2:35 Southwell Racing Tips (21st January)

SOUTHWELL 2.35 

Typical a nice class 3 race with decent prize money and only 7 runners are entered, *Spirit Of Nguru might need further to show its best and with no known front runner in the race it might not be run to suit it so maybe worth laying, I have got JUSTCALLMEPETE 5/4 as my top rated on course and distance ratings, it has won its last 3 races and has been stepped up one level in class but it seems to be an improving horse and has to have every chance of completing the four-timer in this race. 

*NR

Justcallmepete 5/4 1st +1.25pts

Total +1.25pts

LINGFIELD 3.22 

Lord Riddiford, La Roca del Fuego and The Bell Conductor have been known to lead before but i think the top weighted The Bell Conductor who has won 4 from 5 races its had on an artificial surface but is now racing off an official rating of 95 which might be above where its capable of winning so I couldn't back it. Silky Wilkie seems a better horse over a longer distance but will be staying on nearing the finish but whether it will get there in time I'm not sure but it would be enough to at least put me off backing it. STRONG POWER 9/2 is usually held up for a late run where it stays on powerfully nearing the finish and has been racing in higher class affairs compared to this class 3 race and has good trainer/jockey stats which is usually a positive and will be carrying my money. 

Strong Power 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 3.45 

This is one of those poor class 6 stakes races where they all carry the same weight, there's 12 runners with just one known front running type amongst them and that one could lead all the way here. I think Paddy K and Danah Star might need further to show there best so I will lay them if of value to do so along with Gorgeous General who is better over a shorter trip, I will be backing USTATH 2/1 who has led before and has the stall 1 draw in this race so if getting to the front and gaining control of the rails could lead all the way but the race sure wont take much winning so any stakes will be kept low, it finished 2nd yesterday, Friday, so if turning out here so quickly then connections must be expecting it to go one better here. 

Ustath 2/1 1st +2pts

Lay bets Paddy K +1pt, Danah Star +1pt 

Total +4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A field of 12 for this class 5 sprint where i can see 3 horses, Araifjan, Rebel Redemption and Muscika that have led before and they are fairly closely rated so any of the trio could lead but if Rebel Redemption is allowed an easy lead it could do enough to at least make the frame but stall 12 isn't ideal, but I think they will be setting the race up for a hold up type, Beauzon is my 4th top rated with El Hombre sitting in 3rd top spot and 2nd spot is taken by Porfin so any of them could make the frame if reproducing their previous best ratings but I have SARAH'S VERSE 16/1 (EW) rated top using a course and distance rating from last year, its been awhile since the stable last had a winner but the apprentice jockeys only previous ride for the stable resulted in a win so I'm hoping for the same here but at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Sarah's Verse 20/1 3rd +4pts 

Total +4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 Div I

This 1st division of a 0-50 stakes race is very poor even for the class and in all honesty the race is probably best left alone, none of them have been in great form recently but something has to win the race. Oxygen Thief recorded a rating from this year at Chelmsford which would put it in 4th top spot but it only just registered at the very bottom end of my ratings and may be better over further. Lesha is my 3rd top but this surface isn't its favourite but could still make the frame, Tommytwohoots is my 2nd top rated on a course and distance time it recorded last year so could go well here but CREEK HARBOUR 6/1 has a rating from 2021 which is way better than anything else recorded by anything else in this race, it has been running over longer distances and has only had one course and distance run since then but the apprentice jockey is 0-6 when riding for this stable but this horse has been known to lead before and if deploying those tactics here it could possibly lead all the way but the betting will decide whether i think its value enough to take the risk of backing it. 

Abandoned due to fog 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div II 

The top weight At Your Service would have a decent chance if able to reproduce its best 2021 rating but its not ran for 529 days and its form had tailed off prior to its layoff so might need this run for fitness. I expect that Inaam will be to the fore in the betting after it finished 3rd last time out over 7 furlongs and weakened close home, it is the only horse in the race rated 50 so that might also restrict its price but I think its a much better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface and will look to lay this one. The early pace could be set by VIEWFROMTHESTARS 6/1 who is ideally drawn in stall 2 to lead and if getting to the front and reproducing its best course and distance rating from 2022 it could get back to winning ways.

