Latest News - Advertise your website here
Showing posts with label Red Alert. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Red Alert. Show all posts

Sunday, 4 June 2023

7:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th June)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 Div I

A class 4 sprint with 9 runners of which 4 have been known to lead before but it looks likely they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Secret Moment, like a visit to spinning vegas casino, might be a better prospect over further while the top weight Twilight Madness will need to improve time wise to win this race, Gold Medal is my 3rd top rated and could be the one to set the pace to this race and could make the frame, Tyger Bay is my 2nd top rated and is usually either held up in midfield or at the rear of the field before trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish and my top rated horse Bellagio Man is another hold up type and this race should provide the fast early pace this one likes to aim at. 

Each Way Bet: BELLAGIO MAN 14/1 8th (-2pts) , Bet GOLD MEDAL 9/2 6th (-1pt)

Lay TWILIGHT MADNESS 5/1 (+1pt) + SECRET MOMENT 3/1 (-3.33pts)

Total -5.33pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div II

I can see 3 known front running types in this 2nd division but in the make-up of this race it could be won from the front, Brasil Power may be better when racing over a longer distance and the same might apply to Rich Rhythm, like top online casino games, while Mohi seems to do its best when racing on the Polytrack surface. A Sure Welcome and Obtain my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses both like to track the leaders and could then stay on to make the frame so might be worth backing each way but if Aberama Gold can reproduce its best from the front it ought to lead all the way here and from stall 2 it should be able gain control of the rails which will help its cause. 

Bet: ABERAMA GOLD 4/1 1st +4pts 

Lay MOHI 4/1 (+1pt) + BRASIL POWER 9/4 (+1pt)

Total +6pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

The 3rd of 3 sprints at this course today but this time I can only see 2 possible pacesetters in the shape of Peachey Carnehan but stall 11 isn't really ideal or Dark Design who can lead but is versatile with its racing tactics but being drawn in stall 1 it could be a good opportunity to try and win from the front but both would need to improve time wise to win this race. If May Remain is of value I would look to lay it as it seems better over a shorter distance, while Danzart hasn't made the frame in 6 previous runs on an artificial surface so another potential lay. Tantastic is my 3rd top rated but can struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace but might be ok in this race, Admirable Lad likes to track the leaders and is my 2nd top rated, Red Alert hasn't been in the best of form recently but recorded a rating over this course and distance last year that would see it winning this race with a bit too spare. 

Small Each Way Bet: RED ALERT 100/1  Unp (-2pts)

Lay MAY REMAIN 7/1 (NA) + DANZART 9/4 (-1.625pts)

Total -3.625pts

Total on the day -2.95pts

Monday, 9 January 2023

5:30 Southwell Racing Tips (10th January)

SOUTHWELL 5.30 

I can only see one front running type in this field of 11 runners in this class 6 race over the minimum distance for apprentice jockeys who can carry but not use their whips, so once again what horse or horses can reproduce their best form without the persuading whip, its something I've never recorded so I haven't really got a clue. One I would look to lay is Ramdon Rocks 7/2 who might need further to show its true worth and this race might not be run to suit. MEHMO 7/1 is the possible pacesetter and is my 2nd top rated using Tapeta times from elsewhere and if allowed an easy lead could possibly lead all the way, *ELLIE PIPER 14/1 is my top rated on those figures from elsewhere thanks to the jockeys 5lb allowance and this one likes to track the pacesetters and at the price it has to be an each way punt, Q TWENTY BOY 8/1 will be trying to stay on at the finish and is my top rated on just course and distance ratings, I will be looking to dutch all 3 of them but my stakes wont be very strong because of the no use of the whip rule. 

*NR

Mehmo 7/1 1st +7pts 
Q Twenty Boy 16/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Random Rocks +1pt 

Total +7pts

SOUTHWELL 8.30 

I can see 4 known front running types in this race of 14 runners in a class 6 race, of these You're Cool would/could be dangerous but the stall 14 draw is enough to put me off its chances, one I will look to lay is *Astrophysics 6/1 who can find this distance stretching its stamina too far so this race should not be run to suit it. I do have a feeling that this race might be set up for something coming from off the pace but the problem is I can see that 3 that are capable of winning this race, RED ALERT 12/1 is my top rated using Tapeta ratings from elsewhere but isn't a consistent with its form but did run ok last time out when finishing 3rd, STARTER FOR TEN 9/1 who likes to track the leaders is my 2nd top rated on just course and distance times and will like the fast early pace and it usually stays on strongly nearing the finish while my top rated here is IRELAND'S EYE 5/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here my only doubt here is its stall 8 draw with 2 front running types drawn either side of it in stalls 2, 4, 10 and 14 so I have to rely on luck that it gets a clear run.

