1:55 Beverley Racing Tips (21st April)

BEVERLEY 1.55 

A class 5 race over the five furlong dash distance and hopefully the going is good and good to firm in places and I hope they don't over-water, be better if they didn't water at all, the one problem with this race is the lack of known front running types but I think I have found something worthwhile to put forward, I think that Lady Nectar 6/1, Tees Spirit 7/2 and Camachess 9/2 are all better horses over a longer distance so this race might not be run to suit them, I can find very little time wise between Not On Your Nellie, East Street Revue and Teruntum Star if producing their former best, that leaves JAMES WATT 9/2 and *VAN GERWEN 14/1 who are both out of the Paul Midgley stable and are my two top rated horses, looking at the jockey bookings it would seem that the latter is their first choice in the race but my figures have the former rated slightly higher and the apprentices allowance takes it even further ahead although the betting does agree with my reckoning, if either are trying they can win this race a shade cosily according to my speed figures and instead of trying to second guess the trainers plans I will be backing both of them even with such a difference in price as I would be really annoyed with myself if the outsider won and I hadn't backed it. 

*NR

James Watt 11/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.07 

Only 6 runners here for a class 3 race which looks a bit of a nightmare to find a satisfactory conclusion, Prontissimo, Saaty and Secret moment have all had no more than 4 runs on an AW track so the data is limited and I cannot discount any of the trio with utmost confidence which means if I do bet it will be to low stakes, I would look to lay Whittle Le Woods if a single figure price as I think this trip is too short for it to show its best and needs to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race, Puerto De vega comes out 2nd best on my figures which leaves me with NIGEL NOTT 13/2 who is the only one known to front run in this race and also being my top rated it could lead all the way here and win with a bit in hand, it has finished 2nd on its last 3 runs and has been found an opportunity to go one better in this race and definitely looks the value call in the race.

Nigel Nott 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Whittle Le Woods -4pts 

Total -5pts 

Total on the day -6pts

1:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.25 

Plenty of early paced types in this race and Savalas could go well from the front if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but it was well below that level in 2021, VICTORY ROSE 14/1 hasn't run over this c/d since 2020 but its best figure from that year would give it every chance here being my 2nd top rated horse so worth a small each way bet, my top rated is *STRONG POWER 9/4 who won on Monday where it won very cosily in a fast run race, that was a class 6 race and it is up to class 5 here but the way it won suggests it should take this upgrade in its stride but just as a precaution, as sometimes they don't run well next time out if raced too quickly after their victory, I will be backing both of them but my stakes will be kept low. 

*NR

Victory Rose 14/1 7th -1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 Div I

In this race I will be looking to lay both Blazing Hot 5/2 and Tomshalfbrother 11/2 who finished 2nd and 3rd last time out behind Sir Hector who I tipped up that day at 25/1 as they are both weighted to finish behind that same horse again here and I will be backing SIR HECTOR 9/2 again in this race as it is weighted to beat them again here but i do have a horse.

COUNTRY CHARM 14/1 rated 4lbs higher but that is using a Newcastle time but it has had one previous run over this c/d which resulted in it not recording a rating but it might be worth an each way punt at the price and I will be backing both of them to small stakes.

Sir Hector 11/2 5th -1pt 

Country Charm 14/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt, Tomshalfbrother +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.05 Div II 

This 2nd division is definitely the poor relation of this race, I expect Cometh The Man to set the pace to the race from the stall 1 draw and in such a poor race it could do enough to at least make the frame but is better over a shorter trip and if tackled for the lead might falter inside the final furlong, others that have bits of form but also with a negative are, Martineo who has been in poor form lately and may need this run for fitness plus a 0-26 jockey stat, Pable Del Pueblo who isn't proven on this surface and Iesha who has poor form over this c/d, one I will look to lay is Royal Heart 13/2 who didn't register on my figures when finishing 3rd over this c/d and its best speed figure from Lingfield isn't good enough to win this race, I will be having a small wager, and I mean a small wager, on ADMIRABLE LAD 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so might be worth an each way wager. 

