4:10 Brighton Racing Tips (29th June)

I HAVE SAID THIS MANY TIMES BEFORE BUT PLEASE MAKE SURE THE GOING IS GOOD OR FIRMER AS MY FIGURES ARE ALL CALCULATED ON THAT SORT OF GROUND AND RAIN IS FORECAST IN SOME AREAS. 

BRIGHTON 4.10 

A 6 runner race with one known front runner among them, Minhaaj may need further to show its best and might be worth laying, It Must Be Faith hasn't won at this distance in the England and usually likes to track the leaders, Newyorkstateofmind is my 4th top rated and like all of my top 4 ratings its time was recorded this year, Wiley Post is in 3rd top spot but doesn't seem to like fast good to firm ground, Shamshon comes out 2nd best using a Windsor time but my top rated is the front running AISH 13/2 who also recorded its time at Windsor and the trainer does well at this course and I'm hoping it can lead all the way.

Aish 1st 7/1 +7pts

Lay bet Minhaaj +1pt

Total +8pts 

HAMILTON 4.50 

Only 7 runners with one front running type but Afandem usually fades at this trip unless allowed a very soft lead and I will lay it if of any value to do so, Gunmetal is my 3rd top rated but doesn't really like good to firm ground, LADY CELIA 9/2 is my 2nd top rated but the jockeys 3lb claim makes it joint top rated along with ROYAL ADVICE 12/1 and with them both being young horses they could both be capable of further improvement so I will be backing them both. 

Abandoned 

HAMILTON 5.20

For a class 6 race this 14 runner affair doesn't look too bad, firstly I will be looking to lay, Stronsay 5/1 who may need further to show its best, and Lord Of The Glen 9/1 I have 3 horses that are versatile with their racing styles which includes leading but they would all need to improve and there is one more natural front runner in the shape of ALSVINDER 7/1 who has good jockey stats and could go well and would be my only selection if it wasn't for the trainers 0-19 record at this course which is a little off-putting, i will look to lay Stronsay who might prefer a longer trip and Lord Of The Glen who has one win from 27 runs on turf, ROSE BANDIT 4/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times so has to be feared and usually tracks the leaders before staying on at the finish, the top weight HARD SOLUTION 5/1 will be running on at the finish and has both good trainer and jockey stats and the apprentices 5lb claim should help its chances. 

Abandoned 

CHEPSTOW 6.50 

A 17 runner race with just one known front running type in the race, I cannot see anything of value to lay but that might change when the betting is known, I also cannot narrow it down to any less than 4 selections but I will be having one main bet and then back the other 3 to varying degrees to make a profit whichever one wins, Fard is the likely pacesetter and my joint 3rd top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive for the stable, Twice As Likely is the other 3rd top rated and the jockey has a 17% win ratio for the stable and both of them recorded their best speed figures this year, Our Man In Havana is my 2nd top rated using a 2020 time from Windsor and is another with good jockey stats and the apprentices 7lb claim could help its cause but most of my money will be riding on WIFF WAFF 9/1 who did its best time at Leicester last year and this race which doesn't look likely to be too fast in the early stages suits its favoured style of racing.

Wiff Waff 14/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day +7pts

4:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th March)

LINGFIELD 4.30 

There is not a lot of form to work with in this sprint which is not unusual in class 5 races, there is a couple I would like to lay (Onebaba 5/1 + Shining 4/1) the former may not really like this surface and or may need further while the latter seems better over shorter distances, Knockout Blow is well weighted on it’s best speed figure which was recorded this year, which I always a positive, but it does it’s best work in a lower class race than this one so maybe it cannot win this race, it has won over this c/d before but I think it is a better horse over shorter distances, the same applies about the rise in class, to Sir Hector, I think both or either could run a decent race but maybe not be able to win, the horse I will be putting my faith and money in is ALSVINDER 9/2 who at first glance doesn’t look to have done much recently, firstly the jockey booking looks a positive move a he has a 29% win rate on the stables older horses, secondly and hopefully more importantly is that this horse has been known to lead all the way before and with no other known front runners in the race it could lead all the way. 

Alsvinder 9/2 2nd -1pt

Lay bet: Shining +1pt

Total 0pts 

LINGFIELD 5.00

I am not a fan of backing favourites but I expect my selection will be the favourite for this race, i will start with a couple I will look to lay (Valentine Blues 10/3) as it looks as though its better over shorter distances, Tomahawk Ridge is the only known pace setting type in the race but it hasn’t any form on this surface so I am not sure what to expect but it could be dangerous with an easy lead, Dubai Paradise could run a decent race but it is still a maiden after 15 races, I will have a small bet on HEY HO LETS GO 4/1 who I hope can follow up on it’s win last time out. 

Hey Let's Go 4/1 +4pts 

Total +4pts

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

This is a funny looking 5 furlong dash with 4 known front runners in the race, so they might go off too fast and then fade nearing the finish so i will back to horses to cover the angles, Fendale, Nibras Again and Fashion Advice are all capable of running well in this sort of race but I doubt any will be an each way price, I will back ANOTHER ANGEL 12/1 who is one of the front running types in the race and if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but I am hoping this one will be an each way price, secondly I will also back DAZZLING DES 11/2 who likes to run on strongly at the finish and the jockey does well on the stables older horses. 

