2:50 Pontefract Racing Tips (14th August)

PONTEFRACT 2.50 

CHECK THE GOING BEFORE BETTING. 

In all reality, I should be leaving this race alone as there is too little form for me to be confident with any selection. However, there's one horse that stands out on those that I can analyse properly and it looks a stupidly big price on the tissue prices so I will be having a small and I do mean small, each way punt on *LADY OF ARAN at 33/1 (EW). 


*NR


CHESTER 3.40 

There's a few with limited form to work with which reduces the size of any stakes, the early pace could well be set by Jack The Truth and it could easily do enough from the front to hold on for a place and if allowed a soft lead it could possibly pinch the race but I will stick my pennies on FOX HILL 9/1 (EW) who will likely track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and being drawn next door to the probable frontrunner it should get a good tow into the race and worth an each-way bet at the price. 

Fox Hill 16/1 6th (-2pt)

Total -2pts 

CHESTER 4.10

This 2nd division has a few less unexposed sorts but its still a tricky looking race, there's 3 that have been known to lead before and maybe Alsvinder can do best of those racing to the fore and its best time from 2018 would make it my 2nd top-rated but its form since then hasn't been up to that level but I will be backing MUTBAAHY 4/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and if reproducing its best time from Catterick this year would see it back in the winner's enclosure. 

Mutbaahy 11/2 6th 

Total -1pt


CHEPSTOW 7.05

There's only 5 runners and 2 of them like to set the pace, looking at the tissue prices I am surprised Zapper Cass is forecast to be the favourite as this distance sometimes looks to be on the short side for it, Secretfact is top-rated by 2lb’s using its 2019 time but hasn't been in good form so far this year and I am thinking that PINK FLAMINGO 2/1 could lead here and if doing so it could be very hard to catch. 

Pink Flamingo 85/40 4th (-1pt)

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 7.55

Will all 16 runners take part? I can see 3 that have been known to lead so it should be a true run race, looking at the lightly raced types in the race none seem fancied according to the tissue prices which leaves me with my top 4 ratings, WILD FLOWER 7/1 is 4th top rated the jockey is making their debut for the stable but the stable is 0-14 at this course, TILSWORTH ROSE 13/2 is in 3rd top spot and is one of the frontrunners it could go very well from the front BUT again its a jockey making their debut for the stable but the trainer's record is poor at 0-26, the topweight KATHERINE PLACE 5/1 is 2nd top rated in this instance the jockey is 0-2 for the stable but the trainer's record is 0-12 here at Lingfield, my top rated is DARK SIDE DREAM 10/1 and should be my selection, the trainer is 1-12 at this track but the jockey is 0-9, so as you can see my top 4 all have negatives against their names, I will probably go with dutching all 4 of them but slightly in favour of my top rating. 

Tilsworth Rose 13/2 1st Betfair SP (9.69) + EX £40.50
Katherine Place 5/1 2nd 
Wild Flower 15/2 5th 
Dark Side Dream 20/1 7th 

Total: +3.5pts 

Total on the day: -.5pts

12:15 Doncaster Racing Tips & Lay Bets (26th June)

DONCASTER 12.15 

Div1 There are quite a few of these runners who are out of form, Kick On Kick On, North Wind, Jumira Bridge, James Watt, and Marks Choice and could be lays if the going is good to firm plus there's plenty of early paced sorts in the race so I will look to lay (National Anthem + Abel Handy) who both like to lead but maybe not able to do so here, if Merry Banter gets to the front it could prove hard to catch for most of these, Choosey could try to lead but its best time was back in 2018, my money will be riding on FREE LOVE16/1 (EW)  who can either track the leaders or be held up for a late run and with plenty of early pace this race should be run to suits its style of racing and maybe worth backing each way. 

Free Love 16/1 (EW) +2.2pts

Lay bets: National Anthem -3.3pts, Able Handy +1pt

Total: +0.9pts

DONCASTER 12.45 Div2 

As often the case I will start with those I will look to lay, (Saluti + Lathom + Jawwaal) I think the early pace will be set by Harome, in stall 9 and/or Wrenthorpe in stall 1, either could do enough to make the frame on a going day, my selection is CANFORD BAY 14/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and from stall 9 should get a good tow into the race and then prove the stronger at the finish and its a big enough price to have an each-way wager. 

Canford Bay 14/1 6th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Jawwaal -3.5pts, Saluti +1pt, Lathom +1pt

Total: -3.5pts  

NEWMARKET 1.10 

This is a very competitive class 4 race and I will start with those I don't fancy and will look to lay (Chitra + Secretinthepark + Colonel Frank + *Machree + Erissimus Maximus + Excellent George) the early pace could well be set by PINK FLAMINGO 12/1 (EW) who starts off as my 2nd top-rated but the apprentices 7lb claim moves it to top spot but I know very little about them so not sure what to expect but if worth their 7lb claim then that could swing things in their favour but if not I will also have to back LINE OF REASON 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and will hopefully prove the stronger at the business end of the race but at the prices I will be having two each way punts.

*NR

Line Of Reason 12/1 1st +15pts 

Pink Flamingo 16/1 3rd +3pts

Lay bets: Chitra +1pt, Secretinthepark +1pt, Colonel Frank +1pt, Erissimus Maximus +1pt, Excellent George +1pt

Total: +23pts

Total on the day: +20.4pts