2:40 York Racing Tips (27th May)

YORK 2.40 

A cracking looking class 2 dash over this flat surface with 3, Chipstead stall 5 and Fine Wine stall 4 are 2 of them, known front running types to ensure there's a fast early pace and its a race where it could be won from the front. Reigning Profit maybe not class, Squealer maybe too short a distance will be lays if they are single figure prices. Alligator Alley who usually tracks the leaders is my 3rd top rated and drawn in stall 7 so could go either side of the course depending where the early pace is, Korker in stall 10 is my 2nd top rated and usually races at the rear of the field or in midfield but my top rated is the 3rd front running type is Copper Knight who is drawn in stall so if leading could prove a hard nut to crack. 

Each Way Bet COPPER KNIGHT 16/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay REIGNING PROFIT 9/1 (NA) 

Total -2pts

HAYDOCK 3.30 

A Group 2 dash and again there's 3 known front running types but there's 7 that are either 4yo’s or 3yo’s who might be capable of front running and or improve but haven't shown it so far in their relatively short careers so this race is probably best left alone and if Raasel isn't an each way price then I will leave the race alone, the two 3yo’s are forecast to be to the fore in the betting but I was told many years ago not to back a 3yo against older horses until June so hoping that's right and an each way bet on an older horse might pay dividends.

Each Way Bet RAASEL 14/1 Unp -2pts

Total -2pt

SALISBURY 7.10

A Listed sprint with 9 runners but I'm not sure what will set the pace, Marbaah is a 3yo so that might be against it here taking on its elders and it might need further to show its best form so this race might not be run to suit it so I will look to lay it if its of value to do so, Sir Maximus doesn't seem to like good to firm so I will add that to my lay list, Khaadem is my 3rd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders, Rohaan is a hold up type so this race might not be run to suit it but on the other hand if its a slow early pace its fitness might not be called into question, and my top rated its dropped in class to run in this race but this will be its 1st run after 244 days off so might need this run for fitness as it has done so before after a break, Run To Freedom is my 2nd top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders its a course and distance winner and had its 1st run of the year 14 days ago so hopefully that has got it fully tuned up for this race.

Bets 

ROHAAN 6/1 8th -1pt   

RUN TO FREEDOM 13/2 1st +6.5pts 

Lay MARBAAH 11/2 + SAM MAXIMUS 13/2 +1pt 

Total +6.5pts

Total on the day +2.5pts

2:00 Thirsk Racing Tips (6th May)

THIRSK 2.00 

A class 4 sprint with 16 runners but just 1 known front runner in the shape of Cooperation 10/1 coming out of stall 8 and if heads across to the rails those drawn higher could get squeezed out but i doubt it can lead all the way, As If By Chance 7/1 produces high ratings but in lower class races than this one. Run This Way hasn't been in good form lately but is capable on its day, Bay Breeze will be to the fore in the betting after winning last time out on soft ground and could run well again here and could follow up with another win, it's really a hard race to analyse and it looks competitive for a class 4 race but I am going to take a punt on one I think will be an outsider in this race and that is ABOLISH 12/1 (EW) who is often held up for a late run but here its drawn in stall 7 so it could get a good tow across towards the rails but the horse drawn just inside of it and therefore gain a good position from which to attack nearing the finish and I think/hope it will be an each way price. 

Abolish 25/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWMARKET 2.50 

I must be mad trying to analyse a 23 runner class 2 sprint where they could run as 1 group or split into 2 or possibly 3 groups and on this course when that happens its hard to predict which side will prove to have the faster going. One that could set the pace to the race is Equiano Springs 40/1 who is drawn in stall 17 and could be dangerous if the better ground favours those drawn high but the betting says its not really fancied, I doubt many will be a single figure price in this race but I am going to hope that those drawn low have just as much or even better chance of winning as I will be backing TANAMAWWY 7/1 who finished 2nd in a race 15 days ago so is in good form, it is also my top rated while the trainer has a 21% win ratio on this course with their older horses and the jockey has an overall strike-rate of 21% for the stable it moves up to 28% on the stables older horses. 

