2:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th January)

LINGFIELD 2.30 

A field of 9 with only Winnetka known to front run but as its only 5th top on my overall figures I doubt it can stay ahead to the finishing line, I will look to lay Knockout Blow 7/1 if its a single figure price at the off as this one can struggle to stay the distance in a true run race even though it is my 4th top rated , there is only 1lb between my 4th to 2nd top rated horses, Pueblo Del Pueblo is my joint 2nd top rated who has been in decent form but the jockey taking the ride for this race is 1-46 for the stable so maybe this race isn't their target, SEPRANI 11/2 is the other joint 2nd top rated and the jockey booking on this one looks significant as the apprentice has a 33% win ratio for the stable, VINCENZO COCCOTTI 8/1 comes out in top spot but hasn't been in form lately but is capable of winning without prior warning so I will be backing them both. 

Vincenzo Coccotti 20/1 6th -1pt

Seprani 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts

LINGFIELD 3.00 

Another 9 runner race but this time there's 3 horses that have been known to lead before, I will look to lay Campachoochoo 6/1 who won a slow run race at Chelmsford and another slow run affair when 3rd over this c/d so may have been flattered by those results, the versatile racing tactically horse Hurricane Alert has been out of form for quite awhile now and I think will be an outsider, Lorna Cole 4/1 will be trying to stay on at the finish and being my 3rd top rated it could make the frame but isn't an each way price, the old-timer Captain Ryan comes out 2nd best on my figures and is another that will be trying to stay on at the finish if its runs to its best it could make the frame but i will be hoping that THEGREYVTRAIN 6/4 will lead from start to finish it has been knocking on the door lately and has been found an opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race as the price shows, I was expecting or maybe hoping for a bigger price but its best rating is 11lb higher than the second top rated but at this level consistency isn't guaranteed. 

Thegreyvtrain 13/8 1st +1.625 + F/C £55.66 + TRI £202.50

Total +1.625pts

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

This time an eight runner race but now there isn't any known front running types in the race as River Tweed is a non-runner, Tyger Bay 7/2 hasn't any form on this surface and will need to improve for the switch and might be worth taking on with a lay bet then add One Hart 9/1 to my lay list, as long as they are single figure prices at the off, as this might prefer further and hasn't been in good form lately, in 3rd top spot I've got Mutabaahy but its another horse that hasn't been in good form in its latest runs, the top weight TRIGGERED 5/1 has been slowly returning to form finishing 4th and then 3rd in its last 2 runs is my top rated using a time from 2020 it is also my top rated on just times recorded here at Southwell since the change of surface, the trainer is 0-25 in the last 2 weeks which doesn't inspire confidence so I cannot make it my sole bet and will also be backing ROYAL ADVICE 10/1 (EW) who is my 2nd top rated and this ones speed figure was recorded 2021 at Newcastle I am hoping this one will be an each way price as long as all eight take part. 

Triggered 5/1 4th -1pt 

Royal Advice 16/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets Tyger Bay +1pt, One Heart +1pt

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 8.00 

We move up to 12 runners for the final sprint of the day with 3 known front runners amongst them, Maple Jack 8/1 may need this run for fitness so one I will lay if its a single figure price at the off, there are confusing form lines and speed figures trying to work out the ratios with this newly laid surface and the 2 other tracks with the Tapeta surface, Vandad is actually my top rated if I use its best rating from Lingfield but this is its debut on this surface so how it will fare I have no idea but I will as usual stick with the proven and the betting will give me a clue about this ones chances, I will be backing 2 in this race firstly the front running ORNATE 8/1 who has the fastest time for just this course with the newly laid surface and could possibly turn the form around with Ooh Is It who beat it by half a length, my second bet will be on PHOENIX STAR 16/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and might be the one to prosper if they go off too fast in the early stages and fade nearing the finish and also has good trainer/jockey stats and at the price has to be backed each way.

Phoenix Star 16/1 3rd +2.2pts

Ornate 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total +1.2pts

Total on the day -0.175

6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (6th January)

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

UPDATE: READ BELOW

BRAZEN ARROW 8/1 comes out fourth best on my speed figures but its 133 days since the stable last had a winner and the horse is still a maiden after twelve races but could possibly do enough to make the frame but I might lay the win part at a single figure price. 

BUT YOU SAID has run on this surface in Ireland but didn't show anything of merit so the same surface here might not suit it and is also a maiden after twelve previous races and another that I will look to lay if value to do so which 11/2 is. 

