & Lay Bets (14th June)


DONCASTER 2.00 

Let me start with 3 horses that I will be laying (Lahore + Stake Acclaim + Teruntum Star) Caspian Prince looks the most likely pacesetter in this race and on its best 2018 time that would be enough to see it at least make the frame and could feasibly lead all the way here and maybe worth an each-way interest, the bottom pair Cowboy Soldier and Orvar are capable of recording fast times but would need to improve to win this race if others run to their best, Camacho Chief has decent time from Leicester but this one doesn't seem to want really fast ground, my money will be riding on EMBOUR 6/1 who has its best time from Ascot last year that makes it my top-rated and the jockey booking looks a positive move as he has a 21% win rate on this stables older horses. 

Embour 6/1 4th (-1p)

Lay bets: Lahore -10pts, Stake Acclaim +1pt, Teruntum Star +1pt

Total: -9pts

GOODWOOD 2.20 

Of the 9 runners I will look to lay 2 of them, Corinthia Knight + Puds) I could have put Mrs Bouquet in the lay list but it has good trainer/jockey stats so maybe we haven't seen the best of this horse in its previous races but to me, it looks a better horse at a shorter distance, I can only find one natural frontrunner in the race and if BUNGEE JUMP 10/1 does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch as it is my top rated so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish and this jockey has very good stats for this trainer.  

Bungee Jump 10/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Corinthia Knight +1pt, Pud +1pt

Total: +1pt

DONCASTER 2.35 

Only 7 runners for this Listed class race, which I find strange to have so few entrants, I can only find one horse to lay (*Rocket Action) I'm not sure what to expect from Lady In France but I don't think this wants it any faster than good going, if Final Venture can repeat its best 2018 time it would be winning this race but its best from 2019 was way below that level but never say never, Copper Knight is the only known frontrunner in the field and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I will be putting my trust and my money on DAKOTA GOLD 2/1 who usually finishes strongly at the business end of a race and will have a good target to aim at. 

*NR 

Dakota 2/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt


NEWMARKET 2.45

I'm hoping the rain stays away and the going is at least good, please check before having a bet using my figures, I will look to lay (Prophecy + Native Silver + Sandridge Lad) there's a couple of horses that can lead if needs be but they might not need to today as the bottom weight Pavers Pride is a more natural frontrunner and its best time from 2018 would be good enough to win this race but it has never won at this distance so I'm beginning to think that time might have been a one-off, still though I'm not sure what to expect, others that may go well are Camachess, Englishman and Herringswell but I will be backing VICTORY ROSE 16/1 (EW) who should get a good tow into the race being drawn alongside a fast starter and at the price has to be given as an each-way bet.

Victory Rose 16/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Prophecy +1pt, Native Silver +1pt, Sandridge Lad +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: - 8pts