2:16 Newmarket Racing Tips (16th July)

NEWMARKET 2.16 

On paper a nice looking class 4 sprint but there's only 7 runners which isn't any good for any each way bets and there is no known front runners in the field and then because they are all more like hold up types the speed figures are all relatively low especially for this class of race, The Green Man 7/2 might need further and this race might not be run to suit its racing style, both Bobby On The Beat and Tell’em Nowt could be outclasses at this level, Fighting Temeraire 7/2 won last time out on good ground but time wise that was a slow run affair so it might have been flattered by the result and it was in a class lower race than today's, if the early pace is slow it could have a chance of following up that win but with a fast early pace it might struggle to catch the leader/s, if the going is good to firm for this race my money will be riding on the 3yo KODIAS SANGARIUS 3/1 who has made the frame twice in its last 3 runs and looks to have been found an ideal opportunity here to register its first win on grass. 

Kodias Sangariius 9/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt     

NEWBURY 2.56 

A field of 14 for this Group 3 sprint with with a couple of known front running types and the 3yo Go Bear Go could set the pace to this race and comes out in joint 4th top spot on my figures, I cant see anything obvious to lay in the race, which I suppose at this level they shouldn't have too many flaws in their armour, the other 4th top rated horse is Diligent Harry who likes to track the leaders, Run To Freedom 12/1 who also likes to track the leaders is my 3rd top rated horse while Happy Romance 4/1 sits in the 2nd top spot and this one is usually held up for a late run, top spot goes to CHIL CHIL 14/1 (EW) who is returning to racing after being off for 315 days but it has won before when returning from a break and it is dropped in class compared to its last few runs and hopefully its fully fit and I think it has to be worth an each way punt in this race. 

Chil Chil 14/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 5.45 

Just 7 runners for this apprentice jockeys dash, High Security and Blazing Hot 8/1 will make sure there's a fast early gallop as the former comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as the latter might not appreciate the really fast ground and its best figure came from back in 2020 so it might be worth laying, Sound Of Iona has won its last 2 races and comes out in 2nd top spot here and it could well complete its hat trick but I will take a punt on the bottom weighted horse YOUNG TIGER 16/1 who comes out top rated on just 2022 times and on overall times, it ran 3rd when High Security was 2nd at Ripon in May beaten by half a length on level weights but meets that opponent on 10lb better terms in this race so looks the value call in the race and I would have gone each way if there had been 3 places up for grabs. 

*I mistakenly detailed this as ew then noticed Eric's comment. 

Young Tiger 16/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAYDOCK 8.00 

Another field of 7 here with just Boudica Bay known as a front running type but I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory but never say never and it might be a shorter price than it merits because it won last time out on good to soft going, Time Shadow doesn't seem to appreciate really fast ground, Aquadabra can produce good speed figure ratings but usually in a lower class race, Amor De Mi Vida 11/4 has been in good form lately and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures but I expect it will be a shortish priced favourite, I will take a chance on SECOND COLLECTION 15/4 who admittedly will have to improve on what its shown so far this year but it does have a speed figure from 2020 that would make it my top rated, its a shame there isn't 3 places up for grabs because an each way punt would be the best way to go in this race.

Second Collection 15/4 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

2:25 Newmarket Racing Tips (1st May)

NEWMARKET 2.25 

A 9 runner race with 3 known front runners among them and they my top 3 ratings so maybe a lot of horses wont be able to get involved in this race, Arecibo is my 4th top rated so could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade badly, Judicial comes out 3rd best using a 2019 time but has been a bit below that level since then, Glorious Anna comes out 2nd best but those times have come in top class handicaps not Group races like today so may get outclassed in this race, I will be pinning my hopes on LAZULI 11/4 leading from start to finish and this one has good trainer, 29% and jockey 22%, winning ratios in older horse races and also has a more than decent 18% win ratio in Listed and Group races. 