Abandoned due to fog 

Total on the day +4.25pts

1:31 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (12th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.31 

Four races to write about so just the essentials for each race, the betting will be the final decider but am hoping to lay Asadjumeirah 9/1 who might be outclassed at this class 2 level and Above 13/2 who has a good rating from 2020 but hasn't shown as much time wise since then and might need this run for fitness, it is quite a competitive handicap, Zarzyni could go well here but I will be backing the top weight EXALTED ANGEL 9/2 who has an the last twice in Listed races and is therefore dropped in class to run in this race and the trainer does well at this course and the jockey has a decent record when riding for the stable. 

Exalted Angel 13/2 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Asadjumeirah +1pt, Above +1pt 

Total +1pt

LINGFIELD 2.56 

I can see a couple, Eye Of The Water 4/1 and Glamorous Force 10/3 who I would look to lay the former because it might be the wrong going and the latter because it might be too far here where I think there will be a fast early pace to the race as my top 2 are both front running types and I am hoping that CREEK HARBOUR 7/1 who is drawn in stall 2 can lead and gain control of the rails and lead all the way for the win. 

Creek Harbour 15/2 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Eye Of The Water +1pt, Glamorous Force +1pt 

Total +1pt

KEMPTON 5.00 

I've tried very hard to make something from this race, maybe the bet should be The Defiant who won last time out and has been found a good chance to follow up here but the trainer is 0-14 at this course which is off-putting but the jockey is 2-9 for the stable, so conflicting positives and negatives, also if the price is as short as forecast, thirteen to eight, then it represents no value. 

KEMPTON 5.30 

A race where I will look to lay Airshow 11/2 who may need further to show its best form and this race might not be run to suit it with just the one known front running type in the shape of LUCKY AVA 7/2 who won last time out over this distance and on this surface but at Chelmsford and if capable of reproducing that rating at this course its been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race, the trainer has a 24% win ratio at this course and the jockey has an 18% win ratio for the stable so hopefully it all points to the horse winning again.

Lucky Ava 7/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Airshow +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +2pts

7:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (21st August)

LINGFIELD 7.50 

KATH'S LUSTRE is dropped in class to enter this race and has a time from Chelmsofrd last year that would make it my 2nd top rated horse, it likes to track the leaders and drawn in stall 4 it should be able to get a good early position.

*NAPPING 5/2 has only slow times recently and its best overall time from here but back in 2019 isn't good enough to win this race and I think this surface isn't its favoured surface so maybe worth laying at the price.

*(Unless Eric says about specifically laying a horse, I won't be highlight as a lay bet, Jason, Editor)

ZAMJAR similar to the last horse it's best which came back from back in 2018 leaves it a good few spots short of what looks required to win this race.

DARING GUEST 9/2 another who’s best time came from 2019 and once again its not good enough to win this race if others repeat their best and recent races have all produced slow times and another to lay at the price.

CREEK HARBOUR from stall 2 this one looks the most likely one to set the pace and its best time makes it my top rated for just 2021 times and 3rd top on overall speed figures. 

LETHAL ANGEL has a time from Chelmsford this year that makes it my top rated but it seems to produce its times when towed along in a fast early paced race but hasn't won over this distance since 2018.

STREET LIFE has only slow times over this distance and I'm not sure it really likes this surface and its best form has all come over shorter distances that today's race.

SAN JUAN another one with slow times over this 6 furlong distance and all its best for coming over shorter distances.

SUMMARY: I was looking at Lethal Angel as a possible winner of this apprentice riders handicap till I dug a bit deeper and it hasn't won over this distance since 2018, CREEK HARBOUR 9/2 could get to the front and set the pace and with only 1lb between it and my top rated KATH'S LUSTRE 13/2 it ought to prove hard to catch but the latter is dropped in grade to run in this race so I will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Creek Harbour 9/2 2nd -1pt 

Kath's Lustre 8/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Daring Guest +1pt 

Total on the day -1pt  

2:45 Ffos Las Racing Tips (12th August)

FFOS LAS 2.45 

I am not very familiar with this relatively new flat course but for a class 5 affair this doesn't look a bad race, I will look to lay Wild Flower 4/1 who may need a longer trip if the going is good to firm which is forecast for this meeting but with no known front runners in the race my stakes wont be very big, I'm not sure what to expect from the 3yo Gosnay Gold, I think it might need a longer distance before it shows its best form but I'm not sure enough of my assessment to lay it, the top weight Handytalk has a time from last year at Salisbury that makes it my 2nd top rated and it also has good trainer/jockey stats so it looks like connections are expecting a big run and i might well have a covering bet on it because my top rated CREEK HARBOUR 5/1 has a poor trainer stat with the stable being 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its last winner was 20 days ago but the jockey booking is also a positive looking one so I hope this will stay on the strongest at the finish. 

Creek Harbour 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Wild Flower +1pt

Total 0pts 

BEVERLEY 3.10 

Ten runners in this dash over 5 furlongs, I cannot see anything of value to lay when looking at the tissue prices but I will no more nearer the off, Arnold might be outclassed in this race but he is one that can record a fast time but usually in a class lower than this race, Thrilla In Manila, Young Tiger, Wades Magic and Mutabaahy all have times that could see them contest for a place in the frame, DARK SHOT 15/2 is one of the 2 known front running types in this field and could prove hard to catch if getting to the front especially if it can reproduce its best time from Leicester last year which make it my top rated so has to be worth a wager but it hasn't been anywhere near that level on my figures so far this year but I can see this one possibly leading all the way if on a going day but just in case its not at its best I will also be backing DEBAWTRY 5/1 who usually stays on strongly over this distance and the jockey booking makes it look as though connections are hopeful of a big run in this race. 

Debawtry 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Dark Shot 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

LINGFIELD 6.08 

A nice looking class 3 sprint with 12 runners and 2 known front running types and both of them are in my top 3 ratings, firstly I will look to lay both Jack The Truth 7/1 and Lady Celia 6/1 who both might find it hard to stay the distance in a fast run early paced race, IRISH ACCLAIM 8/1 comes over from Ireland for this race and the trainer is in good form, 13-78, in the last 2 weeks and could be the one to prosper if the front runners tire nearing the finish, BENEFIT STREET 5/1 won last time on turf at Newmarket and has a time from 2020 that would give a degree of a chance to follow up here also it is well drawn in stall 2 for a front runner and its best time from 2020 puts in the mix, PAPA STOUR 7/1 is my top rated and another possible pacesetter and stall 4 shouldn't be a problem in the make-up of this race but this ones best time was recorded at Chelmsford so I'm hoping it can repeat that time on the same surface but at this course. 

Benefit Street 16/1 4th -1pt

Irish Acclaim 18/1 6th -1pt 

Papa Stour 15/2 Unp -1pt 

Lay bets Jack The Truth +1pt, Lady Celia +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.22 

A poor turnout of just 6 for this dash over five furlongs, True Hero could be the one to set the pace and its best time from Newcastle would make it my 2nd top rated but I am of the feeling this isn't its favoured surface also the trainer is 0-8 in the last 2 weeks so it could be one to lay, Jumira Bridge is my 3rd top rated but this one hasn't been showing much recently so its not for me in this race, the top weight Lilklan won for me last time out but that was over 6 furlongs and it isn't as good over this shorter distance, the trainer is 0-5 at this course but the jockey has a very good win ratio when riding for this stable but no jockey can perform miracles if this is the wrong distance for it, I will be taking a punt on STREET PARADE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and waiting to pounce in the latter stages of the race plus its best time from last year does make it my top rated.