*NR 

Ireland's Eye 5/1 7th -1pt 
Starter For Ten 9/1 9th -1pt 
Red Alert 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -3pts

Total on the day +4pts

Tuesday, 3 January 2023

6:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (3rd December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A class 6 sprint with 13 runners but just the one known front runner, Port Noir if a single figure price would be a lay as it looks a better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface, I can see 5 other horses that appear to have virtually no hope but I expect them to be outsiders in the betting. PORTELET BAY in stall 5 could be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 2nd top rated at either here or Newcastle so could possibly steal this race from the front while RED ALERT is the one that's top rated but both of them have been in poor form recently which is off-putting. The top weighted WEE FAT MAC 6/1 is my top rated just using Southwell ratings but hasn't run at this course before but could go well if taking to it and might be the one to concentrate on but I will look to dutch all 3 of them and hopefully they will be all be of value to place an each way punt on. 

Red Alert 16/1 3rd -1pt 
Wee Fat Mac 6/1 4th -1pt
Portelet Bay 17/2 8th -1pt

Lay bet Poir Noir +-1pt

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div I

This is the first division of a low class stakes race where the highest official rating is 52 or below, Arzaak seems to prefer the Polytrack surface while Black Box 6/1 may need further and I would lay them if single figure prices. Nacho and The Gloaming are just outside my top 3 ratings so will need to improve unless others falter. TOPLIGHT 6/1 is well handicapped as it was rated 58 last time it won and racing off a rating of 49 in this race it finished 2nd 2 runs ago but was pushed too far back last time out and didn't really get into the race so could go well here. Moveonup is a front running type and has the stall 1 draw also is my top rated using Southwell times but is held on recent form by EMBLA 7/1 who won last time out and has been found a decent opportunity to follow up here. 

Toplight 61 1st +6pts
Embla 7/1 5th -1pt

Total +5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div II

This looks the weaker of the 2 divisions and certainly wont take much winning. Alyas Gold Award and Liberty Bay both race as though further would suit them better so might be worth laying if a single figure price. Hot Hot Hot, Nellie French, San Juan and Thegreyvtrain could all run decent races and battle for the minor offers especially the latter, in stall 6, who is one of only two known front running types in this race but this one could need the run for fitness. I think the other front running type BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 6/5 who has the stall 1 draw so it should be able to gain control from the off and get back to winning ways. 

Bernard Speirpoint 6/5 1st + 1.2pts

Total + +1.2pts

Total on the day +4pts

Friday, 12 August 2022

2:50 Ripon Racing Tips (13th August)

RIPON 2.50 

Class 2 race over 6 furlongs with 15 runners and one third of them have been known to lead before, as you expect its a very competitive looking race, Hyperfocus and Marks Choice look likely to do best of the front runners and the former could do enough from the front to make the frame, I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race as for finding the winner there is a few, Summerghand, Snash, Intrinsic Bond, Indian Creak Embour plus the 2 front runners mentioned, that could go well here and anyone of them could make the frame but I will be having a small wager on EMPEROR SPIRIT 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Emperor Spirit 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 3.18 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, the early pace could be set by Come On Girl who has been running well on the AW tracks but I don't think this one is up to winning at this level and might be worth laying, Strike is another that looks better in lower class races but this one is capable of producing fast times, Verraux Eagle might prefer a longer trip so another possible lay, my money will be riding on *WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the trainer does quite well at this course. 

*NR

Lay bet Come On Girl +1pt 

Total +1pt 


NEWMARKET 4.28 

Class 2 race with a paltry 5 runners, Stone Of Destiny may struggle to stay the distance especially as my top rated is the likely leader in this race, Mum's Tipple may need further but if the early pace is really fast it could be a possible danger, Above and Ingra Tor both recorded their best speed ratings here but on the Rowley mile course but would need to improve a good few spots if RATHBONE 13/2 reproduces is best figures from either 2022 or 2021 where there is only 2lbs difference plus the apprentice jockey has a decent 16% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Rathbone 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 10 entrants, I can see 3 front running types in this race and another that could lead if nothing else wanted to wont have to lead here, but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace although Portelet Bay who is my 2nd top rated could prove a danger if getting to the front from stall 9 but might have to use up a degree of its stamina/speed to get itself into the lead, I could look to lay, Prophecy, Secret Potion, *Mops Gem and *Tom Tulliver if of value to lay, Steelriver is my 3rd top rated using a 2020 rating but can be useful if on a going day but I will be relying on the top weight RED ALERT 10/1 with my money and a repeat of the rating it has recorded here this year would see it winning with a bit too spare.

Red Alert 10/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Prophecy +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day  -1pt

Wednesday, 18 May 2022

3:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (19th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.20 

A class 4 race with 8 runners so I hope they all run so there's 3 places up for grabs with an each way bet, Rebel Redemption is capable of recording a good speed figure but usually in lower class races but it one of 3 known front runners so it should be a true run race and Recon Mission is another pace setter but its best time was recorded on the Polytrack surface, the top weight NATIONWIDE 4/5 looks the likely winner but I expect it will be a very short priced favourite. 

