2:45 Ffos Las Racing Tips (12th August)

FFOS LAS 2.45 

I am not very familiar with this relatively new flat course but for a class 5 affair this doesn't look a bad race, I will look to lay Wild Flower 4/1 who may need a longer trip if the going is good to firm which is forecast for this meeting but with no known front runners in the race my stakes wont be very big, I'm not sure what to expect from the 3yo Gosnay Gold, I think it might need a longer distance before it shows its best form but I'm not sure enough of my assessment to lay it, the top weight Handytalk has a time from last year at Salisbury that makes it my 2nd top rated and it also has good trainer/jockey stats so it looks like connections are expecting a big run and i might well have a covering bet on it because my top rated CREEK HARBOUR 5/1 has a poor trainer stat with the stable being 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its last winner was 20 days ago but the jockey booking is also a positive looking one so I hope this will stay on the strongest at the finish. 

Creek Harbour 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Wild Flower +1pt

Total 0pts 

BEVERLEY 3.10 

Ten runners in this dash over 5 furlongs, I cannot see anything of value to lay when looking at the tissue prices but I will no more nearer the off, Arnold might be outclassed in this race but he is one that can record a fast time but usually in a class lower than this race, Thrilla In Manila, Young Tiger, Wades Magic and Mutabaahy all have times that could see them contest for a place in the frame, DARK SHOT 15/2 is one of the 2 known front running types in this field and could prove hard to catch if getting to the front especially if it can reproduce its best time from Leicester last year which make it my top rated so has to be worth a wager but it hasn't been anywhere near that level on my figures so far this year but I can see this one possibly leading all the way if on a going day but just in case its not at its best I will also be backing DEBAWTRY 5/1 who usually stays on strongly over this distance and the jockey booking makes it look as though connections are hopeful of a big run in this race. 

Debawtry 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Dark Shot 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

LINGFIELD 6.08 

A nice looking class 3 sprint with 12 runners and 2 known front running types and both of them are in my top 3 ratings, firstly I will look to lay both Jack The Truth 7/1 and Lady Celia 6/1 who both might find it hard to stay the distance in a fast run early paced race, IRISH ACCLAIM 8/1 comes over from Ireland for this race and the trainer is in good form, 13-78, in the last 2 weeks and could be the one to prosper if the front runners tire nearing the finish, BENEFIT STREET 5/1 won last time on turf at Newmarket and has a time from 2020 that would give a degree of a chance to follow up here also it is well drawn in stall 2 for a front runner and its best time from 2020 puts in the mix, PAPA STOUR 7/1 is my top rated and another possible pacesetter and stall 4 shouldn't be a problem in the make-up of this race but this ones best time was recorded at Chelmsford so I'm hoping it can repeat that time on the same surface but at this course. 

Benefit Street 16/1 4th -1pt

Irish Acclaim 18/1 6th -1pt 

Papa Stour 15/2 Unp -1pt 

Lay bets Jack The Truth +1pt, Lady Celia +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.22 

A poor turnout of just 6 for this dash over five furlongs, True Hero could be the one to set the pace and its best time from Newcastle would make it my 2nd top rated but I am of the feeling this isn't its favoured surface also the trainer is 0-8 in the last 2 weeks so it could be one to lay, Jumira Bridge is my 3rd top rated but this one hasn't been showing much recently so its not for me in this race, the top weight Lilklan won for me last time out but that was over 6 furlongs and it isn't as good over this shorter distance, the trainer is 0-5 at this course but the jockey has a very good win ratio when riding for this stable but no jockey can perform miracles if this is the wrong distance for it, I will be taking a punt on STREET PARADE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and waiting to pounce in the latter stages of the race plus its best time from last year does make it my top rated.

Street Parade 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

1:35 Nottingham Racing Tips (24th June)

NOTTINGHAM 1.35 

A field of 8 but no known front runners amongst them which I hate because it does honestly make things so much harder to analyse, the 3yo bottom weight seems better over a shorter distance but not enough for me to lay it but I will look to lay (Triggered 5/1 + Gowanlad) the former won a slow run affair last time out when it won and may have been flattered by the result and the latter might prefer a slower surface and also has poor trainer/jockey stats, Gilt Edge and Show Me A Sunset also have poor stats but not enough for me to lay them, I will be backing STRONBOWE 9/4 who also won last time out and that was good enough for top rating on this years times and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses but my stake wont be at full strength. 

Stronbowe 9/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Triggered +1pt, Gowanland +1pt

Total +1pt 

NOTTINGHAM 3.55 

A 13 runner race with 4 known front runners in the field, I have negatives against Harrogate, Haveoneyerself and Bellevarde but not enough to lay any of them as they all have pieces of form that would/could make the them competitive, I will look to lay both (Aleef 13/2 who may need further when racing on good to firm ground plus has poor trainer/jockey stats and Lucky Beggar 15/2 who has poor trainer stats and may also prefer a longer distance) my 2nd top rated is BOUDICA BAY 15/2 who will be trying to stay on at the finish and this race could be run to suit it if the leaders go off too fast and fade nearing the finish but if TRIPLE JAYE 6/1 gets to the front and doesn't get pushed too hard for the lead it could well lead all the way and I will back them both to cover both angles. 

Boudica Bay 15/2 1st +7.5pts 

Triple Jaye 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet: Lucky Beggar +1pt

Total +7.5pts

NEWMARKET 5.20 

Only 6 runners but there is a couple of front running types in the race, Michael's Choice could try to lead and is my 2nd top rated on 2021 times so could go well especially with an easy lead but I do have BENEFIT STREET 9/2 rated higher and will be the horse I back but this one’s trainer also so has the tissue forecast favourite Araifjan 7/2 in the race, my selection is being ridden by a 3lb claiming apprentice but the latter is being ridden by Ryan Moore who has a 29% win ratio on the stables older horses and this one is the other front running type in the race, it would maybe a good idea to have a covering bet on its stablemate. 

Benefit Street 1st 9/2 +4.5pts 

Total +4.5pts

HAMILTON 8.30 

The main problem again with this race is the lack of known front runners in the field, The Gloaming hasn't any distance form on turf and only a slow time on the AW at Wolverhampton, Get Boosting and Show Me Show Me would both need to improve time wise to win this race, James Watt is my 3rd top rated and Economic Cris is my 2nd top rated and they can both be either held up or track the leaders, my top rated is VENTURA FLAME 11/4 but this one is a hold up type but this race might not be run to suit it if the early pace is on the slow side but as it is a 5 furlong dash then I would expect something to change its usual tactics and go from the front but my stake will be kept on the low side because of the lack of known early pace. 

Ventura Flame 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

HAMILTON 9.00 

This race isn't as competitive as it first looks and I expect a lot of them will be big prices but these 3 (*Alsvinder 9/2 + Toolmaker 4/1 + Nodsasgoodasawink 7/1) are all forecast to be a single figure price and i will lay them if they are of any value, I expect the pace could be set by LANGHOLM 9/4 who is my 3rd top rated and if allowed an easy lead could steal the race from the front and I guess that's the reason why it is the favourite, FIRMDECISIONS 20/1 is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and at the price has to be given as an each way punt, with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim KILCONQUHAR 12/1 moves to top spot and is usually a hold up type and runs on well nearing the finish so another that has to be an each way wager, I will be backing all 3 of them.

*NR 

Kilconquhar 3rd -1pt

Langholm 9/4 4th -1pt 

Firmdecisions 20/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets: Toolmaker +1pt, Nodsasgoodasawink +1pt

Total on the day +10pts