Lazuli 3/1 1st +3pts (Betfair SP 4.52) 

Total +3pts

THIRSK 3.50 

A big field of 16 runners so another place up for grabs for the each way backers, both Mr Wagyu andThe Armed Man have been known to lead before and their best times only just see them missing my top four ratings, Dream Together is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Benefit Street has a time from Yarmouth last year that would make it my top rated by a good few spots but that time is beginning to look a bit of a fluke where it got towed along in a fast run race and all its other times see it just outside my top four plus it has a poor jockey stat of 0-10 for the stable, so I will be backing FOX HILL 14/1 who has its best time from Leicester last year and the jockey has a 20% win ratio for the stable so might be worth an each way bet at the price. 

Fox Hill 14/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 4.15 

There seems to be a lot of 7 runner races lately and here is another one, I am not sure what will set the pace which always muddies the waters, Embour won last time out in a slow run affair so may have been flattered and its best time which comes from 2019 would only see it make 3rd position on my own unique speed figures, 2nd top spot belongs to COUNT OTTO 9/2 who also won last time out but again in a relatively slow race but does have a much better time from 2020 which is only 1lb below CHIL CHIL 4/1 my top rated and both have good jockey stats making me think that both set of connections are out to win this race so I have no option other than to back both of them. 

Chil Chil 4/1 1st +4pts (Betfair SP 3.73)

Count Otto 9/2 6th -1pt

Total +3pts

THIRSK 4.25 

Eleven runners with 3 possibly 4 front runners in the field and 2 of them are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay John Kirkup, Cowboy Soldier and Shepherds Way if single figure prices, Saluti and Eeh Bah Gum are my joint 3rd top rated with the latter being a possible pacesetter, in 2nd top spot is Ready Freddie Go but that is using its best time from the AW over this distance at Newcastle, i will have a small, hopefully each way, bet on MACHREE 6/1 who is my top rated using both times from 2021 and 2020 and if on a going day is capable of leading all the way. 

Machree 6/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Cowboy Soldier +1pt

Total 0pts

DONCASTER 5.00 

A 7 runner race where the pace could be set by Danzan who is my 4th top rated beast, I would look to lay Via Serendipity who may want further and as so does Northernpowerhouse, my 3rd top rated is Triggered but that time comes from back in 2019, the top weight MOUNTAIN BRAVE 9/4 is my 2nd top rated on a figure recorded in 2020 so has to be respected but i will also be backing BLACKHEATH 9/1 who did record its best time in 2018 but hasn't any recent form over this distance as its been racing over further but its best time over this distance would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Mountain Brave 5/1 1st +5pts (Betfair SP 6.8) 

Blackheath 9/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet: Via Serendipity +1pt

Total +5pts

DONCASTER 6.35 

I will state right from the off this isn't a race to be betting in too heavily if at all, the early pace could be set by Aberama Gold but this one prefers some cut in the ground so keep an eye on the weather but if it does have cut I wont be betting, Edraak and Mokaatil have good speed figures but they were produced in lower class races, Lexington Dash has poor jockey stats, the value call in the race could be LAMPANG 9/1 who hasn't run recently on good to firm ground, which it prefers and the jockey has a 16% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Lampang 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total 1pt 

Total on the day +9pts

1:50 Newmarket Racing Tips (14th April)

NEWMARKET 1.50 

A nice looking class 2 handicap and a couple that have been known to lead, Going Places only seems to lead if nothing else wants to so may not have to lead here and it may be better over further so may not even be able to lead and it may be one i will look to lay if it is of value to do so, two others I will look to lay if of value are Stone Circle and Gunmetal, the former may also prefer a longer trip and the latter who is actually my 2nd top rated, may be outclassed at this level and it doesn't want the going to be too firm, Additional is the one I think will set the pace and could be very dangerous if allowed a soft lead but then again it might need this run for fitness, I couldn't back or lay this one, I think Dazzling Dan has a chance to make the frame even though its only 4th on my figures, I will split my stakes in this race backing both CHIL CHIL 8/1 who ha a decent time from 2020 but it is a 2019 time that makes it my 3rd top rated and this one has a positive looking jockey booking it has a break to overcome but has one after a break before, the other bet is COUNT OTTO 10/1 who produced its best time last year over this c/d so I'm hoping it can do so again. 