Nationwide 4/5 1st +0.8pts

Total 0.8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50 Div I

In this race I would look to lay *Glamorous Force, Q Twenty Boy and Jumira Bridge if they are single figure prices as this distance might be too far for them with a good early gallop and I think Exchequer and or Freedom Flyer will set the pace to this race and the latter comes out in 3rd top spot using its best rating from 2021 and its best this year is only 5lbs below its best, The Nail Gunner has the plum stall 1 draw and usually likes to track the leaders so should be able to get a good early position on the rails just behind the leader/s and might be worth an each way interest, my money will be riding on RED ALERT 10/1 (EW) and at the price has to be an each way wager. 

*NR 

Red Alert 14/1 8th -2pts

Lay bets QTwenty Boy +1pt, Jumaira Bridge +1pt 

Total 0pts  

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.25 Div II 

This 2nd division only has Another Angel marked down as a front running type so could go well from the front especially if allowed a soft lead as its my 3rd top rated but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but might be able to make the frame in this race, Starter For Ten and Bomb Squad both race as though further would suit them better and this race might not be run to suit their racing style, my idea of the winner is MARTINEO 11/4 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Martineo 11/4 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 5.10 

There's not a lot I can say about this 6 runner class 5 dash, Mehmo may need further as might Storm Melody and could be worth laying but I am hoping that the only known front running type in the race, LETHAL BLAST 4/1, can get to the front and a reproduction of its best rating at Windsor last year would see it winning this race a shade cosily.

Lethal Blast 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1.2pts

Thursday, 28 April 2022

2:15 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (29th April)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.15 

With 9 runners and 1 known front runner it might be an ok race to bet/lay in, for the lays I am looking at Gustav Graves 9/4 and *Capla Spirit 6/1 who both might find the trip too far for them with a good early gallop while Gherkin 3/1 might prefer the Polytrack surface, I've got Decision Maker 16/1 as my 2nd top rated and hasn't been at its best in its latest races but could make the frame if bouncing back to form while I will be backing RED ALERT 12/1 (EW) who is my top rated and does like a decent pace to aim at so this race could be run to suit it and hopefully an each way wager will play dividends. 

*NR

Red Alert 14/1 8th -2pts

Lay bets Gustav Graves +1pt 

Total -1pt 


GOODWOOD 2.40 

A class 2 race with 10 runners and 2 known front runners so it should be a true run affair, as for lays Fine Wine 8/1 may prefer some cut in the ground and has poor trainer stats while Tone The Barone 6/1 may not want to be on the firm side of good, Lihou can produce good ratings but in lower class races but could possibly make the frame, Atlantis Boy could go well and will be trying to run on at the finish, I will be hoping LIVE IN THE MOMENT 11/1 who has a rating from Doncaster last year that makes it my top rated but the trainers 0-14 record at this track is a bit off putting and means my stake will be kept low. 

Live In The Moment 11/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet Fine Wine +1pt 

Total 0pts 

GOODWOOD 3.50 

A 10 runner class 3 race with 3 horses that could set the pace to the race, Many A Star 7/1 would be a danger if it was good to firm going but may better in slightly lower class races so I doubt it will be winning this race, I'm not sure if I could lay Crimson Sand 11/2 but it does seem a better prospect on an artificial surface, The Lamplighter and Count Otto will both be trying to stay on at the finish and could possibly make the frame, I will be backing BOWMAN 22/1 (EW) who is dropped in class from its recent runs and jockey is 1-4 for the stable so hope its an omen and that connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race and at the price I can go with an each way wager as a form of insurance. 

Bowman 28/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts  

NEWCASTLE 7.55

I hope all 8 runners take part in case anything crops up as an each way bet, Tathmeen has been known to lead before but only when nothing else wants to but it doesn't usually win at this level but could make the frame, Spice Store may need a longer trip to show its best and hasn't made the frame in any of its 5 races so will be a lay if a single figure price, Redzone and Athollblair Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated and either could make the frame, my money will be riding on GINATO 4/1 but hasn't won from 16 races on the AW tracks but has made the frame in 9 of those races and as it has won on turf it is capable of winning so hoping it breaks its AW duck in this race. 

Ginato 11/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 8.30

I'm not sure I can find anything of value to lay in this race but the betting will be the deciding factor, the early pace will be set by either Another Angel and/or Swiss Connection and if the former can repeat its best 2020 rating it could easily make the frame as it would sit in 2nd top spot, I will be placing my faith in BLACKCURRENT 6/1 who has good trainer 28% and jockey 21% stats with their older horses, it finished 2nd last time out and can go one better in this race.

Blackcurrent 6.1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts