3:35 Newcastle Racing Tips (12th January)

NEWCASTLE 3.35 

A class five dash with just 7 runners and 2 known front running types amongst them Another Angel is one of them but has been in woeful form recently and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in the betting so too big to be of value to lay but I could lay Idoapologise if its a single figure price as it needs to improve time wise and further seems to suit it better as its never won over today's distance. Ruggles has one good rating over this course and distance but that rating might have been a bit of a fluke maybe where it got towed along in a fast run race and a possible lay if of value to do so. Kraken Power has only 1 win to its name from 31 races and I'm not sure if it prefers a longer distance or a different surface to show its best so might be one of value to lay, I'm not sure what to expect from Wee Fat Mac so I can't back or lay this one. As for the winner of this race I'm looking towards MODULAR MAGIC 5/1 who is my 2nd top rated horse and also the other known front running type and with an easy lead it could lead all the way as I've rated it just 1lb below INDIAN SOUNDS 5/1 who seems to like tracking the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish and they both finished 4th last time out indicating a return to form was imminent. 

Modular Magic 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Indian Sound 5/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Kraken Power -2.75pts, Idoapologise +1pt 

Total -3.75pts

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way wager in the field, I will be looking to lay Suzi's Connoisseur if its a single figure price as it hasn't won a race since 2019 and it might need this run for fitness as its last run was just over a year ago. Dark Design looks the most likely one to set the pace to this race and as always if its allowed an easy lead it could prove very dangerous and could even win the race but ratings wise it needs to improve a good few spots, Company Minx is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders so could go well and might be worthwhile looking at an each way bet. My money will be riding on SHAMSHON 3/1 as its my top rated and the trainer has a 25% win ratio in apprentice jockey races and can either be held up or track the leaders either way it should be staying on at the finish. 

Shamshon 3/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.00

A nice class 3 race over the minimum distance and as usual at this level a poor turnout of just 6 runners where 4 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for the class. Papa Don't Preach and Double Dealing would both need to improve time wise to win this race and they are the 2 that are not known to front run so I doubt either will get into the race. Harb is my 4th top rated and needs to improve on the clock to win here, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Impeach and Atiyah but my top rated horse MISS NAY NEVER 8/11 has the stall 1 draw and I expect it to get away smartly and gain control on the rails and then prove too hard to catch in the closing stages its won its last 2 races and has been found the ideal opportunity to complete the hattrick in this race and its a course where the trainer has a 30% win ratio with their older horses and the jockeys strike rate is 18% when riding for the stable.

Miss Nay Never 5/4 1st +1.25pts

Total +1.25pts

Total on the day -3.5pts

1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (12th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, I might look to lay Porfin 4/1 who won last time out over a furlong further so might find today's trip too short also No Guts No Glory 11/2 who’s form looks quite good on paper but they were all relatively slow times and another where further might suit it better, Harrogate looks the one likely to set the pace to the race and if allowed to dictate it could possibly lead all the way but it hasn't been in the best of form lately, GRANDFATHER TOM 3/1 is my 2nd top rated and top on just 2022 ratings while COLEY'S KOKO 6/1 is 2nd top on 2022 figures and top rated by just 1lb on overall figures, neither have great trainer/jockey stats so I will have to back both of them. 

Grandfather Tom 5/1 6th -1pt 

Coley's Koko 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: Porfin +1pt, No Guts No Glory +1pt 

