1:00 Goodwood Racing Tips (30th April)

GOODWOOD 1.00 

Only 7 runners but a nice looking class 3 affair except for the lack of early pace, Minhaaj hasn't been in form so looks a likely outsider, Green Power hasn't shown anything time wise since 2019 and maybe another bigger priced horse, Top Breeze may find this distance too far if there is fast early pace so I'm not sure whether to lay it or not but if under 5/1 may be worth taking the risk, Concierge may prefer longer but time wise needs to improve to win this race, Open Wide is 3rd top even if I use its best time from 2019, Atlantis Boy usually stays on at the finish and is my 2nd top rated but I will be backing BIMBLE 5/2 who is usually hold up type so I am hoping there is a decent early pace for it to aim at and has good trainer/jockey stats making me think the connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways here. 

Bimble 5/2 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

MUSSELBURGH 3.35 

Another 7 runner race but class 4 this time, where my top 4 ratings all recorded their times this year but once again its a race with no known front runner in the field, Mid Winster may need further to shine so this race might not be run to suit it, Primos Comet sits in 4th top spot but doesn't want really fast ground, the top weight Victory Angel comes out 3rd best and is usually held up for a late run, Afandem my 2nd top rated is another that doesn't want really fast ground, I will be pinning my faith and money on FASHION ADVICE 7/2 who recorded its best time over this c/d and the jockey has a decent 18% strike rate for the stable. 

Fashion Advice 7/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHEPSTOW 4.00

Isn't a great race even for class 5 standards, anything I think will be a lay bet looks likely to be too big in price to be worth risking things, Major Valentine comes out 3rd best and Rainbow Mirage in 2nd top spot and both of them recorded their best times at Windsor this year, maybe even the same race as I've not looked as I analyse each horse separately, my money will be riding on VAPE 11/2 who recorded its best time at Salisbury this year and has made the frame in all of its last 3 runs on turf and has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. 

Vape 6/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 7.55

This might be a class 5 race but its a nice looking one, there is 3 runners in the race that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run affair, there is very little between Good Night Mr Tom, Tomily, Jungle Speed, Oakenfield and Absolute Dream who are my 6th to 2nd top rated (not in ratings order I worked from the top to the bottom of the handicap) but I will have a punt, and it is a punt on HART STOPPER 13/2 who is my top rated using its best c//d time from last year, it hasn't shown much lately but it won last year on its third run of the year and this is its third run of this year so I am hoping that lightning will strike again this year. 

Hart Stopper 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total - 1pt

NEWCASTLE 8.25 

Down to class 6 here and gladly there is a couple of known front running types in the race, the top weight Ventura Express is forecast to be the favourite for this race but I have a feeling it is a better horse over a longer trip and that would usually be enough for me to lay it but it is dropped in class in this race, it won over this distance at Pontefract last time out but that course is a lot slower than today's, in fact there's just over 3 seconds difference between them over the minimum trip and a horse covers 19 yards per second at this course so maybe I will lay it if poor value, I've got Quanah, Gorgeous Gobolina and Atyaaf as my co 4th favourites, Suwaan at the bottom of the handicap comes out 3rd best, Another Angel comes out 2nd best on its best effort from 2020 and it is one of the likely pacesetters, the other likely pacesetter is ROCKLEY POINT 7/1 who recorded its time this year which is always a positive and the jockey has a decent 15% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Rockley Point 7/1 3rd - 1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

2:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (5th March)

LINGFIELD 2.00 

I am not sure what to expect from Zargun who hasn't raced in the UK before but it did run in Group 3 races but hasn't won a race since 2018 so I will leave it alone, the early pace might be set by Recon Mission who comes out in 3rd top position, in 2nd top spot I've got Total Commitment who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but my money will be riding on COUNT OTTO 3/1 (1 Point Win) who has the plum stall 1 draw and has won 3 times over this c/d. 

Count Otto 3/1 1st +3pts (Betfair sp 3.55)

Total +3pts

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

Only 6 runners and the early pace may be set by Dapper Man in this race and if getting to the front it could prove had to catch if it can reproduce its best time from 2018 but its best time from 2020 isn't that far off the same level so could go well but if BUNIANN 2/1 (1 Point Win) reproduces its best time which it did record this year it would see it winning this race a little cosily. 

Buniann 2/1 1st +2pts (Betfair sp 2.33)

Total +2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.15 

Quite a tricky class 6 race, Epeius would be in the mix if using times from 2018/19 but hasn't been in good form lately, Griggy, Kilconquhar, Billy Wedge, Wicklow Warrior and Kroy all have snippets of form that could see them contest to make the frame but i will be going with 2 selections in this race, STAR CRACKER 28/1(1/2 Point Each Way) could be the one to set the pace here and if putting its best hoof forward could lead all the way but its a little bit too inconsistent to be having just the one bet so I will also back ATRAFAN 11/2 (1 Point Win) who is top rated on recent c/d figures. 

Atrafan 11/2 5th -1pt

Star Cracker 66/1 Unp -2pts

Total -3pts

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

There are 3 horses that have been known to lead so it should be a true run race and it looks a very competitive affair, the top weight Asad could be an interesting runner as it has led and won over 7 furlongs before and this is its 1st race over today's 6 furlongs, the other 2 front runners, Gunmetal and Spartan Fighter could also go well, Athoillblair Boy will win a race somewhere this year but only wins one or possibly 2 races per year, Ghathanfar is usually held up for a late run and could get a good tow into the race being drawn in stall 2 with a fast starter either side of it, top rated on my figures is HART STOPPER 17/2 (1 Point Win) who has 1 win and 1 place from its 3 previous runs over this c/d and could go well now refreshed after a short break. 

*NR

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

This is a nice looking race for a class 6 affair with 3 known front runners amongst the field of 9 over the minimum distance, Rebel Redemption looks to want further and might be worth laying, Harrogate could do best of those coming from off the pace if bouncing back to form as it hasn't shown much lately, Manumission was a beaten favourite last time it ran but would need to improve time wise on its best Wolverhampton time to win this race although this is its debut over this c/d, Van Gerwen a possible pacesetter who comes out 2nd best on a time from 2020 may need this run for fitness, Swiss Connection can possibly lead and comes out 3rd top on my figures and would need to improve a few spots to win this race, that leaves me with ROCKLEY POINT 4/1 (2 Points Win) who is also a front runner and my top rated so if getting to the front could prove a hard nut to crack.

Rockley Point 4/1 4th -2pts

Total on the day 0pts

7:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (16th August)

 CHELMSFORD 7.10 

TROPICS one of three in this race that has been known to lead before and it's my top rated on just 2019 times and being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice who does well for this stable. 

CASPIAN PRINCE best drawn of the possible pacesetters on its 1st attempt at this c/d, it would need to improve for the switch to win so not for me in this race. 

CORINTHIA KNIGHT the 3rd possible pacesetter and 3rd top on just 2019 times but it may struggle to lead here and hence struggle to win the race.

MUTHMIR I don't know why but it just hasn't been in form this year on turf and its 2 runs on this surface at Lingfield leave it with something to find timewise here. 

ENCORE D’OR is 2nd top-rated on this years times and 4th best overall but not well drawn in stall 8 in the make-up of this race and one of 3 runners from the same stable and I've no idea which if any is their first string.

GRACIOUS JOHN this ones recent c/d time is well below par compared to some in this race but its best from 2015 would put it in the mix but not for me this race.

JUMIRA BRIDGE this ones best from 2019 only makes it my 4th top-rated but its best from last year would make it top rated overall and has to be considered as the possible winner and I'm hoping this is the stables first choice and maybe the apprentices 5lb claim can swing things in this one's favour.

PUDS this one hasn't any c/d form to work with and its best from Kempton leave it a few spots away from the top-rated but will be trying to stay on at the finish.

BLUE DE VEGA this one hasn't run at this course before but is 4th top-rated using its best Kempton so would need to improve to win this. 

SUMMARY: What a cracking 5 furlong dash and quite a muddling affair going through their times on the 3 courses that have this surface, I will be backing 2 runners in this race, the topweight TROPICS 7/2 has to be one I back because it's my top rated on 2019 times and the apprentice booked does have a good record for the stable winning 21% on the stables older horses, Robert Cowell has 3 runners and I'm hoping I've found the right one with JUMIRA BRIDGE 12/1 who would win if reproducing its best time of last year at Kempton and could be worth an each-way wager. 

Tropics 8/1 3rd
Jumira Bridge 14/1 5th

NEWMARKET 5.50 (7.0)

The bottom weight CENT FLYING 3/1 who won last time out has been found a chance to follow up here and deserves the opportunity to take on slightly higher class horses but I cannot discard the chances of NORMANDY BARRIERE 10/1 and 2 horses from the same stable because I can't work out if there's a top choice between them in the shape of *EQUITATION 4/1 and HART STOPPER 7/1, the best way to go maybe to dutch the 4 of them to make a profit.

Cent Flying 8/1 1st + EX £39 
Hart Stopper 7/1 2nd 
Normandy Barriere 10/1 7th
*NR