DELLA MAN hasn’t any form on this course and would need to improve time wise on what it has produced on this surface and distance at both Lingfield and Kempton and usually likes to track the leaders and I will look to lay this one at 4/1. 

INDIAN AFFAIR has been known to lead before and normally stall 13 would be a problem but with only 2 known front running types in this race it could be ok for it but time wise it would need to improve to lead all the way and I expect it will be a double figure price.

KNOCKABOUT QUEEN is usually held up for a late run but hasn't been in good form in its latest runs plus time wise it would need to improve to win this race and I doubt it can peg back the leaders in this race and I doubt it will be fancied in the betting. 

KRAZY PAVING has only slow times over this c/d in 2021 and its best from 2020 leaves it outside my top four ratings and I don't think this surface suits it the best but I think the price will reflect that notion. 

LADY MONICA has only had one previous course and distance run which resulted in a time not quick enough to register on my speed figures and it races as though a longer distance would suit it better and another I think will be an outsider. 

MONSIEUR FANTAISIE has a time from 2021 that makes it my third top rated horse and usually races in midfield and then stay on at the finish, it could make the frame but would need to improve to win this race but could do so, so I couldn't lay it. 

MOVEONUP has poor recent form and it would be a bit of a surprise if this one managed to win this race and I am not sure this surface will suit it either and will be an outsider.

NOZIERES has shown very little and another that would be a surprise winner and will be an outsider. 

RED ALLURE hasn't any form on this surface and would need to improve for the switch to the Polytrack surface to win this race and I expect it will be a double figure price. 

ROCKESBURY (EW) is a known front running type and has a rating from 2020 makes it my top rated so from stall 2 it could possibly get away smartly and get control of the rails and then be hard to peg back.

VINCENZO COCCOTTI (EW) has pieces of form that give it a decent chance in this race, it is my top rated on c/d times from 2021 or this year and comes out in second top spot using a 2020 speed figure. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay, But You Said who doesn't look to like this surface looking at its Irish form and Della Mare who has poor ratings on this surface, as for the winner I will be having two bets firstly on ROCKESBURY 20/1 who has been known to lead and if getting to the front and gain control on the rails it could prove hard to catch but just in case things don't go to plan i will also be backing VINCENZO COCCOTTI 12/1 who is usually held up for a late run so I will have both angles covered and will go with two each way punts.

UPDATE: 

PS: there are now 2 non runners, Indian Affair and Rockesbuy who were the only front runinng types in this race, which now paints a completely different picture and now the favourite, Monsieur Fantaisie, has been given a better chance of winning this race but isn't of value at 9/4 so this race is now best left alone.

6:00 Chelsmford Racing Tips (9th December)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 Div I

A relatively poor class 6 handicap, which will not take much winning, split into 2 divisions there's quite a few in this field of 14 that are out of form or have negatives against their names under today's conditions,IE: course, distance, surface, the top weight Aces 7/2 who is my 3rd top rated using a time from Lingfield might be one of those to lay if the tissue prices are to be believed due to the fact it is a better horse over a shorter distance and has only recorded 3 slow times on its 3 previous c/d runs, another to consider laying is Royal Heart 8/1 if its a single figure price, Brazen Arrow 16/1 is my 4th top rated on overall speed figures but is 2nd best on just 2021 c/d speed figures so could go well and might be worth an each way punt, Maid Millie 4/1 is my top rated using a time from 2020 but its best from this year has been well below that level and the jockeys 0-3 record for the stable makes me think they might have a future race in mind but I might have a small covering bet on it but my main bet will be VINCENZO COCCOTTI 15/2 who is my top rated for just this years c/d speed figures and working with the apprentice jockeys claim it is also top rated overall. 

Vincenzo Coccotti 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Royal Heart +1pt, Aces (not given as returned double figure odds) 

Total 0pts 

CHELMSFORD 6.30 Div II 

This division is a bit complex to analyze, again there a few with negatives against their name and haven't been in form lately of those I would look to lay Hope Springs 8/1 if its a single figure price as the trip might be too far for it if the early pace is decent, Kraka 25/1 would be my top rated if I used a 2019 speed figure buts its best for the last 2 years, 2020/2021, is way below that standard and has been in very poor form lately and I am going to ignore that speed figure as it now seems irrelevant and the betting backs that up, I've got joint 5th top rated horses in Sword Exceed and Perfect Symphony and they are just 1lb below my joint 3rd top rated horses, Bungledupinblue 10/1 and The Tron 7/1, I've also got joint top rated horses on this years speed figures and ignoring a faster time I mentioned earlier they are also joint top rated on my overall speed figures so I will be backing both MONSIEUR FANTASIE 16/1 (EW) and BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 14/1 (EW), the former usually races in midfield but both the trainer and jockeys stats are 0-31 which doesn't bode well while the latter has a 11% strike rate for the trainer but a poor 4% win ratio by the jockey, so I am hoping they will be each way prices and I will then go with a couple of small each way punts.