Total 0pts

NOTTINGHAM 2.20 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 7 runners, there is 3 that have led before and Abate may do best of that trio being my 2nd top rated horse, *Ballet Steps will be a lay if of value to do so as I don't think good to firm ground suits it, Good Luck Fox is my 3rd top rated but top spot belongs to the 3yo DUSKY PRINCE 9/2 who has been in good form completing its hattrick of wins before finishing 4th last time out and a repeat of its best time from Goodwood would be good enough to see it back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Dusky Prince 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.18 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners, I can see a couple of known pacesetters in Ustath my joint 4th top rated and Stay Smart who is my 3rd top rated and this one is dropped in class to run in this race but hasn't been in good form recently so its the old old battle between form and class but I couldn't back it on its recent form but with an easy lead and rejuvenated by meeting lessor horses it just could possibly win this race but it too big a risk for me to get involved unless its an each way price or its seriously backed, Q Twenty Boy 7/2 is a course and distance winner but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop so this race might not be run to suit it, Mutabaahy comes out 2nd best on my figures but this 7yo hasn't shown any noteworthy form of late but could make the frame if on a going day but my money will be riding on CATESBY 5/1 who recorded its best rating earlier this year and showed its liking for this Tapeta surface when finishing 2nd last time out at Southwell after being slowly away and where it was beaten by Ustath but meets that rival on 8lbs better terms and if away on level terms here should reverse the form. 

Catesby 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 5.45 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, I'm not sure what to expect from Counsel who won last time out over a furlong further and hasn't any form over this distance that was a decent enough race and it was always up with in the firing line so could easily be good enough to win this race, on ratings over today's distance Wajd comes out in joint top spot along with Equiano Springs so I think this race is best left alone. 

-

THIRSK 6.07 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners and 5 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash, Alligator Alley 5/2 hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2019 and although this is a drop in class I'm not sure whether I should lay it or not, on just 2022 ratings there is only 1lb between my top 3 horses Birkenhead, Khabib and MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 but the latter has a rating from 2021 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and looking at the early tissue prices it might be the value call in this race and if getting to the front it might prove hard to peg back.

Modular Magic 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day - 3pts

4:00 Thirsk Racing Tips (29th June)

THIRSK 4.00 

The early pace to this race could well be set by Rathbone 6/1 and it could do enough to make the frame if it can reproduce its best speed figure/rating it recorded in 2021, as for something to lay I will be relying on Pendleton 4/1 and this will probably be my main way of making a profit from this race as it doesn't seem to reproduce its best on good to firm ground, Total Commitment and Cairn Gorn could both go well and could possibly make the frame but as for the winner I will have my money riding on the 3yo MOJOMAKER 6/1 who likes to track the leaders and if reproducing the rating it recorded at Doncaster this year it would win this race a shade cosily but the stable hasn't been in good form recently which is a little off-putting so my stakes wont be at full strength. 

Mojomaker 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Pendleton +1pt

Total 0pts

MUSSELBURGH 4.20 

Only 6 runners but 2 of them are known front runners, I'm not sure if there's anything I could lay with any confidence, as for the winner Primos Comet 13/2 has a rating from 2021 that would make it my top rated but its best rating so far this year has been well below that level, Militia 11/4 is a possible pacesetter here and could go well if reproducing its best rating recorded at Catterick last year but I will be siding with MODULAR MAGIC 4/1 who is the other front running type and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and the jockey booking (go look in the Racing Post to see how good the stats really are) looks a positive booking so hopefully connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways. 

Modular Magic 4/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 5.20 

I can see 3 possible pacesetters in this race but think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the front but Big Time Maybe 8/1 could do best of the trio and comes out 2nd best on my figures but isn't keen on really fast ground, I will look to lay But You Said 3/1 who hasn't had any form over this distance and may need further to show to show its best form and its still a maiden after 21 races with 13 of them being on grass, Darcy's Rock 8/1 hasn't shown much worthwhile form so far but as a 3yo it could improve and I would have laid it if under five to one, my money will be riding on WE’RE REUNITED 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey booking does look a positive one.