Admirable Lady 25/1 9th -2pts

Lay bet Royal Heart +1pt

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 3.55

I am not a fan of these amateur riders races and i really should leave the race alone BUT I can see from my ratings that NIGEL NOTT 4/1 and SWISS PRIDE 6/1 are rated a good few spots higher than the rest of the runners and I will go with backing both of them, if Lord P 10/3 is the favourite as predicted by the early tissue prices then I would look to lay it as its c/d win was in a relatively slow run race and it also may need this run for fitness after a 118 day break from racing.

Swiss Pride 8/1 5th -1pt 

Nigel Nott 4/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Lord P +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (9th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

ROCK BOY GREY 11/1 has only ran once so far this year and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race.

NIGEL NOTT 11/2 is a known front running type and could lead here and if doing so prove hard to catch and its best time from 2020 would make it my joint top rated.

TOUSSARAK 7/1 is a 3yo who is my top rated on just 2021 times and only 2lbs below top spot on my overall figures so could go well here.

CRIMSON SAND 7/2 recorded its best time this year and this 3yo could improve further and would need to if it wants to win this race.

GREAT NEWS 4/1 may need a longer distance before it shows its best form, this is its AW debut but would need to improve on its best turf time to be winning here.

LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 has got good jockey stats and time wise its my joint top rated on its best time from Lingfield.

YIMOU 11/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and its best from that year wouldn't be good enough to win this race.

COTTAM LANE 9/2 has led before and hasn't run on the AW before but would need to improve on its turf speed figures to win this race. 

TRUMBLE 22/1 hasn't ant AW form but i think it needs a longer distance to show its true worth and I expect it will be an outsider. 

SUMMARY: Both Great News and Cottam Lane will need to improve on their turf times to win this race and might be worth taking on if they are short priced, I think/hope that. NIGEL NOTT 11/2 can lead in this race and then it could prove hard to catch being my joint top rated, TOUSSARAK 7/1 is the other joint top rated and could prosper if the front runner doesn't set the right fractions to the race and then I also have to consider LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 who is rated 2lbs lower on my overall figures but is my top rated for just this year and I hope I can dutch all 3 of them to make a profit. 

Letmelivemylife 10/1 6th -1pt 

Toussarak 14/1 7th -1pt 

Nigel Nott 11/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bets: Great News +1pt, Cottam Lane +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.30 Div I 

Not a great race and the 2nd division is so poor I will be leaving it alone but I think I can find the winner of this 1st division although it wont be a big price, I can only see 1 known front runner in the field of 12 and that will be my selection, I will be laying the top weight Big Impact 11/8 at the price as I think its either too far for it or the wrong going or maybe both, the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its over a month since they last did have a winner, Jorvik Prince is another that might struggle to stay if there's a fast early pace which I expect VINCENZO COCCOTTI 7/2 to set here and I'm hoping it can lead all the way to follow up its win last time out and it is actually a bigger price than i was anticipating.

Vincenzo Coccotti 7/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Big Impact -1.2pts 

Total -2.2pts 

Total on the day  -3.2pts

2:40 Haydock Racing Tips (25th September)

HAYDOCK 2.40 

WOW what a competitive looking class 2 dash, I can only see Premier Power as a possible lay bet in this race, Mountain Peak is one of two known front running types in this race and comes out 4th best on my figures so could run well and maybe even make the frame,Jawwaal is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs below the pair who are my top rated, Mondammej is one of the joint top rated horses but drops to 2nd best when I take off the 5lb the apprentice claims riding COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who is also the other known front runner and if getting to the front here it could be hard to catch. 

Copper Knight 9/2 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Premier Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 3.15 

Another nice looking race and class 3 this time, I think the early pace will be set by Al Simmo but it would need to improve to hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger who has won its last 3 races comes out 3rd top on my figures and maybe the handicapper has caught up with it, there is only 2lbs between my top rated pair and I will be backing both of them, NEVER DARK 8/1 and SECOND COLLECTION 12/1 as to be honest I cannot split them and both look good value at their prices with there being just seven runners. 

Second Collection 16/1 4th -1pt 

Never Dark 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 3.30 

A field of 12 for this race with a couple of front runners of whom Machree may go best but I doubt it can hold on for the win and I might well lay the other possible leader, Raydmoor who might have been flattered when winning a slow run race last time out, James Watt, Nibras Again and Deputise could all go well but I will be splitting my stake between COLEY'S KOKO 9/2 who is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below ATLYAH 7/1 in top spot, the former is usually held up for a late run while the latter likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish. 

