4:55 Pontefract Racing Tips (4th August)

PONTEFRACT 4.55 

A 7 runner race with one known front runner in Stay Smart and could go well with an easy lead, apart from Runninwild the rest have bits of form that are closely rated on my figures and I cannot say much about any of them, I will be backing CANFORD BAY 5/1 who can be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish but it has poor trainer/jockey stats which worries me so any stakes will be kept on the low side.

Canford Bay 3rd -1pt  

Total -1pt 

YARMOUTH 5.15 

This is a class 6 race and its very hard to analyse to much of a conclusion, I'm not sure I could put up any lays with any confidence so I think the way to go in this race is with dutching 3 horses, CAZEVA PRINCESS 13/2 is one of the 2 known front running types in the race and comes out 2nd top rated using just 2021 times over this distance but the jockeys 0-3 record isn't great, KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 7/2 is the one that comes out top rated on just 2021 times but the jockeys 0-12 record for the stable doesn't fill me with confidence, top rated using a 2020 time is LINCOLN RED 5/1 but this one has poor trainer 0-10 record with their older horses and the jockey is 1-28 so my stakes will be kept low.

Knockabout Queen 7/1 5th -1pt 

Lincoln Red 11/1 6th -1pt 

Cazeva Princess 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -3pts 

PONTEFRACT 5.30 

In this race I will look to lay Dream Together who prefers good to firm going but I doubt that will happen here and even if it does it would still need to improve time wise to win this race, the bottom weight Mr Orange comes out 3rd best on my figures but has been in poor form recently, OBEE JO 8/1 is my top rated using just 2021 times and has good trainer/jockey stats and with the jockeys 5lb claim it moves to top spot, my original top rated was/is *HIGHLY SPRUNG 4/1 who will try to lead all the way and it might get to the front on its own looking at the make-up of this race and with an easy lead it could prove very hard to catch and I will back them both to cover the angles. 

*NR

Obee Jo 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

YARMOUTH 8.15 

An 8 runner race where 5 of them have been known to lead before so the question is, will they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish? I hope not, but if all 5 of the front runners do fade then Clashaniska 5/1 could be the one to prosper but I hope not and I will back two horses one that's top rated on 2021 times, SHESADABBER 6/1, and HAVEONEYERSELF 10/3 who is top rated using a time recorded over this course and distance in 2020 and this one has a decent jockey record on this stables older horses. 

3:00 Pontefract Racing Tips (25th July)

PONTEFRACT 3.00 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners for this class 3 race over 6 furlongs, I will look to lay, Zumurud 4/1 who needs to improve time wise and hasn't won since 2019 plus it also has poor trainer/jockey stats, and Afandam 4/1 who has recorded only slow times in its recent runs and its best time came form back in 2018 and that would need to be improved upon to win this race, the top weight Corinthia Knight 7/4 is forecast to be the hot favourite according to the tissue prices but this trip seems to be too much for it on good to firm ground and there's 3 front running types in the race so I will likely lay all 3 of them, I've got Marks Choice and EQUIANO SPRINGS 20/1 (EW) as my joint top rated using just 2021 times but the former may not like the ground if it is good to firm but I will be backing the latter and its a shame there's not enough runners for there to be 3 places if having an each way wager,I will also be backing the other possible pacesetter in the shape of HIGHLY SPRUNG 7/1 as it has good trainer/jockey stats just like my other selection, I'm not sure which one will prevail but I'm hoping that one of them can lead from start to finish. 

Highly Sprung 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Equiano Springs 20/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Zumurud +1pt, Afandam +1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 5.10 

With 8 runners in this race I was hoping to find an each way value punt, if the bottom weight Ruby Wonder is a single figure price, which I doubt will happen, then I would lay it as i think it will need this run for fitness and its form hasn't been great anyway, Van Gerwen comes out in 3rd top spot, might be worth an each way punt, and along with my 2nd top rated Khabib 11/8 they like to track the leaders and I will most likely be backing the latter as a covering bet just in case the only known front running type AUCKLAND LODGE 7/1 doesn't reproduce its best, it has won 3 races from 12 on turf but hasn't been placed in any of the other 9 so it looks like it wins or isn't in the mix so I will back the win part only. 

Auckland Lodge 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pts

MUSSELBURGH 5.15 

A field of 17 with 4 known front runners amongst them, the trainer Jim Goldie has 4 runners in this race so I'm not sure what his intentions are but going just with jockey bookings Primos Comet 12/1 may do best of the quartet but Sound Of Iona and Tanasoq both have better speed figures, the former Sound Of Iona has a poor jockey stat of 0-8, while I will be looking to lay his other runner Global Humor 8/1 who has done all its winning over a longer distance, its a wide open race and not bad for a class 5 affair, any of Glory Fighter, Gunnerside, Never Dark, Good Luck Fox, Water Of Leith and Economic Crisis have pieces of form that could see them running well and there might well be an each way punt amongst them but i will be putting my trust in MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 who won 2 runs ago at Ayr over this distance in a good time on good to firm ground but didn't seem as happy last time out on just good ground so I'm hoping the rain stays away and with good to firm ground I am hoping it can lead all the way.

