6:10 Brighton Racing Tips (3rd May)

BRIGHTON 6.10 

Just 7 runners for this class 5 sprint with just Pinwheel known to have led before but this distance might be too short for it to win but never say never especially if allowed an easy lead and can the kick for home and pinch the race from the front. Batchelor Boy may need this run for fitness, Jupiter Express 13/2 may prefer a shorter distance, Street Parade 5/1 is another that may need the run for fitness, I think Forca Brasil 11/2 and Mount Mogan will be double figure priced outsiders but I'm wrong with one of them, which leaves me putting my money on BIG BARD 13/8 who usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish. 

Big Bard 13/8 1st +1.625pts

Total +1.625pts

KEMPTON 9.00 

Just 8 runners for this class 6 sprint where I expect Fiscal Policy, Lady Holly, Flagman and Raphel Jake to be outsiders in this race as they have shown very little worthwhile form, so it was a surprise when I saw Fiscal Policy was 9/2 joint 2nd favourite which always sets off the alarm bells in my head because on all known form it should have very little chance of winning this race so either they know a lot more than me or its of value to lay but which only time will tell. Dulcet Spirit 5/1 races as though a longer distance would suit it better and might be value to lay, my 3rd top rated is Magicinthemaking who might be better over further and it would need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race but I'm not sure if I could lay it but my top 2 ratings look to have this race between them. AGAPANTHER 9/4 beat DELLA MARE 9/2 when they met last time out and strictly on the revised weights then the latter should turn the form around but the former that day could have been pushed a bit harder and it says it was eased nearing the finish in that race so the figures may not be 100% reliable but on all known form I can't see anything else in the race beating this pair but I doubt they will be worth dutching and I cannot say with any certainty which one of them will win so any bets in this race will depend on the odds available.

Della Mare 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Agapanther 9/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bets: Fiscal Policy +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +0.625pts 

7:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (19th December)

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A small field of just 7 runners for this class 6 sprint, my 3 bottom rated horses are forecast to be the 3 biggest priced horses in the race which isn't surprising and if any of them is a single figure price they might be worth laying the betting will decide whether to lay or not. Alafdhal has the best of the draw and is my 4th top rated but it is fairly close at the top of my ratings, Come On Girl is my top rated on just this years course and distance ratings but that is only good enough for 3rd spot on my overall figures. Araifjan could try to set the pace to this race and has been in good form lately but has finished 2nd in 3 of its last 4 runs and could be dangerous again here and is my 2nd top rated on this years ratings and on my overall figures. BIG BARD 8/1 isn't in my top 3 on just this years figures but has a rating from 2021 which makes it my top rated and being a front running type in a small field might be just what it needs to get back to winning ways.

Big Bard 8/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

1:35 Southwell Racing Tips (16th November)

SOUTHWELL 1.35 

A nice looking class 3 race with 8 runners (I hope they all take part) and 3 horses known to have led before. I think Spring Bloom, Media Guest and Captains Bar all need a longer distance to show their true form but I'm doubting any will be short enough to be value to lay. Lord Riddiford 7/2 a possible pacesetter is my 5th top rated but looks too short a price in my opinion, The Thin Blue Line 15/2 and Lipsink 4/1 are my 4th and 3rd top rated horses and both will be trying to stay on at the finish but I think maybe too late to win this race as my top 2 ratings are both possible pacesetters but either could make the frame. Khabib 4/1 is my 2nd top rated but there is only 2lbs between my 4th and 2nd top rated horses but sitting in top spot is BEDFORD FLYER 11/2 but this ones trainer hasn't been in good form lately while the jockey booking looks a positive with a 25% win ratio on the stables older horses but its not a race where I will be betting very heavily in. 

Bedford Flyer 10/1 1st +10pts 

Total +10pts

SOUTHWELL 2.38 

This class 2 race, even with just 9 runners, is very hard to analyse, mainly because there's not a lot of data to work with for some of the horses. Firstly there doesn't look to be anything that I could confidently put forward to lay, so secondly we move on to the potential winner of the race. Came From The Dark recorded decent rating on turf over this distance, Fine Wine needs to improve time wise but could lead. Papa Don't Preach won the only time it ran on this surface at Wolverhampton. Night On Earth is my 2nd top rated on just course and distance ratings. I'm not sure why Alligator Alley is forecast to be the favourite but it is top rated just using this years distance ratings, Silky Wilkie comes out top rated but using a time recorded on good to firm going on turf, Digital is top rated on just course and distance times, Count D’Orsay has a decent rating from 2021 over this course and distance, Intervention may need a longer distance but I expect it will be an outsider. If pushed I would side with the 3yo Silkie Wilkie 9/1 with a small each way bet but this race is probably best left alone. 