Coley's Koko 7/1 Unp -1pt 

Atlyah 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 4.05 

As usual with an eight runner race I hope they all take part so there is 3 places available for an each way bet, it is a good looking class 2 race where I cannot see anything that I could dismiss its chances and lay it, Bossipop may do best of the two known front runners in the race as it comes out 4th best on my figures and could even stay on well enough to sneak a palace especially if others falter, Thegreatestshowman is sitting in 3rd top spot but the trainer is 0-10 in the last 2 weeks, Manigordo is my 2nd best rated horse and is usually seen staying on at the finish over this distance and could make the frame but it hasn't been in good form lately, my money will be riding on BOWMAN 10/1 (EW) who recorded a fast time at Carlisle and a repeat would see it winning a touch cosily.

Bowman 10/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

RIPON 5.50 

Only 6 runners where the top pair, Nearly A Gonna and Ustath, look the likely pacesetters and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and the former might have been flattered when it won 2 runs ago at Nottingham, Hurstwood comes out 2nd best using a time from way back in 2019, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 13/8 who is from a stable in decent form in the last two weeks and it will be held up for a late run. 

Singe Anglais 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 4 race, 10 runners and 2 known front running types equals a true run affair, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam who should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders, Garth Rockett has a good time from 2020 which would give it a good chance of winning but the jockey booking, 0-18, makes me think it will be aimed at a future race, I did have TOUSSARAK 7/1 and NIGEL NOTT 5/1 level on my ratings but the former has a 3lb claiming apprentice on board and the latter has a 5lb claiming apprentice, so just 2lbs between them but as the latter is the one I think might set the early pace and could prove hard to catch but just in case I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 4th -1pt 

Toussarak 7/1 UR -1pt 

Lay bet: Seas Of Elzaam +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them are known as front runners and five of them are 3yo’s so my stakes are already going to be low, I think *Iesha may need further and may be worth laying despite the fact this race might be run to suit its racing style, I think JORVIK PRINCE 9/1 should lead and then prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but its time from 2021 would give TOPLIGHT 9/2 a chance to pick it up in the closing stages and I will be backing them both.

*NR

Jorvik Prince 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Toplight 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

4:50 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th November)

NEWCASTLE 4.50 5f 

A full house of 14 runners with 3 known front runners in amongst them, I will look to lay Orvar, as long as its a single figure price, who hasn't been in form lately and not shown much time wise since 2018, all of these could run big races here, Watchable, El Hombre and Get Boosting, Venturous won last time out and being in form could run well again here and could make the frame, Big Les and Exalted Angel could be the 2 that set the early pace, I will be taking a bit of a punt on the 3yo BIRKENHEAD 17/2 (EW) who has only run here once before without showing much but its best time from Wolverhampton would put it in the mix while the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim moves it into top spot and it will hopefully be an decent each way price. 

Birkenhead 10/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

CHELMSFORD 5.30 6f 

A ten runner affair and at class 2 is the highest rated sprint of the day, the 3yo Aberama Gold is forecast to be the favourite but I am not convinced this course will suit it so worth laying, there's 4 known front running types in the race and my top 2 ratings are in that group, Katheefa could go well if reproducing its best 2019 time, Lipsink could be a bit of a hidden danger, while Poets Dance may do best of those coming from off the pace, Spirit Of May has got stall 2 which could help its cause but I'm siding with NIGEL NOTT 5/1 who could be ok from stall 8 in the make-up of this race and if getting to the front ought to prove to be a hard nut to crack and I think the jockey booking looks a positive. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 2nd -1pt

Total: -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.00 6f Div II

This class 6 race is a bit patchy time wise with only 6 of the 14 runners have a recorded speed figure, I'm looking to lay (Daddy's Diva + Krazy Paving) if in single figure prices anything bigger and the value would be lost, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Vincenzo Coccotti who is a hold up type and will be staying on at the finish, the other is Rockesbury (non runner) who is one of 2 known front running types in the race and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but i do have one horse rated 2lbs higher so if *INDEPENDENCE DAY 12/1 (EW)

gets a clear run it could pick up the leader and at the price has to be an each way wager. 