We're Reunited 10/1 1st +10pts

Lay bet: But You Said +1pt 

Total 11pts

Total on the day +10pts

3:21 Musselburgh Racing Tips (4th June)

MUSSELBURGH 3.21 

There's now 14 runners in this race with 4 front running types amongst them and this race looks very likely to be won from the front, I cannot see anything of value to lay as I expect them all to be in double figure prices, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in Ancient Times who is a possible pacesetter and Indian Sounds who could do best of those coming from off the pace, COPPER KNIGHT 12/1 (EW) in stall 15 is my 2nd top rated which it recorded earlier this year at Haydock but MODULAR MAGIC 10/1 (EW) in stall 2 comes out top rated but only by 2lbs and that was recorded over this course and distance but was recorded in 2021 and its one run so far this year was quite a bit below that level, so i have one drawn high and one drawn low so that covers that angle and at the prices I have to put it up as two each way wagers. 

Copper Knight 12/1 4th -2pts 

Modular Magic 12/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -4pts

MUSSELBURGH 4.01 

From the 13 runners in this race I will be looking to lay Sixcor who won last time out but maybe better over a longer distance but is my 3rd top rated, also Lord Of The Glen who may also prefer further and looks a better prospect when there is some cut in the ground,The Gloaming sits in 4th top spot on my figures and usually likes to track the leaders, the early pace could well be set by the top weight Eeh Bah Gum and it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead especially as it comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings but if MOKAMAN can repeat its best rating Ripon last year it would win with a bit in hand and the trainer has a good strike rate at this course. 

Mokaman 10/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet Sixcor +1pt 

Total 0pts 

CHEPSTOW 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part and I can see a couple of known front runners in the field, Our Man In Havana and Monsieur Fantasie both race as though a further distance would suit them better but the former is my 2nd top rated who won last time out and could run into a place here if gaining a clear run when trying to stay on at the finish and could win if others falter while I could look to lay the latter as it would need to improve time wise, Fittleton Ferry comes out in 3rd top spot and will also be trying to stay on at the finish but I will be hoping that SHESADABBER 16/1 (EW) can get away smartly and then lead all the way for victory and at the price it has to be an each way punt.

Shesadabber 16/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bet Monsieur Fantasie +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

1:55 Carlisle Racing Tips (16th May)

PS: Yes I know a postscript should be at the end of a piece of work my English isn't quite that bad, looking at the weather forecast everywhere is forecast to have rain either today and or tomorrow so please check the going before placing a bet on anything I've mentioned because if the going is on the soft side then my ratings are defunct and I have wasted several hours analysing and writing up today's sprints. 

CARLISLE 1.55 

A nine runner class 5 race so nothing to get too excited about but with 3 known front running types it should be a true run affair and of those 3 Runninwild may do best of them although I'm not completely sure what to expect from Stalingrad who might need further to show its best, East Street Revue and Good Earth are my joint 4th top rated with Melody King sitting in 3rd top spot, there is a 5lb gap between my top 2, Fashion Advice is my top rated but this one might need this run after not having had a run in the last year but would be dangerous if fully fit but i would rather back its stablemate, VENTURA FLAME 7/1 who is usually held up for a late run, as either could win this race I will have a covering bet on Fashion Advice just in case the stable are only trying with this one. 

Ventura Flame 10/1 1st +10pts 

Total +10pts 

REDCAR 3.55 

Just a poor turnout of 5 runners for this class 3 dash but luckily there is one known front runner amongst them, looking at the early tissue prices Sir Titus 3/1 is forecast to be the favourite but this one seems to do its winning in lower class races and I would think about laying it even if it is the favourite, Rebel At Dawn is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs behind Soul Seeker in 2nd top spot but my top rated is *MODULAR MAGIC 11/4 and its the one known front running type in the race so hopefully it can lead all the way for victory. 

*NR 

No bet soft ground 

WINDSOR 6.10 

I hope that all 8 runners take part so I can have an each way bet, if I can find one, its so bad I cannot find with confidence anything to lay, Tabdeed comes out 3rd top on my figures who can be held up for a late run or tracks the leaders and then try to stay on at the finish, if I went back to 2020 then Atalantis Boy would be in 2nd top spot but hasn't been within 10 spots of that rating since then, my top rated is FIRST FOLIO 13/2 who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

First Folio 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 6.40 

A class 3 race with 12 runners and 4 that have been known to lead before, I might well look to lay The Princes Poet, Global Prospector 7/1 and Nelson Gay (non-runner) who might find this trip too far for them especially with a fast early pace then add Inver Park 6/1 who need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race, Chipstead 12/1 is my 3rd top rated using a Goodwood rating this year, Media Guest 18/1 is my 2nd top rated using a 2021 Yarmouth usually held up for a late run but if SHOBIZ 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Yarmouth again here at Goodwood it can lead and hold on for the win. 

Showbiz 11/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

LEICESTER 7.50 

Eleven runners in a class 4 race but again a big problem with no known front running types amongst them, with a fast early pace I could have eliminated Dream Composer 5/1, Prince Of Abington 11/2 and Dark Shot 40/1 who all might struggle to stay the distance although the middle one of those 3 is my 2nd top rated, using a speed figure it recorded at Carlisle last year LORD P 7/1 but the possible downfall could be that its usually races in midfield or held up for a late run so without a decent gallop things will be much harder for it to win.

Lord P 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +7pts 

3:00 Pontefract Racing Tips (25th July)

PONTEFRACT 3.00 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners for this class 3 race over 6 furlongs, I will look to lay, Zumurud 4/1 who needs to improve time wise and hasn't won since 2019 plus it also has poor trainer/jockey stats, and Afandam 4/1 who has recorded only slow times in its recent runs and its best time came form back in 2018 and that would need to be improved upon to win this race, the top weight Corinthia Knight 7/4 is forecast to be the hot favourite according to the tissue prices but this trip seems to be too much for it on good to firm ground and there's 3 front running types in the race so I will likely lay all 3 of them, I've got Marks Choice and EQUIANO SPRINGS 20/1 (EW) as my joint top rated using just 2021 times but the former may not like the ground if it is good to firm but I will be backing the latter and its a shame there's not enough runners for there to be 3 places if having an each way wager,I will also be backing the other possible pacesetter in the shape of HIGHLY SPRUNG 7/1 as it has good trainer/jockey stats just like my other selection, I'm not sure which one will prevail but I'm hoping that one of them can lead from start to finish. 

Highly Sprung 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Equiano Springs 20/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Zumurud +1pt, Afandam +1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 5.10 

With 8 runners in this race I was hoping to find an each way value punt, if the bottom weight Ruby Wonder is a single figure price, which I doubt will happen, then I would lay it as i think it will need this run for fitness and its form hasn't been great anyway, Van Gerwen comes out in 3rd top spot, might be worth an each way punt, and along with my 2nd top rated Khabib 11/8 they like to track the leaders and I will most likely be backing the latter as a covering bet just in case the only known front running type AUCKLAND LODGE 7/1 doesn't reproduce its best, it has won 3 races from 12 on turf but hasn't been placed in any of the other 9 so it looks like it wins or isn't in the mix so I will back the win part only. 

Auckland Lodge 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pts

MUSSELBURGH 5.15 

A field of 17 with 4 known front runners amongst them, the trainer Jim Goldie has 4 runners in this race so I'm not sure what his intentions are but going just with jockey bookings Primos Comet 12/1 may do best of the quartet but Sound Of Iona and Tanasoq both have better speed figures, the former Sound Of Iona has a poor jockey stat of 0-8, while I will be looking to lay his other runner Global Humor 8/1 who has done all its winning over a longer distance, its a wide open race and not bad for a class 5 affair, any of Glory Fighter, Gunnerside, Never Dark, Good Luck Fox, Water Of Leith and Economic Crisis have pieces of form that could see them running well and there might well be an each way punt amongst them but i will be putting my trust in MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 who won 2 runs ago at Ayr over this distance in a good time on good to firm ground but didn't seem as happy last time out on just good ground so I'm hoping the rain stays away and with good to firm ground I am hoping it can lead all the way.

Modular Magic 8/1 1st +8pts 

Lay bet Global Humor +1pt 

Total +9pts 

Total on the day +7pts