Monsieur Fantasie 16/1 2nd +3pts 

Bernard Speirpoint 14/1 3rd +2.5pts

Total +5.5pts

Total +5.5pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (9th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

ROCK BOY GREY 11/1 has only ran once so far this year and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race.

NIGEL NOTT 11/2 is a known front running type and could lead here and if doing so prove hard to catch and its best time from 2020 would make it my joint top rated.

TOUSSARAK 7/1 is a 3yo who is my top rated on just 2021 times and only 2lbs below top spot on my overall figures so could go well here.

CRIMSON SAND 7/2 recorded its best time this year and this 3yo could improve further and would need to if it wants to win this race.

GREAT NEWS 4/1 may need a longer distance before it shows its best form, this is its AW debut but would need to improve on its best turf time to be winning here.

LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 has got good jockey stats and time wise its my joint top rated on its best time from Lingfield.

YIMOU 11/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and its best from that year wouldn't be good enough to win this race.

COTTAM LANE 9/2 has led before and hasn't run on the AW before but would need to improve on its turf speed figures to win this race. 

TRUMBLE 22/1 hasn't ant AW form but i think it needs a longer distance to show its true worth and I expect it will be an outsider. 

SUMMARY: Both Great News and Cottam Lane will need to improve on their turf times to win this race and might be worth taking on if they are short priced, I think/hope that. NIGEL NOTT 11/2 can lead in this race and then it could prove hard to catch being my joint top rated, TOUSSARAK 7/1 is the other joint top rated and could prosper if the front runner doesn't set the right fractions to the race and then I also have to consider LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 who is rated 2lbs lower on my overall figures but is my top rated for just this year and I hope I can dutch all 3 of them to make a profit. 

Letmelivemylife 10/1 6th -1pt 

Toussarak 14/1 7th -1pt 

Nigel Nott 11/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bets: Great News +1pt, Cottam Lane +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.30 Div I 

Not a great race and the 2nd division is so poor I will be leaving it alone but I think I can find the winner of this 1st division although it wont be a big price, I can only see 1 known front runner in the field of 12 and that will be my selection, I will be laying the top weight Big Impact 11/8 at the price as I think its either too far for it or the wrong going or maybe both, the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its over a month since they last did have a winner, Jorvik Prince is another that might struggle to stay if there's a fast early pace which I expect VINCENZO COCCOTTI 7/2 to set here and I'm hoping it can lead all the way to follow up its win last time out and it is actually a bigger price than i was anticipating.

Vincenzo Coccotti 7/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Big Impact -1.2pts 

Total -2.2pts 

Total on the day  -3.2pts

5:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th September)

LINGFIELD 5.35 

A 10 runner race where only 5 of them have gone fast enough to register on my figures and 4 of them have recorded ratings for this year, I will start with Firenze Rosa 5/2 who on the early tissue prices is forecast to be the nine to four favourite and I think is solely down to it finishing 2nd last time out but that was on soft ground and I am concerned whether it will like this relatively fast artificial surface plus the trainer is 0-5 for the last 2 weeks and its 28 runners and 51 days since the stable last had a winner so one i will definitely be laying it, Lady Florence 11/4 is 3rd top on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall using its faster time from 2020, the top two ratings flip flop, depending how you look at things as they are both being ridden by 3lb claiming apprentices, ARZAAK 6/1 is top rated on just 2021 times and rated 3lbs higher than GREEN DOOR 10/1 (EW), so they could both be rated the same, who would have eaten this lot for breakfast a few years back but hasn't shown much on recent runs and this will only be its 2nd race of the year, at least its giving weight to theoretically weaker horses and could possibly lead all the way but with them being so close on my speed figures I will be backing them both to cover the angles, maybe two each way bets is the best way forward, at the prices maybe one win bet and one each way wager. 