*NR

Lay bets: Daddy's Diva +1pt, Krazy Paving +1pt

Total: +2pts

CHELMSFORD 6.30 6f Div II

In this 2nd division there's 7 with recorded speed figures but very little is over this c/d and or recent, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in Isabella Ruby and *AT YOUR SERVICE 13/2 and the latter is top rated on just 2020 times so has to be respected and will be carrying my money, Illustrious Spirit is 2nd top rated using a Lingfield time from earlier this year but hasn't been in good form lately, with no known pacesetter in the race my stakes wont be at full strength. 

*NR

CHELMSFORD 7.00 5f 

Only a class 5 but a hard race to analyse to a conclusion in fact I will be dutching 3 horses, INVINCIBLE LARNE 5/2 is the favourite and could try to lead but from stall 8 but with 3 others that might try the same tactic it might get taken wide on the bend, it is my top rated using a Kempton time but this will be its debut at this course but if getting a run and taking to the track it could win but there is two 3yo’s in the race that could cause it some trouble nearing the finish who are both rated exactly equal so I will be backing both REASSURE 4/1 and ZULU ZANDER 14/1 just in case the top weight doesn't handle the course or the draw.

Reassure 7/1 1st (+7pts Betfair SP 10.14)

Zulu Zander 40/1 4th (-1pt)

Invincible Larne 5/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: +5pts

Total on the day +4pts

4:15 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (1st September)

KEMPTON 4.15 

TOP BREEZE 17/2 is one of 3 known front runners in the field and is dropped slightly to run here and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch if able to reproduce its best Chelmsford time here. 

KONDRATIEV WAVE 33/1 could go well from stall 2 for a front runner but time-wise on c/d form it has to improve to win the race being a 3yo it could just do that and has a time from Lingfield which is only 3lbs below the top rated horse so maybe worth an each way punt. 

BREATH OF JOY 4/1 I cannot work out why this one is so short as its times here have been on the slow side and may need further on the AW tracks as its still a maiden on the artificial surfaces after 4 attempts but was placed in 3 of those 4 races.

FULL AUTHORITY 5/1 hasn't run on the AW before but its best form has been over five furlongs so may not stay the trip with a fast pace which could/should happen here.

LAST SURPRISE 17/2 only one previous c/d run which was a slow time but does have a time from Chelmsford that makes it my joint top rated on all times but the trainer/jockey stats, 0-11 and 0-5 are a little off-putting.

A SURE WELCOME 12/1 would need to improve time-wise to win this race and hasn't really shown much on the clock since 2018.

DIAMOND DOUGAL 10/1 did record its best time this year but its a few spots below the best time of just 2020 times but could go quite well.

NIGEL NOTT 17/2 has the fastest time on my speed figures for just 2020 which has to be a positive and could go well here and has a chance to win the race if times from elsewhere don't work out. 

SAAHEQ 12/1 is another who’s best time from this year is a few spots below the best and maybe a better proposition when racing over a shorter distance.

CLAREYBLUE 9/1 is versatile with its racing tactics but has no form over this distance on the AW so not really sure what to expect and its best form turf could see it fall short but its another 3yo so it could improve.

AL DAWODIYA 17/2 has one previous run over this c/d which was a slow time, it would lead at a slower pace if nothing else wanted to but that wont happen here so I'm not sure its up to winning this race.

BATCHELOR BOY 12/1 hasn't run at this course before and its best times from Wolverhampton would leave if below the best times on show but it is a 3yo and one that has been known tom lead so never say never.

SUMMARY: There's a few 3yo’s and lightly raced sorts in this race which could suddenly improve and prove dangerous, I would look to lay (Breath Of Joy + Full Authority) I personally will be dutching 4 horses in this race but my stakes wont be at full strength, they are, in no particular order TOP BREEZE 17/2, KONDRATIEV WAVE 33/1, LAST SURPRISE 17/2 and NIGEL NOTT 17/2 and they may all be worth doing each way in this race.

Last Surprise 12/1 1st (Betfair SP: 14.99) (+14.4pts)
Nigel Nott 17/2 5th (-2pt)
Top Breeze 10/1 9th (-2pt) 
Kondratiev Wave 33/1 Unp (-2pt) 

Lay bets: Breath Of Joy +1pt, Full Authority +1pt

Total on the day: +10.4pts