6:10 Windsor Racing Tips (30th May)

WINDSOR 6.10 

A nice competitive class 4 race with 9 runners and the likely pacesetters are Shobiz and or Winnetka, if the former gets an uncontested lead it could at least make the frame and could possibly lead all the way as its my 3rd top rated, as for any lays in this race I have marked down 4 but 3 of them are most likely to be double figure prices which leaves me just Concierge 7/2 as one to lay, its usually held up for a late run but time wise it would need to improve so I doubt it will catch the leaders quickly enough to win the race, Pure Dreamer is my 2nd top rated who is another one that is usually held up for a late run and the same racing tactics are usually deployed by SPRING BLOOM 9/2 who is my top rated using a time recorded this year but the trainers record of 0-29 at this course is a bit off putting so I will also be backing SHOBIZ 6/1 who is my 3rd top rated over all but only 1lb below the 2nd top spot position and has the best trainer 29% with the stables older horses and jockey 19% stats. 

Spring Bloom 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Shobiz 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Concierge +1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 6.40 

A class 3 dash here with 8 runners and 2 known front runners and the race is so competitive its hard to narrow it down to a one horse conclusion, I will be looking to lay Recon Mission 8/1 in this race as its not been in good form lately doesn't seem to like really fast ground and might prefer a longer trip, *FAUSTUS 11/2 and JUST THAT LORD 8/1 are the 2 likely front runners and are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses so most of the field might not be good enough to get involved in the race and if either gets an easy lead they could lead all the way and hold on for the victory but I do have A SURE WELCOME 7/1 rated higher and this one likes to track the leaders and then run on well nearing the finish, the trainer has a 19% win ratio here with its older horses but its been 42 runners and 327 days since the stable last had a winner which is off-putting else it might well have been my sole selection but in this race I will be looking to dutch all 3 of them. 

*NR

A Sure Welcome 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Just That Lord 8/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Recon Mission +1pt 

Total -1pt 

AYR 7.30 

Down to class 6 for this 9 runner affair with just one known front runner, starting with something to lay I will be looking at Impressor, 5/2 who might need further to show its best form, my 2nd top rated and the likely pacesetter in this race is GOWANBUSTER 6/1 with an easy lead could possibly lead all the way but I do have LADY CELIA 6/1 rated higher and it could catch the leader nearing the finish but I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles.

Gowanbuster 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Lady Celia 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Impressor +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

1:55 Carlisle Racing Tips (16th May)

PS: Yes I know a postscript should be at the end of a piece of work my English isn't quite that bad, looking at the weather forecast everywhere is forecast to have rain either today and or tomorrow so please check the going before placing a bet on anything I've mentioned because if the going is on the soft side then my ratings are defunct and I have wasted several hours analysing and writing up today's sprints. 

CARLISLE 1.55 

A nine runner class 5 race so nothing to get too excited about but with 3 known front running types it should be a true run affair and of those 3 Runninwild may do best of them although I'm not completely sure what to expect from Stalingrad who might need further to show its best, East Street Revue and Good Earth are my joint 4th top rated with Melody King sitting in 3rd top spot, there is a 5lb gap between my top 2, Fashion Advice is my top rated but this one might need this run after not having had a run in the last year but would be dangerous if fully fit but i would rather back its stablemate, VENTURA FLAME 7/1 who is usually held up for a late run, as either could win this race I will have a covering bet on Fashion Advice just in case the stable are only trying with this one. 

Ventura Flame 10/1 1st +10pts 

Total +10pts 

REDCAR 3.55 

Just a poor turnout of 5 runners for this class 3 dash but luckily there is one known front runner amongst them, looking at the early tissue prices Sir Titus 3/1 is forecast to be the favourite but this one seems to do its winning in lower class races and I would think about laying it even if it is the favourite, Rebel At Dawn is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs behind Soul Seeker in 2nd top spot but my top rated is *MODULAR MAGIC 11/4 and its the one known front running type in the race so hopefully it can lead all the way for victory. 

*NR 

No bet soft ground 

WINDSOR 6.10 

I hope that all 8 runners take part so I can have an each way bet, if I can find one, its so bad I cannot find with confidence anything to lay, Tabdeed comes out 3rd top on my figures who can be held up for a late run or tracks the leaders and then try to stay on at the finish, if I went back to 2020 then Atalantis Boy would be in 2nd top spot but hasn't been within 10 spots of that rating since then, my top rated is FIRST FOLIO 13/2 who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

First Folio 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 6.40 

A class 3 race with 12 runners and 4 that have been known to lead before, I might well look to lay The Princes Poet, Global Prospector 7/1 and Nelson Gay (non-runner) who might find this trip too far for them especially with a fast early pace then add Inver Park 6/1 who need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race, Chipstead 12/1 is my 3rd top rated using a Goodwood rating this year, Media Guest 18/1 is my 2nd top rated using a 2021 Yarmouth usually held up for a late run but if SHOBIZ 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Yarmouth again here at Goodwood it can lead and hold on for the win. 

Showbiz 11/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

LEICESTER 7.50 

Eleven runners in a class 4 race but again a big problem with no known front running types amongst them, with a fast early pace I could have eliminated Dream Composer 5/1, Prince Of Abington 11/2 and Dark Shot 40/1 who all might struggle to stay the distance although the middle one of those 3 is my 2nd top rated, using a speed figure it recorded at Carlisle last year LORD P 7/1 but the possible downfall could be that its usually races in midfield or held up for a late run so without a decent gallop things will be much harder for it to win.

Lord P 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +7pts