Arzaak 17/2 4th -1pts 

Green Door 10/1 9th -2pts

Total -3pts

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

The 3yo Maajdah is forecast to be a fairly hot favourite, 13/8, on the early tissue prices and I have to admit it did run to a high rating when it won last time out at Wolverhampton but this is a completely different kind of surface and would need to adapt but it will also need to improve about 7lbs if others run to their best so for those reasons I would definitely look to lay it at such a short price, Mejthaam11/2 is forecast to be the 2nd favourite and I can find negatives against this one as well, it won over this distance on turf when setting a slow pace but wont be allowed an easy lead in this race and I think it might get outpaced early doors in this race, it will or should be running on at the distance but this one also needs to improve time wise to win this race, there is also two more 3yo’s, Jojo Rabbit 12/1 and Miss Nay Never 9/1, who also like to lead, that makes a total of 6 of the 11 runners prefer to lead so maybe they will set the race up something coming from off the pace so I will be backing INVINCIBLE LARNE 15/2 (EW) who is 2 wins and 7 places from its 14 AW races and if it reproduces its best time from 2020 it will catch them in the closing stages of this race and if an each way price then all the better. 

Invincible Larne 16/1 3rd +2.2pts 

Lay bet: Maajdah +1pt

Total +3.2pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

I hope all 8 runners take part so there's 3 places if I find an each way bet, the 3yo Tawaazon 9/2 looks as though it is better over a shorter trip and maybe worth laying especially at the price, there's two known front running types but I doubt whether Rebel Redemption 6/1 is fast enough to lead and even if it could I doubt it would stay there for the victory, the 3yo Another Dawn 6/4 comes out 2nd top but that figure was recorded on a different surface at Wolverhampton but if taking to this surface it could have every chance, my money will be riding on the other pacemaker in the shape of BERRTIE 8/1 (EW) and this one has the plum draw in stall 1 and if getting to the front this 3yo could lead all the way and get back to winning ways. 

Berrtie 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

This Is a class 6 race but even for the class its quite poor and any stakes will have to be kept low, I doubt there will be anything of value to lay so it looks like small win bet/s, Twice As Likely 5/1 comes out 4th top rated on my overall figures and 2nd top on just 2021 times, Our Man In Havana 12/1 comes out 3rd best using a 2020 speed figure but it is the only one that has been known to lead before but that is only when nothing else wants to lead but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, top rated on just 2021 times is IRISH TIMES 7/1 and usually tracks the leaders and then run on at the finish but I do have VINCENZO COCCOTTI 7/1 rated higher using a time from last year and would be my sole bet if it had been in better form this year and the trainer had their last winner 27 days ago which doesn't inspire me and I will go with 2 small win bets.

Vincenzo Coccotti 7/1 +7pts + EX £31.20

Irish Times 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Total +6pts

Total on the day +4.8pts

4:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th August)

LINGFIELD 4.50 

A 12 runner race where 10 of them are either 3yo’s or 4yo’s and on the clock most of them have produced very little but they could still improve with age but I will be backing TARSEEKH 13/2 (EW) but only if its an each way price, I know the selection likes to front run and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and has finished in the first four in its last three runs and hoping it can make the frame again here, hence why I want it to be an each way price as a bit of insurance but I am fairly sure it could lead all the way but I admit my stakes will no be at full strength. 

Tarseekh 9/1 3rd +0.8pts

Total +0.8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.05 Div I 

Not a great race but these stakes races are for poorly rated horses but I have found 3 horses that have times that are a little bit above what you normally find in this lowly grade, I will look to lay Manumission 5/2 who might struggle to stay the distance with a fast for the class early pace, Hot Hot Hot 9/1 is another one I will look to lay again because it might not stay the trip if Anonymous John who is my joint 2nd top rated and is the one I expect to set the pace despite it being in stall 11 and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch, Mansfield hasn't shown much lately but its best time from 2019 makes it my other joint 2nd top rated horse but I will be putting my faith and money on MIRACLE GARDEN 10/1 who is the only one with a speed figure from this year and its best from 2019 would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Miracle Garden 10/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Manumission +1pt, Hot Hot Hot +1pt 

Total +1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.35 Div II 

This is much worse than the first division with four 3yo’s and 2 lightly raced 4yo’s who could have improvement in them it leaves me with a limited amount of data to work with so it is a lot more risky that usual to have a bet but I have found a couple I could lay and a small win bet, the 2 lays are Krazy Paving 7/1 as this isn't its favoured surface and its last race that produced a time on this surface was back in 2019 the other lay is Essaka 9/1 who hasn't shown much form time wise so if they are single figure prices I will lay the two of them, I will take a punt on VINCENZO COCCOTTI 3/1 who is a hold up type so I'm hoping there is a decent early pace which could play into the hands of my selection but it will only be a small bet.