Street Parade 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

2:50 Carlisle Racing Tips (11th September)

CARLISLE 2.50 (7.7)

There's a few lightly raced sorts in this race which always limits the strength of my bets but my top 3 ratings are a few spots ahead of those that I have plenty of form to work with, Amazing Grazing is my 3rd top-rated but it can find the trip too far with a fast early pace but I'm not sure this race will be run at a frantic early pace, Autumn Flight is on a losing run of 11 which isn't ideal but this 3-year-old is my 2nd top-rated and did record its best time earlier this year at Hamilton, NAPLES BAY 6/1 is being ridden by a 3lb claiming apprentice which draws into joint top-rated on 2019 times but does have a time from 2018 that's 6lb higher, it won last time out over this c/d and has earnt the chance to take on slightly better class of horse in this race. 

Naples Bay 11/1 4th  

DONCASTER 3.00 (8.1) 

Its a shame there's only 7 runners in this Listed class dash, there's plenty of known frontrunners in the race and dark Shot and Equilateral will make sure nothing gets an easy lead, Queens Gift might be the one to do best of those coming from off the pace but I think the one that will be the favourite is TIS MARVELLOUS 7/4 and it's my top rated so if this one does get to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Tis Marvellous 2/1 4th 

CARLISLE 3.25 (7.7) 

One of the possible pacesetters is Kolossus who is my 4th top-rated so should make sure of a fast early pace, Suitcase N Taxi is on a losing run of 16 and can find this trip too far if there is a fast early pace, if I use its best time from 2018 then Shepherds Purse comes out 2nd best, there are quite a few relatively lightly raced horses in this race so my stakes won't be at full tilt and I also expect that NINJAGO 9/2 will be quite fancied in the betting but it does look the safest option in the race. 

DONCASTER 5.20 (8.1) 

A field of 20 is nearly impossible and I'm not even going to try and narrow it down too much, Archimedes has been in cracking form winning for me twice recently but this is a harder race, Daschas, Line Of Reason, Nibras Again, Pea Shooter and Normal Equilibrium have all shown glimmers of form speed figure wise to be competitive and I might not have found the winner in the 6 mentioned and the race is best left alone. 

KEMPTON 5.30 

There's half this field of 6 that have led before and they are my 4th, 2nd and top-rated so maybe Dream Catching will do best of those coming from off the pace but maybe not able to catch the pacesetters if they don't go off too fast, Majorette comes out 2nd best but quite a few spots behind the one that will be carrying my money, if CREEK HARBOUR 6/1 can lead or contest the lead it might prove hard to catch it's being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who is making their debut for this stable but it could push them even further ahead of the field.

Creek Harbour 7/1 4th

2:20 Ffos Las Racing Tips (29th August)

FFOS LAS 2.20 

I'm never confident with what stick reading I need for this course but with the current weather I'm going to assume it will be ok, only 6 runners to look at and one of them Celerity is a maiden after 76 runs, the only known frontrunner is Brandy Station but I'm not convinced it really likes g/f ground, Brockley Rise and Tawaafoq both look as though even further would suit them better, my money will be on SPOT LITE 4/1 and this one has good trainer/jockey stats and its only downside is its losing run of 15 but it has been found a good opportunity if its on a going day. 

Spot Lite 4/1 2nd 

CHELMSFORD 2.30

There's 9 runners but only 5 of them have recorded times, I will concentrate on that 5, Chookie Dunedin and Restless Rose are joint 4th best who will need to improve a few pounds to win here, Kraka is my 2nd top-rated using its best time from 2018 and its form this year has been well below that, CREEK HARBOUR 6/1 is my 3rd best but being the only known frontrunner in the race it could be very dangerous if allowed to dictate from the front and I will back it to some degree but I will also be backing DESERT FOX 3/1 who is my top rated and this ones best time came over this c/d this year which is always a positive.

Desert Fox 9/2 1st 
Creek Harbour 7/1 7th