Dazzling Des 6/1 1st +6pts 

Another Angel 14/1 7th -1pt

Total +5pts

NEWCASTLE 7.45 Div I 

Being on a straight course here means the draw has little effect which is good for my selection in this race who is a front running sort, I have got 2 marked down as potential lays (Sambucca Spirit 9/1 + Harry's Ridge 6/1) the former may need a longer distance and this surface doesn't seem to be its favoured one, the latter may also prefer further but may also need this run for fitness, Klopp, Gleniffer and Suwaan could be the ones to prosper if the two front runners go off too fast, Swiss Connection is coming out of stall 5 and could run well but strictly on form it has the measure of Gleniffer but the latter has only had one previous run over this c/d so could improve but I will be siding with ARCAVALLO 10/1 who could set the pace and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2020 it could lead all the way but the jockeys 1-16 record for the stable means my stake won’t be at full strength. 

Arcavallo 10/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets: Harry's Ridge 6/1 -6pts, Smabucca Spirit +1pt

-6pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 Div II 

Once again there's 2 known front runners in this 2nd division of the race and one of them will be my choice to win the race, some of the runners have bits of form that would make them competitive but firstly there’s a couple I will look to lay in this race, (Phoenix Star 11/2 + True Hero 6/4) the former has good jockey stats but the trainer is 0-3 at this course and maybe this one needs further to show its best although it has won at this distance in a slow run affair which will not happen here, the latter is predicted to be the favourite and certainly isn't value at the price when its best time from Wolverhampton would need to be improved upon to win this race and its 2 runs over this c/d both resulted in a slow time, I will let my money ride on ROCKLEY POINT 13/2 who can front run and its best time from last year would be good enough to see it win this race.

Rockley Point 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets True Hero 6/4 -1.5pts, Phoenix Star +1

Total on the day -2.5pts

4:40 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bet (19th January)

SOUTHWELL 4.40 

I might look to lay, (Fantasy Keeper 11/2) who has recorded relatively slow times and hasn't been placed in any of its previous c/d races and (Giogiobbo 6/1) who has slow times at this distance and looks to need further to shine, there is another 3 with relatively slow times to their names and would therefore need to improve to win this race, my 4th top rated is You're Cool 9/1 who usually front runs but I'm not sure if it can lead here with 3 other potential pacesetters, Another Angel 9/1 comes out 3rd best overall using a Newcastle time as it hasn't run here before so not sure exactly what it will do on this surface, in 2nd top spot is Alsvinder 6/1 who is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics but has only a slow time to its name for its only previous c/d run which isn't enough form for me to be confident if it does or doesn't like this surface, Red Stripes 8/1 could lead and has been placed lately but the jockey is 0-7 for this stable, I think the winner should come from the four mentioned but I cannot favour any as having a better chance so the betting will be the deciding factor but I'm hoping to dutch all 4, ANOTHER ANGEL 9/1, RED STRIPES 8/1, YOU'RE COOL 9/1 and *ALSVINDER 6/1 to make a profit but it will be to low stakes. 

*NR 

You're Cool 9/1 5th (-1pt)

Another Angel 20/1 7th (-1pt)

Red Stripe 9/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Fantasy Keeper 5/1 -5pts, Giogiobbi +1pt

Total -7pts

SOUTHWELL 7.10 

Only 7 runners but still a tricky race with a few relatively lightly raced sorts in the field and this shows in the fact that I've only got 3 with recorded times, Nick Vedder 4/5 is 2 from 2 over this c/d and is my 3rd top rated and has won its last 2 races so is in rude form and could possibly complete the hattrick but can it give weight away to all of the others as its handicap rating rises, I'm not sure, Katelli 5/1 is a 4yo who improved last time out to finish 2nd and is my 2nd top rated plus the trainer does quite well at this course with a 23% win ratio with its older horses and could improve again so has to be considered as a possible winner, my top rated is the front running Archimedes 14/1 who has finished in the frame in its last 2 races but the jockeys 0-13 record for the stable is off-putting and the horse is also 0-13 over this c/d but has made the frame in 3 of those 13 races but if allowed an easy lead it could prove dangerous, I think the winner might come from the 3 mentioned but its not a race to get too heavily involved in money wise and it isn't worth dutching with an odds on shot in the race, if pushed I might go with a small wager on Archimedes just because of the price but I'm nowhere near confident enough to actually put it up as a selection.

3:45 Southwell Racing Tips (20th December)

SOUTHWELL 3.45 

I'm not sure if the races are getting harder to analyse or is it me getting old and finding things harder i think the latter. I would look to lay Fair Alibi, maybe outclassed, Giogiobbo who might need further and Samovar runs well many times but hasn't won a race this year, I've got MULZIM 5/1 as my 2nd top rated on 2020 c/d times and this one has good trainer/jockey stats which make me think connections are expecting to win this race, ALSVINDER 11/1 (EW) could be the one to set the pace to the race but it hasn't run on this course before but if able to reproduce its Chelmsford time it could well lead all the way for the victory as it is my overall top rated and as long as 8 horses take part then it might be a worthwhile each way punt. 