No bet. 

KEMPTON 8.30 

With the cutaway where the 2 courses meet means that the draw isn't as biased as it would be without it, the early pace in this race could well be set by Holbache in stall 3 and with an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame but saying that I wouldn't back it each way just in case that happens. I'm not sure there's anything in this race of value that I could put forward as a lay bet, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in Bobby On The Beat 16/1 and Coolagh Magic 9/2 but the latter's rating came from Lingfield and not at this course and distance so the price looks way too short and I'm not sure I could back the former each way. Starter For Ten 12/1 is my 2nd top rated and usually stays on at the finish over this distance and might be worth looking at if its an each way price. My money will be riding on BIG BARD 10/1 (EW) who usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish and in the make-up of this race from stall 4 it could get a good tow along the rails ready to pounce in the home straight and at a double figure price it has to be an each way bet.

Big Bard 10/1 3rd +1pt

Total +1pt

Total on the day +11pts

2:30 Catterick Racing Tips (24th August)

CATTERICK 2.30 

A nice looking class 4 race with 10 contestants and one known front running type, I would possibly look to lay both Vintage Clarets and Spring Is Sprung but as they are both 3yo’s I'm never 100% sure as they could still improve without warning, Dark Shot can struggle to stay the distance is there's a fast early pace, Oso Rapido, Embour, Muscika, Impeller and Birkenhead all have pieces of form that would see them compete to make the frame but this race might fall into the lap of JORDAN ELECTRICS 9/1 (EW) who is a confirmed front runner and if allowed an easy lead, which could happen here unless something else changes from their usual racing tactics, and a repeat of its Hamilton rating would see it get back to winning ways and might even be worth backing each way. 

ABANDONED 

MUSSELBURGH 2.50 

A field of 9 runners with 3 that have been known to lead before, I will look to lay Koropick if its a single figure price as the trainer is 0-18 at this course and its last win was back in 2017, I might also lay the 3yo Primo who has only produced slow times over this distance, the 3 at the top pf the handicap are the known front running types but Abel Handy doesn't seem to want fast good to firm ground hence why its times are relatively slow, Canaria Prince is my 3rd top rated and could set the pace to the race so could be dangerous but I will be backing TANASOQ 13/2 who is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics and that does include leading and has a good positive jockey booking and if getting to the front then should prove more than hard to catch. 

Tanasoq 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CATTERICK 3.00 

Twelve runners but only one natural front running type in Hot Scoop but I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory as it needs to improve a good few spots time wise so maybe one to lay as could Wades Magic be as it doesn't seem to like the fast good to firm surfaces, Point Of Woods can find the distance too far on good to firm ground so another lay if value to do so, Billian is capable of recording a good speed figure but usually on flatter courses and hasn't been in good form lately, Stronsay recorded a good speed figure at Hamilton last year but hasn't been anywhere near that standard so far this year and it also has poor trainer stats of 1-48 at this course, Ginato hasn't been in good form lately but its best from 2021 would see it be competitive here, others that are capable of going well are Portelet Bay and Freedom Flyer but neither have been in great form while the top weighted RAIN CAP 10/3 has been in tremendous form winning 3 of its last 4 races and its shrewd trainer has found it another good opportunity to add to its win tally. 

ABANDONED 

LINGFIELD 3.40 

A field of 12 for this class 6 race on the artificial Polytrack surface where I can see 3 runners, Viewfromthestars, Sir Rodneyredblood and Cool Spirit, who have been known to lead before and latter pair are course and distance winners and either could possibly do enough from the front to make the frame, Sir Sedric seems to either prefer a longer distance or the Tapeta surface so might be of value to lay, Real Estate has won its last 2 races and is going for the hattrick here and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures so could possibly win this race but I will be backing the top weighted BIG BARD 14/1 who recorded a rating at Chelmsford last year which would be good enough to win this race and has what looks a significantly positive jockey booking who has a 21% win ratio on the stables older horses and at the price it has to be backed each way.