Tanamawwy 7/1 Unp -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWMARKET 4.00

Another big field but this time 17 for a Group 3 dash where 9 of the runners have been known to lead before, *Mountain Peak and Korker would be my 2 top rated horses using a class 2 sprint at Haydock last year both may need this run for fitness and I doubt they are up to winning at this level, I doubt there will be many at a single figure price so I doubt I can find a value lay for the race. Manaccan is a front running type drawn in stall 1 so if the low numbers have an advantage it could go well and has the legend Frankie Dettori riding it but this one might need this for fitness and has to prove itself at this level but has won in Listed class and a Group 3 win in Ireland on the All-Weather surface at Dundalk. My money will be riding on RAASEL 12/1 (EW) who looks capable of winning at this level but the trainers record of 1-29 at this course is a bit off-putting but the stable have switched back to James Doyle as their jockey and he has a 31% win ratio for the stable and at the price has to be given as an each way wager. 

*NR

Raasel 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

DONCASTER 6.55 

A field of 9 for this class 3 sprint with a couple of known front running types one of them is Aberama Gold 5/1 who comes out 5th top on my figures but has poorish trainer/jockey stats so might be worth laying, Woven 14/1 hasn't won a race since 2020 which doesn't inspire confidence and it will most likely need this run for fitness so I will look to lay this one but not at that price, Treacherous 8/1 is capable of good ratings but is another that hasn't won since 2020 but it could run well here but well enough to win I'm not sure one way or the other, Fast And Furious 7/2 is another that looks likely to need this run for fitness, so there is 4 that I could lay for one reason or another but they all have decent speed ratings but I will be backing DANZAN 7/1 who is the other known front running type in the race and as this one had a run just under a month ago i hope that got it back to full fitness and it can lead all the way.

Danzan 15/2 4th -1pt

Lay bets: Woven -3.5pts, Aberama Gold +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day -8.5pts

3:35 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th July)

GOODWOOD 3.35 

A Group 2 dash over five furlongs, there are 3 known front runners but I think they will set the race up for a finishing type, I'm not sure if i can find anything of value to lay, Lazuli would be my 3rd top rated but I had to go back to 2020 to find that rating and Clarendone House is my 3rd top on more recent ratings and could do best of those racing near the front, I've got Khaadem in 2nd top spot and only just 1lb below RAASEL 4/1 in top spot and this one has been in very good form lately. 

Raasel 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 4.50 

There looks to be 3 possible pacesetters in this race and of that trio *FREEDOM FLYER 8/1 might do best as it comes out as my 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings so has to carry some of my money just in case it pinches the race from the front as it is rated only 2lbs below STEELRIVER 6/1 who comes out in top spot and this one also has the best speed figure from just this course since it changed its surface to Tapeta I think Sir Gregory 11/2 is a better prospect on the Polytrack surface and I will look to lay if its a single figure price, Oriental Spirit 9/2 would need to improve upon its best rating from Kempton but this will be its 1st run on this surface so it could possibly improve for the switch or maybe not so I couldn't back it at the price but I'm also not sure I could lay it either. 

*NR

Steelriver 12/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sir Gregory +1pt 

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 6.30 

There s 14 runners in this 5 furlong dash and only one front running type, Louis Treize 7/1 may need further to show its best and may be worth laying as long as it doesn't drift in price, the timelines are a little confusing between times on Tapeta at Newcastle and Wolverhampton compared to times here on the same surface, Scale Force 10/1 comes out in top spot on other Tapeta times so could go well here and might be worth an each way interest and it will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will be backing BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 13/2 who comes out in top spot using just times recorded here at Southwell and the trainer has a 19% win ratio at this course with their older horses and is the one that I think will set the pace to the race and i am hoping it can lead all the way to victory. 

Bernard Speirpoint 17/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

MUSSELBURGH 8.20 

Of the 9 runners in this race I can only see Jojo Rabbit who has been known to lead before but time wise it would need to improve a good few spots but if allowed a very easy lead it could possibly pinch this race from the front, both The Thin Blue Line and Never Dark are capable of producing good speed figures but they may be outclassed at this level, Ready Freddie Go likes to track the leaders and could do enough here to make the frame, Only Spoofing is my 2nd top rated and another that likes to track the early pacemakers and is only 2lbs below my top rated horse SHOW ME SHOW ME 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and at the price might be worth an each way wager. 

Show Me Show Me 12/1 3rd +1.4pts

Total +1.4pts

NEWMARKET 8.30 

I cannot find a front running type in this field of 6 but 5 of them like to track the leaders so they could ensure there is a decently fast early gallop, Bossipop might need further to show its best so I'm not sure if this race will really suit it, Concierge is my 3rd top rated with Churchill Bay sitting in 2nd top spot but if LORDSBRIDGE BOY 5/1 can reproduce the speed figure it recorded at Salisbury in 2021 it would win this race with a few spots to spare.

Lordsbridge Boy 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1.6pts