Modular Magic 8/1 1st +8pts 

Lay bet Global Humor +1pt 

Total +9pts 

Total on the day +7pts

3:50 Pontefract Racing Tips (28th April)

PONTEFRACT 3.50 

A 7 runner race where i will be backing the one that is my top rated and also the only known front runner in the race, the top weight True Mason might struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace so I will look to lay this one, Mr Orange hasn't shown much in its last 3 runs but has a time from last year over this c/d that would make it my 3rd top rated horse, Final Frontier seems to be on a downward spiral class-wise but does have a time from last year that puts it in 2nd top spot but will be hoping that HIGHLY SPRUNG 11/2 can get away smartly and then lead all the way to the line, it has good trainer and jockey stats as both have an 18% win ratios.

Highly Sprung 11/2 2nd -1pts

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 4.30 

A class 4 race with 11 runners and being a 5 furlong dash there's 4 known front runners, I cannot see anything I could lay with any confidence, I've got 5 horses rated within 6lbs at the top of my speed figures, Saaheq is 5th best but that was using a time from 2019 but is in good form having won 7 days ago, Diligent Lady in 4th top spot along with Outrage and Kick On Kick On in joint 2nd top position are all possible pacesetters so it should be truly fast early pace and they might go off a bit too fast and this is a very stiff course so they might play into the hands of ROSE HIP 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the business end of the race and is dropped in class compared to where it was running last year and hopefully its run 12 days ago will have put it spot on fitness wise for this race. 

Rose Hip 8/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 5.30 

This looks a tricky race with just 2 horses with recorded (fast enough) figures on my graphs and both of them are pretty low ratings, the top weight Fard has been known to lead before and it is one of the two horses in the race with a recorded time and it was from this year at Windsor, I would need a price of 11/2 at least before it would be worth taking the risk so if not this race is maybe best left alone. 

CHELMSFORD 6.40 

It is a shame there is only 7 runners but there is front runners among them, Show Me A Sunset may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace so I will look to lay it while Eagle Creek seems to want further to show its best so another I could lay, Araifjan has a time from Lingfield last year that would make it top rated by 2lbs but I am beginning to think this ones best time was a bit of a fluke where it got towed along in a fast run affair and might need further to win, I think Endowed is a possible pacesetter but races as though further might suit it better and might not have the pace to lead at this distance against my selection, One Hart will be running on at the finish and could make the frame but i am hoping that SPIRIT OF MAY 11/1 can lead here from start to finish, it was pestered on its last run and never got its head in front but a repeat of its run the time before that would see it back to winning ways and the trainer does well at this course.

3:05 York Racing Tips & Lay Bets (18th July)

YORK 3.05 

Even I get tired of writing this but please check the going before betting if you cant I would advise you to not to have a bet, I don't want to lose you any money. There's 9 runners in this Listed class dash, (El Astronaute still runs ok but it isn't the horse it used to be and may struggle here + Moss Gill will need to improve timewise to win this race) so I will look to lay this pair, I'm not 100% sure how good or bad the 2 3yo’s are but betting wise they don't seem fancied and would both have to improve to win this race, I think this race will be won from the front unless they cut each other's throats having a ding dong battle to gain control up front, Que Amora is my 3rd top-rated, Equilateral comes out 2nd best but my money will be riding on ALPHA DELPHINI 15/2 who should prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Alpha Delphini 12/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Moss Gill -6pts, El Astranaute +1pt

Total: -6pts

YORK 4.10 

A field of 20 is usually enough to put me off but a couple of pointers made me think I might have found and each way opportunity, the draw can make a difference at this course and I will be backing the horse with the highest draw, HIGHLY SPRUNG 15/2, who is a known frontrunner and with the rails to help it then it could lead all the way but my stakes will not be at full tilt. 

Highly Strung 25/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWBURY 4.00 

A cracking Group 3 race where I will look to lay (Judicial who might not stay the distance in the make-up of this race with some fast pacesetters) Summerghand is my 3rd top-rated overall and 2nd top-rated on just 2020 time, TIS MARVELLOUS 14/1 (EW) is 3rd best on 2020 times but has a time from 2019 that would make it my overall top-rated and it is one of the likely pacesetters and if getting to the front could have every chance to lead all the way so has to be an each-way punt, TINTO 9/1 (EW) is top-rated on just 2020 times and that figure is only 2lbs below the overall top-rated so I will have to back them both each way to cover the angles. 

Tis Marvellous 14/1 7th (-2pts)

Tinto 12/1 Unp (-2pt) 

Lay bet: Judicial +1pt

Total: -3pts 

BATH 5.05

There's 11 runners in this race with 3 known frontrunners, so it should be a genuine paced affair and the race, could easily be won from the front, King Crimson may struggle to lead in this race but Archimedes is my 2nd top-rated and a from the front it can be dangerous, it hasn't been in the best of form lately is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning but my top rated is also a frontrunning type and if CORONATION COTTAGE 5/1 gets to the front it could be hard to catch and has been found an opportunity to go one better than its 2nd place finish on its last run.

Coronation Cottage 13/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -11pts