Vincenzo Coccotti 8/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Krazy Paving +1pt, Essaka +1pt 

Total on the day +2.8pts

2:10 Lingfield Racing Tips (16th December)

LINGFIELD 2.10 6f Class 6 

BLESSED TO EMPRESS 11/1 hasn't any c/d form to work with but its best from Chelmsford this year would make it my 4th top rated.

SIR HECTOR 10/3 has a c/d time from this year which would make it 3rd top on just 2020 c/.d times but drops down a couple of places on overall figures maybe worth laying at the price.

STORM MELODY 10/1 hasn't any c/d form and ha only slow times at this distance and looks as though further would suit it better and a lay if dropping to a single figure price.

GHEPARDO 25/1 its one run over this c/d resulted in a slow time and its best from Kempton leaves it a few spots away from making the frame.

APOLLINARIS 20/1 this 3yo has a c/d run but resulted in a slow time but with only 4 races under its belt it could improve and looks to have a positive jockey booking so at the price looks worth backing each way.

COMEATCHOO 11/2 this 3yo has the fastest c/d time for this year and its also good enough for top position overall, only the stall 12 draw is little off-putting.

HEER AT LAST 25/1 has had 3 previous runs and races as though a longer trip would see it able to show its best.

VALENTINE BLUES 11/1 hasn't made the frame in its 5 previous AW races with a slow distance time at Kempton among them.

REGULATOR 12/1 has only 1 slow time over this c/d plus its been out of form lately and maybe another that would prefer further.

SPREADSHEET 5/2 is my 2nd top rated using a 2020 c/d time but its still a maiden after 11 runs but with 4 placed attempts and it could make the frame again here but isn't an each way price and no value in backing either.

THE LACEMAKER 16/1 has a best time from Chelmsford last year but is versatile when it comes to racing tactics.

VINCENZO COCCOTTI 10/1 has just on slow c/d time to its name but it does have a time from Chelmsford last year that would make it my top rated , its been in good form and has stall 1. 

SUMMARY: There's 3 horses that have been known to lead if nothing else wants to but there's no natural front runner in the field which makes it hard to analyse the make-up of the race and I cannot see any option other than to dutch 3 horses in this race, COMEATCHOO 11/2 is top rated on 2020 c/d times, VINCENZO COCCOTTI 10/1(EW) is top rated overall using a Chelmsford time while the 3yo APOLLINARIS 20/1 (EW) could improve and has a positive looking jockey booking so I will go with a win bet and two each way bets.

Vincenzo Coccotti 10/1 (EW) 2nd (+1.5pts)

Comeatchoo 8/1 3rd (-1pt) 

Apollinaris 25/1 7th  (-2pts) 

Total on the day: -1.5pts

4:25 Chelsmford Racing Tips (7th December)

CHELMSFORD 4.25 6f Class 6 

A full house of 14 runners with a couple of known front running types one of them Dreamboat Annie hasn't shown much worthwhile time wise since 2018, the 3yo Spreadsheet is my 3rd top rated on 2020 times and 4th top overall, Aguerooo has a time from 2018 that would make it my top rated but only by 1lb but its form since then has been woefully short of that level, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in VINCENZO COCCOTTI 4/1 who is usually held up for a late run but it will need a perfect run to catch ROCKESBURY 9/2 who from stall 6 could lead and if doing so it ought to prove very hard to catch, I will be backing them both but tilting in favour of the latter selection whom hoping can lead from start to finish. 

Abandoned due to fog.

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 5f Class 5 

A 10 runner race with just 1 known front runner in the 3yo The Nosey Parker who could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but there's a few ho like to track or chase the leaders so it should be a true run race, another 3yo Cloudea might like this drop down in distance and has won at the distance on turf, Dynamo Walt and Show Me The Bubbly have times that could see them involved in the finish but my money will be riding on an old favourite in the shape of QAARAAT 16/1 (EW) usually stays on strongly at this distance and if able to repeat its best times from either 2020 or its even better time from 2019 it would find itself back in the winners enclosure and at the price going with an each way bet looks the best call.

Qaaraat 16/1 +(2.2pts)

Total on the day: +2.2pts