Count Otto 10/1 1 Point Win 1st +10pts (Betfair SP 11.12) CSF £68.44

Chil Chil 8/1 1 Point Win 2nd -1pt 

Gunmetal 2 Points Lay +2 pts

Goin Place 1 Point Lay +1pt

Stone Circle 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +13pts

BEVERLEY 4.00 

I can only find 1 natural front runner in this 5 furlong dash, I will look to lay Muscika and Queens Order if a single figure price, Jawwaal, Ginger Jam, Music Society and Saluti all like to stay on at the business end of a race but all need to improve time wise if others run to their best, Nibras Again is capable of recording a good time but this one might be outclassed in this class 3 affair, my 2nd top rated is King Of Storms 9/2 and it could be the one to set the pace to the race and recorded its best time this year when winning at Bath so has to be respected and it could be the one for the forecast but I wasn't expecting it to be the favourite, I will be hoping that VICTORY ANGEL 10/1 can improve on its 4th place on its last run at Musselburgh and that's where it recorded its top time, so being this year it is another in good heart and as usual at the price I have to go with an each way wager. 

Victory Angel 1 Point Each Way 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 8.4) 

Queens Order 2 Points Lay +2pts

Muscika 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total on the day +28pts

7:00 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th October)

KEMPTON 7.00 

There's only 7 runners but I still cannot narrow it down to one selection, there is a couple of frontrunners so it should be a true run race and if I knew HIGHLAND DRESS 12/1 would like this surface it would be my sole selection hoping it would lead all the way but its best time comes from Southwell, the horse 2nd on my figures is HARRY'S BAR 4/1 who has a fast time from Chelmsford which is the same surface but right-handed while its left-handed here, the one with the top c/d rating is CHIL CHIL 14/1 that time did come from 2019 but its been running well on turf so I expect it reproduce its previous best, there is only 4 lbs between my top 3 so I will look to dutch them and then lay (Glamorous Anna) as I think this one is better over 5 furlongs but it is only a 3yo so could still improve but i think its worth taking the risk if no bigger than a 7/1 shot. 

Harry's Bar 4/1 1st (+4pts) Betfair SP 5)

Chil Chil 14/1 4th (-1pt)

Highland Dress 14/1 5th (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Glamorous Anna +1pt

Total:  +3pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15

A full house of 14 for this race but only Tagovalloa known for pace setting and this ones best time from Kempton would see it just outside my top 4 ratings but if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame, I have found a couple i will look to lay (*Algaffaal + Highly Sprung) the former may need further and the latter is 0-12 on the AW tracks, on just 2020 c/d times there is only 1 lb between Kind Review and Devils Angel so both could make the frame if reproducing their best, my selection KAPONA 9/1 has the same rating as Kind Review from 2019 and hasn't any recent c/d form to work with but has a time from Chelmsford this year which would see it winning cosily in this race (if only everything went to plan) 

*NR 

Kapona 9/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Highly Sprung +1pt 

Total: 0pts

KEMPTON 8.30 

Twelve runners with two known front running types, (Gherkin) is only a 3yo but I think it needs further to show its worth and maybe worth laying in this race, another race where I will be dutching 3 runners, MERCERS 7/1 near the bottom of the weights has been running well lately finishing 2nd on its last 2 runs and this is a hold up type, its 3rd top overall but top on just c/d times, ROCKESBURY 3/1 is the one I'm hoping sets the early pace and if getting to the front it should prove hard to catch but its best time does come from Chelmsford and this is its debut over this c/d, the top weight SWANTON BLUE 3/1 also has its best time from Chelmsford which makes it top rated overall so i have to back/dutch the 3 selections to cover all the angles.

Mercers 9/1 5th (-1pt) 

Rocksbury 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Swanton Blue 9/2 8th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Gherkin +1pt

Total: -2pts

Total on the Day: +1pt