Mulzim 5/1 1st (+5pts) (Betfair SP 6.8)

Alsvinder 14/1 6th (-2pts) 

Total: +3pts

SOUTHWELL 4.15 

Only 7 runners but at least there is a couple of known front runners so it should be a true run race, Spring Romance is in very good form but its wins have come in relatively slow run races and I don't think that will happen here, i will look to lay Vape if of value to do so, The Nosey Parker could attempt to lead or contest the lead although this will be its first run on this surface so its not guaranteed to take to it and would need to improve for the switch time wise to win this race, the 3yo Capla Spirit has only quite slow times over this c/d, Excessable is 3rd best on my figures and likes to track the leaders, YOUNG JOHN 11/2 got beat at odds on last time out and has been found a good opportunity to put that run behind it here and if it decides to front run in this race it could lead all the way and using a 2019 time it is my top rated but only just ahead of AL SUIL ELLE 12/1 who runs on strongly at the business end of the race and this ones best c/d time was recorded this year and has to be worth backing at the price, so I will back them both to cover the angles.

Young John 8/1 4th (-1pt)

Al Suil Elle 12/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

Total on the Day +1pt

8:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (12th November)

CHELMSFORD 8:00 

POP DANCER 15/2 is a 3yo who is usually held up for a late run, it hasn't run over this distance on this surface before and its best time from Wolverhampton is relatively slow so would need to improve quite a bit for the switch to this c/d. 

CHARMING KID 9/1 hasn't any course form to its name but is known to like to front run and has a fast time from Newcastle which would make it 2nd top rated overall but its times on this surface but elsewhere leave it needing to improve to win here.

ALSVINDER 5/2 another that likes to front run and from stall 2 it could gain control on the rail and as its my top rated if it gets to the front it should prove hard to catch so therefore could lead all the way here.

THEGREATESTSHOWMAN 4/1 is my 3rd top rated on overall figures but its best c/d time came back in 2018 and that time was 6lbs better than this ones best time from 2020. 

DAZZLING DES 2/1 this 3yo comes out 4th top overall and that was from a 2020 c/d time so could go well and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe a little bit too late to win this race and i am surprised it is the favourite to win the race.

VANDAD 13/2 this 3yo is a possible front-runner but it is still a maiden after ten previous races but from what i can gather it looks as though it might be a better horse when raced over a longer distance so i will lay it at the price. 

CONCLUSION: With half the field liking to front run it should be a true run affair, I could lay Vandad if of any value to lay, my money will be riding on.

ALSVINDER 5/2 who is my top rated and has the best of the draw so could grab the rails and lead all the way, the jockey booking, with a win ratio of 23% on the stables older horses, makes me think that the connections expect it to go one better than when finishing 2nd last time out.

Alsvinder 10/3 5th (-1pt)

Total on the day -1pt

6:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (14th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

THREE SAINTS BAY either needs a longer trip or a different surface, maybe both so one to lay. 

DEPUTISE could go well but maybe the frame is the best it can hope for.

KATHEEF is my 4th top-rated but is only 1 win from 6 races over this course and distance.

FIZZY FEET relatively slow times at this trip and may prefer a shorter distance so one to lay.

SECTRET VENTURE may need this run and also looks better over shorter trips so a lay.

ALSVINDER has the plum draw and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly.

STORM OVER my 3rd top-rated could make the frame with 3 wins and 3 places in 9 AW runs.

WILD EDRIC the only known frontrunner in the race and my 2nd top-rated so could go well.

TATHMEEN won last time out but it's not as good over this trip so one I would lay.

PRINCE OF ROME hasn't any c/d form but a shorter trip looks best so another one to lay.

CONCLUSION: A nice looking class 3 handicap with a field of 10 to analyse, its a race where the lays will form the base of hopefully making a profit from the race I will look to lay (Three Saints Bay + Fizzy Feet + Secret Venture + Tathmeen + Prince Of Rome) Wild Edric could lead and prove hard to catch being my 2nd top-rated but the one carrying my money will be ALSVINDER 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and has the prime stall 1 draw and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Alsvinder 8/1 6th 

Lay bets: Fizzy Feet (-4.5pts) Three Saints (+1pt) Secret Venture (+1pt) Tathmeen (+1pt) Prince Of Rome (+1pt) 

Total -1.5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

A class 3 conditions race and it ends up with just 3 runners, Moss Gill might need this run for fitness but there isn't a known frontrunning sort in the race so if the early pace is slow then anything could win, Puds has 2 wins and 5 places on the AW tracks but will need to improve timewise if the pace is fast and I guess I should be backing Watchable who has 1 win and 1 place from 2 c/d runs but I might leave it alone just because of the lack of early pace.