Big Bard 14/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Sir Sedric +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

7:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (24th May)

LINGFIELD 7.40 

A ten runner race with three known front running types amongst them, I will start off with Hey Ho Lets Go 11/4 who won last time out but may be out of its depth again here as every time its raised in class if falters and has to drop down in grade to win again so I will look to lay this one as i also think it will be a shorter price than its chance merits, of the known front running types Lethal Blast looks best as its my 4th top rated and could do enough to make the frame but maybe not enough to win the race, Lilkian and Lothian have only 1lb between them being my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses in this race, the former is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it into 2nd top spot, my top rated is BIG BARD 15/2 who ran in a higher class race on its first run of this year 17 days ago, I assume to get it race fit, so could be primed to win this race but stall 9 isn't ideal so I will also have a bet on LILKIAN 5/1 who is only 2lbs off top spot with the apprentices 7lb claim. 

Lilkian 5/1 1st +5pts 

Big Bard 10/17th -1pt 

 Lay bet Hey let's Go +1pt 

Total +5pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.05 

A field of 13 for this race but I have 6 of them as having no chance but I expect 5 of them to be double figure prices so not of value to lay unless your a big risk taker but I do have Truth In Jest 13/2 as one of those 6 but is forecast to be in single figures, its one c/d run resulted in a slow time for it and its best rating on turf wouldn't be enough for it to win this race, Power Point 8/1 won last time out on turf on a good to soft ground so this surface might be too fast for it and i also think a longer distance would suit better especially on this surface, the top pair in the handicap, Tributo and Thaki are my 4th and 5th top rated but they are also the only known front running types in this race so one or the other could make the frame if allowed an easy lead, Singe Anglais usually tracks the leaders or is held up and then tries to stay on at the finish and comes out 3rd best on my figures, sitting in 2nd top spot is Ginato who likes to race in the middle of the pack, my money will be riding on WATER OF LEITH 11/2 who recorded a course and distance time earlier this year that would see it winning this race with a bit in hand.

Water Of Leigh 7/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Truth In Jest +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +5pts

5:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (22nd November)

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

Only 5 runners but an intriguing race, Shallow Hal has been in poor form lately and I expect it will be the outsider in this race, The Last Lion a hold up type and Above who likes to track the leaders both need to improve time wise to win this race, REGIONAL 11/8 I expect will be the favourite and as it is the one I expect to set the pace to the race this 3yo could be hard to catch and wouldn't need to improve much on its best turf speed figure on its debut here on an artificial surface to hold CORINTHIA KNIGHT 7/1 at bay in the latter stages but I do have the latter horse rated a few spots higher on my speed figures, it likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and this race could be run to suit it but I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Regional 6/4 2nd -1pt 

Corinthia Knight 16/1 5th

Total -2pts  

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A full house of 14 for this race with three horses that are known as front running sorts which means I can look to lay Shalaa Asker 11/2 who I think is better over a shorter distance, Stay Smart in stall 2 could be the one to gain control of the rails and it is my 3rd top rated but it hasn't been in the best of form lately but being a 3yo it could go well especially if getting a quick exit from the stalls, my top rated is Garth Rockett 16/1 recording its best time in 2020 but this one hasn't shown anything since February this year and that time is well below its best from the previous year, to make me think this race will see it back to winning ways and the bookies seem to agree, so my money will be riding on another 3yo in the shape of BIG BARD 2/1 who has won its last two races and has been found a very good opportunity to complete the hat trick despite being stuck out in stall 13 as it might be able to follow another front running type Secret Glow from stall 14 across towards the rails and then gain a good position from which to attack in the closing stages of the race. 

Big Bard 2/1 6th -1pt

Lay bet: Shalaa Asker +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

A field of 12 for this class 6 race and at first glance its a bit of a strange race to analyse and any stakes have to be kept low, Shanghai Rocks 13/2 might need further to show its best but as its a 3yo I’m not sure whether I can lay it or not but it might be worth the risk if the price is right but I think its current price is a little bit too high to be of value for the lay while anything under 5/1 I might have taken the risk, the same can apply to Lethal Angel 15/2, my top two ratings are both horses that like to set the pace to races, MOVEONUP 14/1 (EW) is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time it recorded when winning over this course and distance in 2020 but this one has been in poor form lately but if it springs back to form it could go well and I expect the apprentice jockeys instructions will simply be to try to get to the front, I would probably have only backed TILSWORTH ROSE 20/1 (EW) in this race if it wasn't for the poor 0-8 jockey stats and the trainers poorish 6% win ratio at this course but this one won four races ago and could be the one to gain control of the rails which are important on the bends, I will back them both but maybe with my stakes tilted in the favour of the latter and my top rated horse, at the prices I will be having a couple of small each way punts.

Moveonup 16/1 8th 2pt 

Tilsworth Rose 33/1 9th -2pts

Total -4pts

Total on the day -4pts